All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Brownsburg 4k |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Mason Invite |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Valley Twilight Invitational |
North Central JV Invitational |
Brownsburg Sectional |
Ben Davis Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/20 |
9/3 |
9/10 |
9/24 |
10/1 |
10/5 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
| Team Rating |
348 | |
373 |
323 |
370 |
351 |
335 |
730 |
392 |
345 |
329 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
370 |
323 |
370 |
351 |
335 |
348 |
392 |
345 |
329 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Brownsburg 4k |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Mason Invite |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Valley Twilight Invitational |
North Central JV Invitational |
Brownsburg Sectional |
Ben Davis Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
|---|
| 71 |
Ian Baker |
10 |
16:22 |
16:37 |
16:38 |
16:18 |
16:28 |
16:31 |
16:08 |
|
16:37 |
16:09 |
16:18 |
| 88 |
Sherjeel Khan |
11 |
16:28 |
16:38 |
16:42 |
16:20 |
16:26 |
16:22 |
16:15 |
|
16:47 |
16:31 |
16:32 |
| 149 |
Brandon Haas |
9 |
16:52 |
|
16:50 |
16:54 |
16:41 |
16:44 |
17:04 |
|
16:55 |
16:52 |
16:56 |
| 260 |
Clayton Kaneversky |
11 |
17:12 |
17:37 |
|
17:19 |
17:37 |
17:20 |
17:23 |
|
17:42 |
17:29 |
17:02 |
| 270 |
Sudharshan Srinivasan |
11 |
17:13 |
17:06 |
17:14 |
17:00 |
17:34 |
17:11 |
17:39 |
|
17:21 |
17:34 |
17:04 |
| 283 |
Ean Packard |
12 |
17:15 |
17:25 |
17:23 |
17:14 |
17:12 |
17:26 |
17:01 |
|
17:08 |
17:03 |
17:50 |
| 414 |
Trey Krizan |
12 |
17:33 |
17:34 |
17:08 |
17:30 |
17:58 |
17:25 |
17:49 |
|
17:23 |
17:27 |
17:48 |
| 488 |
Joseph Kerzee |
10 |
17:43 |
|
17:27 |
|
|
17:26 |
17:42 |
18:22 |
|
|
|
| 502 |
Cooper Tedford |
11 |
17:44 |
17:55 |
17:39 |
17:47 |
|
17:56 |
17:37 |
17:39 |
|
|
|
| 578 |
Elijah Balbach |
9 |
17:51 |
|
17:37 |
17:46 |
17:50 |
17:53 |
17:57 |
17:55 |
|
|
|
| 615 |
Alex Chavarria |
12 |
17:54 |
18:02 |
17:43 |
17:41 |
18:04 |
17:53 |
18:06 |
17:52 |
|
|
|
| 623 |
Paul Cormany |
11 |
17:55 |
18:32 |
17:22 |
18:09 |
|
17:53 |
17:57 |
18:00 |
|
|
|
| 653 |
Josh Waggoner |
11 |
17:58 |
17:24 |
|
|
|
18:12 |
17:59 |
17:47 |
|
|
|
| 802 |
Tyler Kerzee |
10 |
18:12 |
18:09 |
|
|
18:13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 904 |
Elijah Grant |
12 |
18:22 |
19:03 |
19:06 |
|
|
18:10 |
18:18 |
18:24 |
|
|
|
| 926 |
Tristan Krizan |
12 |
18:23 |
17:38 |
|
18:54 |
|
18:17 |
18:24 |
18:15 |
|
|
|
| 942 |
Tristan Ball |
11 |
18:24 |
18:19 |
18:00 |
18:02 |
|
19:19 |
18:28 |
18:20 |
|
|
|
| 951 |
Zachary Lien |
12 |
18:25 |
18:14 |
17:51 |
|
|
18:32 |
18:31 |
18:28 |
|
|
|
| 961 |
Keegan Katz |
11 |
18:26 |
18:07 |
18:10 |
18:34 |
|
18:01 |
18:58 |
|
|
|
|
| 969 |
Will Moser |
11 |
18:27 |
18:56 |
17:44 |
17:37 |
|
18:38 |
18:33 |
18:47 |
|
|
|
| 1,093 |
Keegan Bowling |
11 |
18:36 |
|
18:37 |
18:40 |
|
18:32 |
|
18:39 |
|
|
|
| 1,220 |
Jon Rademacher |
11 |
18:46 |
|
18:57 |
18:43 |
|
19:00 |
18:35 |
18:43 |
|
|
|
| 1,343 |
Joshua Nugent |
9 |
18:55 |
|
19:31 |
19:28 |
|
18:57 |
18:50 |
18:29 |
|
|
|
|
Dylan Pressler |
11 |
19:08 |
|
19:29 |
19:48 |
|
18:57 |
19:17 |
18:44 |
|
|
|
|
Titouan Cartier |
11 |
19:19 |
|
19:46 |
19:45 |
|
19:22 |
|
18:44 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
8.4% |
10.2 |
313 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
8.5 |
257 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
7.3 |
20.5 |
21.3 |
22.2 |
16.1 |
8.0 |
2.7 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.0 |
72 |
|
95.7 |
4.0 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
41 |
97.4 |
2.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ian Baker |
42.5% |
57.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
37.3% |
41.1% |
| Sherjeel Khan |
23.7% |
64.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
16.8% |
20.4% |
| Brandon Haas |
8.4% |
98.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
| Clayton Kaneversky |
8.4% |
130.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Sudharshan Srinivasan |
8.4% |
131.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Ean Packard |
8.4% |
137.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Trey Krizan |
8.4% |
164.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ian Baker |
100% |
33.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Sherjeel Khan |
100% |
39.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Brandon Haas |
100% |
63.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Clayton Kaneversky |
100% |
85.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
97.1% |
| Sudharshan Srinivasan |
100% |
87.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
96.1% |
| Ean Packard |
100% |
89.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
94.3% |
| Trey Krizan |
100% |
111.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
54.3% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ian Baker |
100% |
8.0 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
2.5 |
3.5 |
6.1 |
11.4 |
24.0 |
21.5 |
13.3 |
7.3 |
4.1 |
2.3 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sherjeel Khan |
100% |
9.3 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
2.6 |
5.3 |
12.2 |
20.9 |
19.4 |
14.8 |
9.8 |
5.9 |
2.8 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Brandon Haas |
100% |
15.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.6 |
4.1 |
6.8 |
9.4 |
12.8 |
12.5 |
12.9 |
11.3 |
10.8 |
7.6 |
4.5 |
2.7 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Clayton Kaneversky |
100% |
21.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
3.6 |
5.5 |
7.7 |
10.7 |
11.4 |
12.3 |
10.7 |
8.8 |
6.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Sudharshan Srinivasan |
100% |
22.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.9 |
4.3 |
6.6 |
9.3 |
10.8 |
11.2 |
11.0 |
9.6 |
7.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Ean Packard |
100% |
22.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
5.3 |
7.4 |
10.2 |
10.9 |
10.9 |
10.3 |
8.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Trey Krizan |
100% |
31.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.7 |
3.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ian Baker |
2.8 |
1.7 |
11.6 |
48.7 |
25.8 |
9.2 |
2.0 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sherjeel Khan |
3.6 |
0.3 |
3.9 |
20.3 |
43.0 |
21.8 |
6.7 |
2.5 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Brandon Haas |
7.3 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
8.8 |
18.1 |
17.9 |
16.0 |
14.9 |
12.1 |
6.8 |
3.1 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Clayton Kaneversky |
12.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.3 |
2.8 |
4.8 |
8.2 |
12.1 |
14.4 |
15.2 |
12.8 |
9.9 |
6.4 |
4.6 |
3.3 |
1.9 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
| Sudharshan Srinivasan |
12.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
3.8 |
6.4 |
10.8 |
14.0 |
14.8 |
13.6 |
10.9 |
7.8 |
5.5 |
3.7 |
2.4 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
| Ean Packard |
13.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
2.5 |
4.6 |
8.1 |
11.3 |
14.3 |
14.1 |
12.8 |
9.7 |
7.2 |
5.2 |
3.5 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
| Trey Krizan |
19.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
4.2 |
7.5 |
9.5 |
10.0 |
11.2 |
12.0 |
9.5 |
7.8 |
6.5 |
5.4 |
4.3 |
|
