Riley
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #95
New Haven Semi-State Rank #25
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #9
Riley Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 10th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Elkhart Early Bird Invitational Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp Northwood Invite South Bend City New Prairie Kickoff Classic Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NLC / NIC Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/13 8/20 8/27 9/1 9/6 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 832 855 776 814 755 822 681 769 867 888 855 880
Team Adjusted Rating 768 776 793 755 822 681 769 867 888 855 880
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Elkhart Early Bird Invitational Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp Northwood Invite South Bend City New Prairie Kickoff Classic Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NLC / NIC Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
395  Austin Whitrock 12 17:30 17:23 17:36 17:11 17:14 17:12 17:18 17:09 17:22 17:38 17:43 17:46 17:27 18:05
576  Riley Fuerbringer 12 17:51 17:52 18:09 17:36 17:15 17:54 17:29 17:33 18:08 17:46 18:21 17:58
838  Deven Capparel 12 18:16 18:15 18:15 18:31 18:21 17:54 18:08 18:07 18:17 18:24 18:21 18:18
934  Isaiah Rivas 11 18:24 18:20 17:51 17:49 18:43 18:14 18:11 17:38 18:16 18:52 18:47 18:15 19:26
971  Brody Goetz 12 18:27 18:49 19:06 18:47 18:58 19:07 18:39 18:42 18:20 18:36 18:02 19:04
1,109  Aiden Capparel 9 18:37 19:52 19:00 19:19 18:28 19:04 18:15 18:22 18:32 18:22
1,174  Matthias Correa 11 18:42 18:07 18:21 18:11 18:31 19:51 18:11 18:52 19:20 18:52
Eli Gaddey 11 19:00 18:55 19:22 19:17 19:11 19:59 19:11 19:45 18:39 18:42 18:35 18:58
Damarion Hipskind 9 19:15 19:00 19:28 19:12 19:20
Lucas Carpenter 12 19:20 19:49 19:51 19:49 19:41 19:21 19:45 19:06 18:45 18:55
Kaden Standiford 12 19:52 19:00 20:03 20:14
Brian Alvarado 12 20:15 20:29 20:15 19:47 21:20 20:37 20:04 19:57




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0% 13.0 363 0.0
Regionals 100% 9.1 230 0.0 0.3 31.4 30.5 37.8
Sectionals 100% 4.5 104 0.2 53.6 46.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Whitrock 76.7% 88.5 76.7% 76.7%
Riley Fuerbringer 13.6% 104.4 13.6% 13.6%
Deven Capparel 0.0% 122.5 0.0% 0.0%
Isaiah Rivas 0.0% 107.5 0.0% 0.0%
Brody Goetz 0.0% 133.5 0.0% 0.0%
Aiden Capparel 0.0% 136.5 0.0% 0.0%
Matthias Correa 0.0% 141.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Whitrock 100% 31.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.5 2.8 100.0%
Riley Fuerbringer 100% 41.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Deven Capparel 100% 55.8 100.0%
Isaiah Rivas 100% 60.2 100.0%
Brody Goetz 100% 62.1 100.0%
Aiden Capparel 100% 68.1 100.0%
Matthias Correa 100% 70.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Whitrock 14.6 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 2.3 4.2 6.4 9.5 13.5 17.9 19.6 15.5 7.4 1.1 0.1 0.0
Riley Fuerbringer 18.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.0 2.3 6.2 12.4 25.4 37.4 11.8 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Deven Capparel 21.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 3.0 17.7 22.9 18.4 12.5 10.2 6.6
Isaiah Rivas 23.3 0.0 0.5 4.5 10.0 14.6 16.0 14.4 12.6
Brody Goetz 24.2 0.0 0.4 2.2 6.8 10.9 12.9 13.6 13.9
Aiden Capparel 27.3 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.4 6.2 8.4
Matthias Correa 28.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.3 5.1