Illiana Christian
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #68
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #13
Crown Point Regional Rank #4
Hebron Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 11th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.1%
Advance to Semi-State 97.7%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Crown Point Invitational Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Greater South Shore Conference Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/14 8/20 8/27 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 684 679 615 665 736 681 749 633 659 779
Team Adjusted Rating 614 580 613 736 681 749 633 659 779
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Crown Point Invitational Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Greater South Shore Conference Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State
242  Nolan Bouwman 11 17:10 17:05 16:55 16:54 17:00 17:22 17:02 17:25 17:09 17:15 17:05
289  Fritz Olthof 12 17:16 18:00 16:51 16:51 17:04 17:15 17:16 17:25 17:10 17:21 17:51
338  Jarvis Mickles 11 17:23 18:16 17:17 17:09 17:07 17:20 17:27 17:36 17:11 17:12 18:13
897  Cody Aardsma 10 18:21 19:06 18:11 17:55 18:06 18:30 18:12 18:24 18:14 18:22 19:32
973  Josh Wondall 10 18:27 19:31 19:06 18:59 18:32 18:16 18:17
1,054  Chase Thiel 9 18:33 19:16 18:53 19:06 18:49 18:38 18:35 18:16 18:23 18:23
1,063  Dane Scheeringa 9 18:34 20:12 20:10 19:23 19:04 18:52 18:42 18:18 18:15 18:29
Isaac Gorter 10 19:37 20:08 20:06 20:00 19:49 19:19 19:15




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.1% 22.8 561 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Semi-State 97.7% 12.2 329 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 5.8 15.2 17.8 15.4 13.9 10.8 8.3 5.0 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.7 112 0.0 3.4 37.1 44.8 12.4 2.0 0.3 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.2 75 2.8 80.4 14.9 1.9 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nolan Bouwman 3.6% 124.1 3.5% 3.5%
Fritz Olthof 0.9% 127.7 0.8% 0.8%
Jarvis Mickles 0.2% 133.0 0.1% 0.1%
Cody Aardsma 0.1% 196.5 0.0% 0.0%
Josh Wondall 0.1% 196.5 0.0% 0.0%
Chase Thiel 0.1% 200.5 0.0% 0.0%
Dane Scheeringa 0.1% 200.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nolan Bouwman 100% 40.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.7 100.0% 100.0%
Fritz Olthof 99.8% 49.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 91.2% 99.6%
Jarvis Mickles 99.3% 58.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 68.9% 98.3%
Cody Aardsma 97.7% 141.7 0.0% 1.4%
Josh Wondall 97.7% 146.9 0.0% 0.5%
Chase Thiel 97.7% 151.2 0.0% 0.1%
Dane Scheeringa 97.7% 151.8 0.0% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nolan Bouwman 100% 11.4 0.5 1.8 3.4 5.3 7.4 8.8 9.4 10.3 9.1 9.0 7.6 6.7 5.5 4.2 3.1 2.5 1.9 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 100.0%
Fritz Olthof 100% 14.3 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.4 5.3 6.8 7.8 7.9 9.0 8.7 7.5 7.6 6.4 5.2 4.2 3.4 2.7 2.0 1.6 0.9 100.0%
Jarvis Mickles 100% 17.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.1 2.9 4.1 5.0 6.2 7.5 7.8 7.8 7.9 7.2 7.3 6.4 5.8 5.0 4.0 3.1 100.0%
Cody Aardsma 100% 39.9 0.0 100.0%
Josh Wondall 100% 42.0 100.0%
Chase Thiel 100% 44.1 99.9%
Dane Scheeringa 100% 44.4 99.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nolan Bouwman 5.0 1.1 12.8 17.7 18.5 15.7 11.8 8.4 5.3 3.4 2.5 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Fritz Olthof 6.8 0.1 3.6 7.9 11.8 13.9 15.4 13.2 10.2 8.1 5.5 3.5 2.9 1.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jarvis Mickles 9.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 3.8 7.5 10.2 12.9 12.8 11.9 9.7 7.9 6.7 5.3 3.4 2.3 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0
Cody Aardsma 25.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.4 2.9 5.3 7.7 11.0 14.3
Josh Wondall 26.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.9 3.4 5.7 8.9
Chase Thiel 28.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.0 3.7
Dane Scheeringa 28.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.8 3.5