All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Tim Adams Invitational |
Harrison Raider Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Invitational |
Northwest Crossroads Conference |
Rensselaer Central Sectional |
Chesterton Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/27 |
9/3 |
9/10 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
10/1 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
| Team Rating |
957 | |
1,015 |
1,068 |
1,034 |
1,050 |
959 |
965 |
907 |
925 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
1,015 |
1,068 |
1,034 |
1,050 |
959 |
965 |
907 |
925 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Tim Adams Invitational |
Harrison Raider Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Invitational |
Northwest Crossroads Conference |
Rensselaer Central Sectional |
Chesterton Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
|---|
| 216 |
Ethan Ehrhardt |
11 |
17:05 |
17:23 |
17:18 |
17:00 |
16:58 |
17:31 |
17:01 |
17:17 |
17:17 |
17:10 |
16:56 |
| 851 |
Luke Bristol |
12 |
18:17 |
18:07 |
18:34 |
19:57 |
18:47 |
18:29 |
18:27 |
18:04 |
17:53 |
18:17 |
|
| 918 |
Matthew Hoffman |
9 |
18:22 |
|
18:16 |
18:15 |
18:26 |
18:28 |
18:22 |
18:31 |
18:19 |
18:19 |
|
|
Owen Sharp |
9 |
19:06 |
|
19:38 |
19:10 |
19:06 |
19:05 |
18:55 |
19:11 |
19:09 |
18:54 |
|
|
Luke Lukasik |
10 |
19:10 |
21:08 |
18:59 |
19:20 |
19:43 |
19:41 |
20:17 |
19:04 |
18:45 |
18:59 |
|
|
Xavier De La Paz Marino |
12 |
19:25 |
19:40 |
19:51 |
|
19:52 |
19:39 |
19:20 |
19:11 |
19:09 |
19:25 |
|
|
Brock Maple |
11 |
19:52 |
19:39 |
20:05 |
19:41 |
19:45 |
20:01 |
19:44 |
19:16 |
20:01 |
20:19 |
|
|
Ethan Kelly |
11 |
19:56 |
19:40 |
19:57 |
21:07 |
20:38 |
19:51 |
19:33 |
19:38 |
|
|
|
|
Nikolai De La Paz Marino |
10 |
20:08 |
20:14 |
19:57 |
19:54 |
20:21 |
20:03 |
20:31 |
20:06 |
|
|
|
|
Demetrius De La Paz Marino |
9 |
20:46 |
|
21:14 |
|
21:32 |
20:25 |
20:55 |
20:15 |
|
|
|
|
Thomas Ketchum |
10 |
20:55 |
|
21:51 |
|
21:18 |
|
20:56 |
20:06 |
|
|
|
|
Brayden Hanewich |
9 |
20:59 |
|
20:33 |
|
22:19 |
21:21 |
20:14 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.1% |
17.0 |
415 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
7.1 |
200 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
5.6 |
80.9 |
12.6 |
0.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.2 |
81 |
0.0 |
4.4 |
72.6 |
23.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ethan Ehrhardt |
8.3% |
120.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.3% |
8.3% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ethan Ehrhardt |
100% |
35.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Luke Bristol |
37.1% |
132.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
37.1% |
37.1% |
| Matthew Hoffman |
20.1% |
135.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20.0% |
20.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ethan Ehrhardt |
100% |
14.9 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
3.6 |
5.7 |
7.4 |
9.2 |
10.5 |
11.3 |
10.0 |
9.4 |
8.5 |
6.5 |
4.7 |
3.5 |
2.3 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Luke Bristol |
100% |
42.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Matthew Hoffman |
100% |
44.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ethan Ehrhardt |
2.2 |
3.2 |
37.7 |
48.7 |
8.5 |
1.8 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Luke Bristol |
12.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
2.0 |
4.0 |
5.8 |
9.0 |
12.9 |
13.7 |
13.9 |
12.7 |
9.3 |
6.8 |
4.7 |
2.5 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
| Matthew Hoffman |
13.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.6 |
3.1 |
4.7 |
7.8 |
10.5 |
12.8 |
13.8 |
13.4 |
11.5 |
7.9 |
5.7 |
3.1 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
