Zionsville
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #2
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #2
Ben Davis Regional Rank #1
Ben Davis Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 16.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 97.3%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Zionsville Early Bird Invite (4k) Taylor University Invitational State Preview Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Valley Twilight Invitational Ben Davis Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 102 190 167 130 91 537 140 103 514 177 80 113
Team Adjusted Rating 156 167 130 91 102 140 103 102 177 80 113
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Zionsville Early Bird Invite (4k) Taylor University Invitational State Preview Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Valley Twilight Invitational Ben Davis Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
22  Samuel Spees 11 15:52 16:12 16:19 16:07 15:59 16:00 16:03 16:06 16:13 15:58 15:45
27  Matthew Helton 12 15:56 16:04 15:55 16:00 15:44 15:45 15:57 15:54 16:19 15:49 16:08
34  Ryan Handy 12 16:02 16:16 16:41 16:00 15:55 16:11 16:06 16:22 15:53 15:58
36  Evan Mayo 11 16:05 16:30 16:20 16:25 16:27 16:05 16:15 15:55 16:15 15:56 16:10
42  Jack Turnbull 10 16:09 16:45 16:26 16:15 16:21 16:03 16:20 16:04 16:21 16:01 16:09
89  Will Nobbe 12 16:30 16:00 16:35 16:29 16:32 16:40 16:32 16:31 16:18 16:21 17:00
201  Elijah Bineyard 11 17:02 17:08 16:55 16:58 16:46 16:57 16:57 17:04 17:10 16:57 17:02 17:23
227  Skyler Cole 12 17:07 16:52 17:01 17:06 16:49 17:00 17:06 17:15 17:19
256  Elijah Weaver 9 17:11 17:00 17:10 16:56 17:18 17:04 17:08 17:17 17:23
268  Trey Martin 12 17:13 17:15 17:15 17:00 17:00 17:13 17:44 17:04 17:17
303  Dominick Dell 11 17:17 17:31 17:22 17:15 17:24 17:15 17:20 17:13 17:12 17:21
348  Joe Spees 11 17:24 17:02 17:28 17:22 17:03 17:20 17:24 17:43 17:29
357  Owen Haan 9 17:26 17:18 17:14 17:55 17:26 17:18 17:20 17:32 17:31
420  Michael Schilson 11 17:34 17:05 18:15 17:43 17:41 17:37 17:17 17:22
468  Charlie Fisher 12 17:40 17:55 17:47 17:50 17:31 17:37 17:47 17:54 17:22
566  Jackson Nobbe 9 17:50 17:59 17:28 17:33 18:00 17:57 17:59 17:42
601  Camden Stockwell 10 17:53 17:48 17:41 17:46 17:55 17:50 17:56 18:09
645  Nolan White 10 17:58 17:55 17:43 17:34 17:49 18:31 18:21 17:56
660  Brayden Kenworthy 12 17:59 18:17 17:58 17:46 17:59 17:59 17:41 18:07 18:14
753  Jude Watters 12 18:08 18:25 18:50 17:44 17:43 17:40 18:15 18:10 18:38
779  Gavin McGormley 9 18:11 18:04 17:58 17:37 18:22 18:00 18:18 18:36
809  Grant Gogis 11 18:13 18:03 18:34 18:40 18:17 18:28 18:09 18:07 17:41
880  Niyan Patel 12 18:20 18:15 18:05 18:30 18:20 18:38 18:09
922  Noah Berg 10 18:23 18:13 18:19 18:20 18:39 18:20
924  Nolan Toney 11 18:23 18:18 18:25 18:11 20:03 18:21 18:21 18:10
965  Jack Mybeck 10 18:26 18:31 18:58 18:19 18:51 18:22 18:16 18:17
985  Oscar Moosbrugger 11 18:28 18:12 18:59 18:16 18:13 18:20 19:03
1,150  Evan Wiesler 11 18:40 18:46 18:55 19:03 18:35 18:16 18:47 18:33
1,239  Luke Smith 11 18:47 19:12 18:36 18:24 18:32 18:35 19:13 19:02 18:58
1,266  Logan Gogis 11 18:49 18:42 19:03 18:50 18:55 18:47 18:42
1,295  Soren Johnson 9 18:52 18:59 19:05 18:33 18:48 18:38 18:48 19:24
1,297  Sam Randle 12 18:52 18:51 18:46 18:50 18:24 18:20 19:42 19:15
1,314  Ryan Lange 9 18:53 18:46 18:45 18:45 18:53 19:06 18:56 18:59
1,321  Joseph Janicek 10 18:54 18:46 19:03 18:44 18:57 18:48 19:15 18:44
1,347  Hunter Striebel 10 18:55 18:44 19:01 18:50 18:52 18:49 19:03 19:05
1,374  Ryan Luke 12 18:58 19:25 19:24 18:58 19:26 18:50 18:35
Joel Albrecht 12 19:01 18:53 19:39 18:43 19:41 18:36 19:47 18:44 18:52
Thomas Wallbank 12 19:04 18:53 18:49 19:07 19:00 19:08 19:19




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 2.8 125 16.0 33.5 23.7 15.6 8.5 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 2.5 89 16.1 37.8 28.8 16.1 1.3 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.0 21 100.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 15 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Samuel Spees 100% 21.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.3 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.7 3.0 3.2 98.9%
Matthew Helton 100% 26.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.2 1.6 1.6 1.7 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.6 2.8 2.7 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.4 3.2 97.2%
Ryan Handy 100% 34.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.4 2.6 92.3%
Evan Mayo 100% 38.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.7 88.6%
Jack Turnbull 100% 45.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 78.5%
Will Nobbe 100% 82.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.6%
Elijah Bineyard 100% 135.5 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Samuel Spees 100% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.0 3.2 3.8 5.2 6.2 6.6 6.8 7.0 7.5 7.3 7.1 6.7 5.4 4.8 4.2 3.7 2.5 2.3 1.8 1.2 1.0 0.7 100.0%
Matthew Helton 100% 14.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.1 2.2 3.0 3.4 4.3 5.0 6.0 6.4 6.7 7.0 6.8 6.3 6.2 5.9 4.8 4.3 4.0 3.1 2.6 2.1 1.7 100.0%
Ryan Handy 100% 18.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.3 2.7 3.6 4.4 5.2 5.5 6.2 5.8 6.5 6.4 6.2 5.7 5.0 4.8 4.3 3.5 100.0%
Evan Mayo 100% 20.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.3 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.6 4.7 5.1 5.9 6.1 6.2 6.2 6.1 5.6 5.4 4.6 4.3 100.0%
Jack Turnbull 100% 23.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.9 2.4 2.9 3.8 4.6 4.9 5.7 5.5 6.0 5.1 5.3 5.1 100.0%
Will Nobbe 100% 40.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.1 100.0%
Elijah Bineyard 100% 74.1 99.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Samuel Spees 100% 1.5 35.1 30.1 18.8 9.4 4.2 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Matthew Helton 100% 2.4 14.4 25.5 24.4 17.3 10.2 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Ryan Handy 100% 3.9 3.3 9.3 16.7 22.1 21.2 14.9 7.9 2.7 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Evan Mayo 100% 4.6 1.5 5.4 11.2 18.0 22.3 20.9 12.6 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jack Turnbull 100% 5.8 0.3 1.5 4.0 8.9 16.2 24.2 25.3 10.1 5.8 2.3 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Will Nobbe 100% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.8 4.3 18.0 16.8 18.6 14.5 9.8 7.8 4.2 2.3 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Elijah Bineyard 100% 18.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.4 4.9 6.8 8.6 9.8 11.0 11.9 9.3 8.2 6.7 4.9 3.9 2.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Samuel Spees 1.0 61.3 25.5 9.3 3.2 0.6 0.0 0.0
Matthew Helton 1.6 27.5 40.2 20.1 9.4 2.8 0.0 0.0
Ryan Handy 2.7 7.0 19.0 33.5 26.4 13.3 0.7 0.1
Evan Mayo 3.3 3.3 11.4 25.4 35.6 22.6 1.4 0.3 0.0
Jack Turnbull 4.2 0.9 3.7 11.1 24.1 54.9 4.4 1.0 0.1
Will Nobbe 5.8 0.1 1.7 62.7 20.8 14.6 0.1
Elijah Bineyard 8.5 0.0 4.6 11.5 69.2 10.9 2.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0