Richmond
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #87
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #30
Rushville Regional Rank #6
Connersville Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 25.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Richmond Hare and Hound Invitational Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Wayne County Centerville Bulldog Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational Golden Bear Invitational North Central Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/20 8/27 9/3 9/8 9/17 9/20 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 793 921 845 707 679 806 764 785 856 981 737 933
Team Adjusted Rating 803 749 672 659 727 708 709 761 744 685 794
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Richmond Hare and Hound Invitational Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Wayne County Centerville Bulldog Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational Golden Bear Invitational North Central Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
418  Alex Orihuela 11 17:34 17:31 18:28 17:31 17:24 17:24 17:12 17:27 17:08 18:09 17:34 18:07
490  Ethan Miller 11 17:43 17:51
665  Greyson Farmer 10 18:00 18:29 17:59 18:07 17:46 17:40 18:16 18:00 18:06 17:59 17:42 17:59 18:31
678  Xavier Ogle 10 18:01 18:08 19:17 18:27 18:09 17:58 18:46 18:03 18:06 18:09 18:17 17:45 17:51
1,162  Noah McClain 12 18:41 19:47 19:14 19:17 19:28 19:10 18:42 19:29 19:29 18:40 18:22 19:27
1,167  Ivan Orihuela 12 18:41 18:06 18:27 18:55 17:55 17:55 18:15 18:25 18:40 18:54 20:33 20:20
Ethan Newton 11 19:41 19:04 19:11 19:43 19:19 19:27 19:00 19:32 20:42 19:34 20:01 20:32
Aj Carter 10 20:01 20:30 20:41 20:05 20:36 19:22 21:36 19:47 20:58 19:35
Jack Ferrell 11 20:07 22:55 19:55 21:44 19:29 19:18 20:17 21:51 20:04 19:43




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 25.0% 18.9 489 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.7 4.6 6.0 10.4
Regionals 100% 5.7 150 6.2 18.8 73.8 1.2 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.7 44 26.3 72.4 1.2 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alex Orihuela 100.0% 111.5 100.0% 100.0%
Ethan Miller 99.2% 122.4 98.9% 99.2%
Greyson Farmer 80.7% 140.5 74.2% 79.8%
Xavier Ogle 77.3% 141.4 69.8% 76.2%
Noah McClain 25.0% 163.5 0.0% 0.4%
Ivan Orihuela 25.0% 163.4 0.0% 0.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alex Orihuela 100% 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.2 2.8 3.9 6.2 8.5 8.5 8.7 8.6 7.8 7.7 7.4 100.0%
Ethan Miller 100% 26.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.6 2.7 3.9 4.7 5.6 6.5 7.1 7.7 100.0%
Greyson Farmer 100% 32.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.4 100.0%
Xavier Ogle 100% 32.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.0 100.0%
Noah McClain 100% 56.2 100.0%
Ivan Orihuela 100% 56.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alex Orihuela 2.5 0.5 28.9 44.1 18.2 5.4 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Ethan Miller 3.6 0.1 5.4 20.3 39.3 20.0 7.9 3.5 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Greyson Farmer 6.8 0.0 0.3 3.1 13.8 19.3 16.5 12.8 9.9 7.0 4.9 4.0 2.7 1.9 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Xavier Ogle 7.2 0.0 0.3 2.3 11.5 16.9 17.0 13.2 10.6 8.1 5.8 4.5 3.3 2.3 1.6 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Noah McClain 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.4 2.1 2.7 3.8 4.5 6.3 7.8 8.6 9.9 11.0 11.4 10.4
Ivan Orihuela 22.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.0 2.7 4.1 4.8 6.1 7.6 8.9 10.2 11.0 10.9 11.1