Princeton
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #111
Brown County Semi-State Rank #24
Pike Central Regional Rank #7
South Knox Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.3%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Boonville Invitational Dennis Bays Warrior Invite Washington Invitational Pocket Athletic Conference South Knox Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/20 8/27 9/10 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 910 992 912 932 977 882
Team Adjusted Rating 884 912 932 977 882
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Boonville Invitational Dennis Bays Warrior Invite Washington Invitational Pocket Athletic Conference South Knox Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
508  Peyton Wright 9 17:44 17:41 18:03 17:49 17:53 17:26 18:06
550  Blake Smith 12 17:48 17:23 17:48 17:25 17:48 18:25 18:01 17:39
976  Devyn Jernigan 12 18:27 18:49 18:12 18:41 18:28 18:25 18:23
1,118  Landon Wright 9 18:38 18:31 18:35 18:48 18:37 18:34
1,281  Warren Davidson 9 18:50 18:56 18:44 18:50 18:57 18:42
Max Moody 9 19:04 19:09 18:44 18:52 19:22 19:09
Christian Mowery 10 20:21 20:06 20:09 20:09 20:52 20:14




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.3% 16.1 389 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 7.1 169 0.0 0.3 3.8 83.7 11.8 0.5
Sectionals 100% 3.0 80 0.0 0.2 99.1 0.7



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Peyton Wright 95.0% 89.6 94.9% 95.0%
Blake Smith 88.5% 95.1 88.4% 88.5%
Devyn Jernigan 1.7% 123.9 1.3% 1.4%
Landon Wright 0.4% 131.5 0.1% 0.1%
Warren Davidson 0.3% 143.7 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Peyton Wright 100% 19.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.4 3.9 4.8 6.2 6.6 6.8 6.5 6.2 6.2 6.2 5.4 5.3 4.5 4.4 100.0%
Blake Smith 100% 22.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.0 2.5 4.0 4.4 4.9 5.5 5.8 6.3 5.9 6.2 5.5 5.3 5.5 100.0%
Devyn Jernigan 100% 44.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Landon Wright 100% 51.2 0.0 100.0%
Warren Davidson 100% 57.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Peyton Wright 6.1 0.3 3.5 16.8 15.6 12.5 11.7 10.2 7.7 6.4 5.3 4.1 2.6 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Blake Smith 7.4 0.1 1.3 8.5 11.8 12.0 11.4 11.0 9.9 8.8 7.3 6.1 4.8 3.2 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Devyn Jernigan 18.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.9 2.1 3.5 5.4 8.7 10.8 15.0 13.2 12.2 10.9 7.6 5.1 2.5 0.9
Landon Wright 21.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.1 3.6 5.5 8.8 11.0 13.0 14.9 15.0 13.5 6.6
Warren Davidson 24.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.6 2.5 4.7 8.0 11.3 17.5 23.1