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Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #149
Brown County Semi-State Rank #31
Pike Central Regional Rank #9
Mater Dei Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 16.5%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Dennis Bays Warrior Invite Alan Hopewell Invite Heritage Hills Patriot Invitational Pike Central Invitational Mater Dei Sectional Pike Central Regional
Date 8/27 9/1 9/10 9/24 10/8 10/15
Team Rating 1,105 1,156 1,051 1,061 1,133 1,096 1,160
Team Adjusted Rating 1,126 1,051 1,061 1,133 1,096 1,160
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Dennis Bays Warrior Invite Alan Hopewell Invite Heritage Hills Patriot Invitational Pike Central Invitational Mater Dei Sectional Pike Central Regional
933  Sam Razor 10 18:24 18:48 17:57 18:11 18:21 18:32 18:46 18:20
1,004  Bradley Kehler 10 18:29 18:51 18:10 18:38 18:35 18:43 18:25 18:23
1,013  Gabriel Rivas 11 18:30 18:17 19:30 18:27 18:09 18:28 18:21 18:40
Caden Estes 11 19:01 18:58 19:03 18:39 18:55 19:06 18:53 19:28
Connor Strawn 12 19:29 19:16 19:18 19:20 19:26 19:21 20:24
Caleb Stinson 12 19:55 19:52 19:53 20:24 19:51 19:43
Noah Deeg 12 20:27 20:39 20:56 20:24 20:15 20:39 20:08




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 16.5% 8.1 207 0.8 13.2 2.4 0.1
Sectionals 100% 6.0 163 16.5 69.6 14.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Razor 2.6% 125.3 2.6% 2.6%
Bradley Kehler 1.0% 128.2 1.0% 1.0%
Gabriel Rivas 0.9% 129.0 0.9% 0.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Razor 99.9% 42.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 99.9% 99.9%
Bradley Kehler 99.7% 46.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.6% 99.7%
Gabriel Rivas 99.8% 46.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.7% 99.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Razor 25.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.1 3.3 4.5 5.8 7.4 9.2 10.4
Bradley Kehler 27.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 2.1 3.2 4.4 5.9 8.1
Gabriel Rivas 27.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.3 1.8 2.8 4.4 5.4 7.3