Cowan
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #155
New Haven Semi-State Rank #42
Delta Regional Rank #10
Delta Sectional Rank #10
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.2%
Advance to Regional 26.6%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Ethan Cheeseman Memorial Run Meister Family Memorial Run Arabian Roundup Rushville Invitational Union City Invitational Delaware County Blackford Invitational New Castle Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational New Haven Invitational Mid-Eastern Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/17 8/20 8/24 8/27 9/3 9/6 9/10 9/13 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 1,128 1,227 1,172 1,111 1,123 1,031 1,097 1,135 1,084 1,159 1,069
Team Adjusted Rating 1,227 1,172 1,111 1,123 1,031 1,097 1,217 1,135 1,084 1,159 1,069 1,320
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Ethan Cheeseman Memorial Run Meister Family Memorial Run Arabian Roundup Rushville Invitational Union City Invitational Delaware County Blackford Invitational New Castle Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational New Haven Invitational Mid-Eastern Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
516  Jackson Bradley 9 17:45 18:00 17:16 17:21 17:27 17:42 17:27 17:17 17:41 18:15 18:01 18:27 17:52 17:51
1,001  Gavin Ashby 11 18:29 18:22 18:36 18:48 18:13 19:30 18:22 18:30 18:44 19:10 18:18 18:30 18:07 18:20 18:16
1,237  Logan Walker 12 18:47 18:52 18:54 18:57 18:43 18:44 18:41 18:38 19:03 18:42 18:37 18:59 18:54 18:50 18:37
Isaac Campbell 9 19:25 19:37 19:38 19:44 19:22 18:46 19:36 19:29 19:32 19:22 19:18 18:58 19:45
Aidan Glenn 9 19:44 20:18 20:04 19:57 19:04 19:28 19:36 20:16 19:34 19:40 19:32 19:26 21:15
Lucas Williams 11 21:06 20:55 21:16 21:52 21:26 21:00 20:37 21:01 20:58 21:05 20:38 22:07
Bowen Keith 11 22:30 22:27 22:11 22:56 23:16 22:56 23:20 23:10 23:00 23:34 22:00




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.2% 19.6 518 0.0 0.0 0.1
Regionals 26.6% 9.0 216 0.2 1.0 2.0 4.3 6.8 12.3
Sectionals 100% 5.8 144 0.3 2.1 6.1 18.1 52.4 21.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Bradley 89.8% 108.8 89.8% 89.8%
Gavin Ashby 0.9% 138.5 0.7% 0.8%
Logan Walker 0.2% 149.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Bradley 100% 27.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 2.1 2.8 4.6 5.7 6.1 8.5 100.0% 100.0%
Gavin Ashby 99.9% 49.9 99.8% 99.9%
Logan Walker 91.6% 60.5 88.6% 90.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Bradley 6.9 3.8 6.2 8.0 10.0 11.3 12.2 10.4 9.4 7.7 5.9 4.3 3.6 2.5 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Gavin Ashby 24.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.7 2.3 3.1 4.0 4.7 6.4 7.8 8.3 8.9 8.6
Logan Walker 30.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.4 2.0 2.7