All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Hamilton County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Valley Twilight Invitational |
Noblesville JV Invitational |
Noblesville Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/14 |
8/27 |
9/3 |
9/10 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
10/1 |
10/5 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
| Team Rating |
379 | |
412 |
349 |
705 |
428 |
400 |
401 |
714 |
754 |
379 |
358 |
448 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
317 |
307 |
409 |
428 |
400 |
401 |
379 |
357 |
379 |
358 |
448 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Hamilton County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Valley Twilight Invitational |
Noblesville JV Invitational |
Noblesville Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| 83 |
Sam Hinds |
12 |
16:27 |
16:44 |
|
|
16:57 |
17:03 |
17:11 |
16:45 |
|
|
16:30 |
16:14 |
16:18 |
| 109 |
Jack Loiselle |
11 |
16:37 |
16:53 |
16:31 |
16:42 |
|
16:30 |
16:35 |
16:42 |
|
|
16:33 |
16:42 |
16:41 |
| 243 |
Owen Flynn |
12 |
17:10 |
17:11 |
16:37 |
16:36 |
|
17:40 |
16:56 |
17:09 |
|
|
17:21 |
17:16 |
17:16 |
| 246 |
William Cummings |
12 |
17:10 |
17:29 |
|
16:51 |
|
17:10 |
17:08 |
17:16 |
|
|
17:06 |
17:06 |
17:29 |
| 262 |
Drew Lovelace |
12 |
17:12 |
17:07 |
16:57 |
17:06 |
|
17:06 |
17:14 |
17:05 |
|
|
17:05 |
17:20 |
17:42 |
| 293 |
Colin Lakomek |
12 |
17:16 |
16:45 |
17:47 |
16:59 |
|
17:52 |
17:35 |
17:41 |
17:14 |
16:54 |
|
16:59 |
17:52 |
| 426 |
Caleb Haney |
9 |
17:35 |
|
17:20 |
17:11 |
|
17:28 |
17:09 |
|
17:52 |
|
18:46 |
|
|
| 435 |
Owen Mohler |
10 |
17:36 |
18:08 |
17:35 |
17:23 |
|
17:34 |
17:20 |
17:18 |
|
|
18:15 |
17:49 |
17:43 |
| 442 |
Ike O'Neill |
12 |
17:37 |
17:15 |
18:03 |
17:40 |
17:33 |
17:30 |
17:34 |
17:26 |
|
17:57 |
|
|
|
| 674 |
Will Snedeker |
10 |
18:01 |
17:53 |
17:56 |
18:04 |
18:09 |
17:44 |
18:00 |
18:17 |
17:52 |
18:06 |
|
|
|
| 782 |
Taye Gutwein |
9 |
18:11 |
|
18:09 |
18:50 |
|
18:49 |
18:03 |
17:54 |
17:48 |
18:23 |
|
|
|
| 869 |
Owen Ferreri |
11 |
18:19 |
18:46 |
18:35 |
18:24 |
18:12 |
18:14 |
18:56 |
18:14 |
18:13 |
18:12 |
|
|
|
| 927 |
Ian Porter |
11 |
18:23 |
18:29 |
18:23 |
18:05 |
18:02 |
18:11 |
18:12 |
18:42 |
19:39 |
|
|
|
|
| 983 |
Caub Douthit |
11 |
18:27 |
17:50 |
18:47 |
18:43 |
18:20 |
18:04 |
18:18 |
18:20 |
18:59 |
18:28 |
|
|
|
| 1,051 |
Luke Sullivan |
12 |
18:33 |
|
18:42 |
|
19:50 |
|
18:27 |
18:46 |
18:13 |
18:19 |
|
|
|
| 1,084 |
Carson Goodman |
12 |
18:35 |
18:45 |
|
19:07 |
19:25 |
19:06 |
18:10 |
18:28 |
18:26 |
18:26 |
|
|
|
| 1,225 |
Charlie Naas |
10 |
18:46 |
17:54 |
18:32 |
18:51 |
19:07 |
18:39 |
18:59 |
18:27 |
18:53 |
18:48 |
|
|
|
| 1,296 |
Corwyn Barrows |
10 |
18:52 |
|
19:09 |
18:44 |
18:54 |
18:46 |
18:36 |
18:58 |
18:59 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,300 |
Paul Williams |
11 |
18:52 |
|
19:24 |
18:59 |
|
18:42 |
18:39 |
18:56 |
18:52 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,306 |
Evan Shupe |
12 |
18:52 |
|
19:14 |
18:28 |
18:32 |
18:22 |
|
19:20 |
|
19:12 |
|
|
|
| 1,358 |
Porter Temples |
10 |
18:56 |
18:35 |
18:30 |
19:18 |
18:43 |
19:17 |
19:01 |
18:50 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,366 |
Drew Neely |
10 |
18:57 |
17:55 |
19:38 |
18:24 |
18:47 |
18:09 |
18:31 |
|
19:27 |
20:13 |
|
|
|
| 1,384 |
John Degan |
11 |
18:59 |
|
18:45 |
18:56 |
19:10 |
19:09 |
18:37 |
19:00 |
19:09 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ty Conner |
10 |
19:04 |
|
18:56 |
19:01 |
19:21 |
19:08 |
19:11 |
18:59 |
18:59 |
|
|
|
|
|
Owen Dilley |
9 |
19:09 |
|
18:37 |
19:00 |
19:00 |
18:29 |
20:58 |
19:31 |
19:13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Grant McMath |
12 |
19:11 |
18:51 |
19:40 |
19:25 |
18:54 |
19:21 |
18:59 |
19:01 |
19:18 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
2.6% |
10.8 |
323 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
58.3% |
8.7 |
262 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
2.3 |
10.1 |
13.5 |
14.1 |
11.5 |
5.0 |
1.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
5.3 |
139 |
|
|
0.7 |
22.9 |
34.7 |
30.2 |
11.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.7 |
95 |
|
0.0 |
28.6 |
71.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sam Hinds |
26.9% |
61.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
24.9% |
26.5% |
| Jack Loiselle |
7.2% |
70.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
4.7% |
5.5% |
| Owen Flynn |
2.6% |
120.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| William Cummings |
2.6% |
120.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Drew Lovelace |
2.6% |
123.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Colin Lakomek |
2.6% |
133.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Caleb Haney |
2.6% |
162.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sam Hinds |
100.0% |
38.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
99.9% |
99.9% |
| Jack Loiselle |
99.5% |
48.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
98.8% |
99.3% |
| Owen Flynn |
65.7% |
79.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17.7% |
26.5% |
| William Cummings |
65.1% |
79.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16.3% |
25.4% |
| Drew Lovelace |
63.3% |
81.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12.0% |
20.4% |
| Colin Lakomek |
60.2% |
87.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.7% |
11.5% |
| Caleb Haney |
58.3% |
108.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.5% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sam Hinds |
100% |
18.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
4.7 |
5.9 |
6.4 |
7.5 |
7.6 |
7.3 |
7.3 |
7.1 |
6.2 |
5.5 |
5.2 |
4.6 |
3.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Jack Loiselle |
100% |
23.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
5.2 |
5.7 |
6.3 |
6.6 |
6.0 |
7.1 |
6.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Owen Flynn |
100% |
35.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| William Cummings |
100% |
35.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Drew Lovelace |
100% |
36.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Colin Lakomek |
100% |
39.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Caleb Haney |
100% |
51.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sam Hinds |
12.5 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.3 |
2.5 |
4.1 |
5.6 |
8.8 |
9.9 |
11.6 |
11.8 |
10.7 |
9.9 |
8.9 |
7.1 |
5.5 |
1.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Jack Loiselle |
15.7 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
3.6 |
5.5 |
7.2 |
9.1 |
11.1 |
12.0 |
13.3 |
14.9 |
17.3 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Owen Flynn |
21.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
3.2 |
19.8 |
20.0 |
18.0 |
13.5 |
9.2 |
6.2 |
| William Cummings |
21.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.1 |
3.1 |
17.7 |
19.6 |
18.0 |
14.3 |
10.2 |
6.6 |
| Drew Lovelace |
22.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.9 |
13.2 |
16.9 |
17.5 |
15.9 |
12.1 |
8.4 |
| Colin Lakomek |
23.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
4.9 |
8.3 |
12.5 |
17.3 |
16.2 |
12.7 |
| Caleb Haney |
28.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.8 |
5.7 |
|
