St. Joseph's
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #94
New Haven Semi-State Rank #24
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #8
Riley Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Elkhart Early Bird Invitational Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp Northwood Invite South Bend City New Prairie Kickoff Classic New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational NLC / NIC Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/13 8/20 8/27 9/1 9/6 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 828 829 788 826 952 883 831 865 829 822 785
Team Adjusted Rating 829 788 826 818 883 831 865 829 822 785
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Elkhart Early Bird Invitational Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp Northwood Invite South Bend City New Prairie Kickoff Classic New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational NLC / NIC Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
313  Gabe Polaniecki 11 17:19 17:26 17:10 17:09 17:07 17:14 17:09 17:21 17:17 17:34 17:26 17:24
415  Carmelo Russo 12 17:34 17:43 17:41 17:24 17:32 17:19 17:33 17:42 17:43 17:42 17:39 17:26 17:26
744  Charlie Weber 11 18:07 18:45 17:43 17:57 17:59 18:16 18:42 17:47 18:17 18:11 18:09 18:07
970  Gonzalo Serrano 9 18:27 19:21 18:55 18:56 18:39 18:46 18:30 18:20 18:10 18:05 18:14
1,392  Jason Kintzele 10 18:59 19:31 19:29 19:57 19:57 19:10 19:29 19:15 19:17 18:40
Aiden Dowdle 12 19:02 19:03 18:46 19:27 18:45 18:51 19:20 19:11 18:55 19:01
Josh Dolniak 10 19:04 19:03 18:49 18:39 18:50 19:02 19:05 19:27 19:12 19:14 19:00
Elliot Mark 11 19:13 19:00 19:08 19:05 19:06 18:59 19:16 19:29 19:21 19:10 19:14
Jack Helm 11 19:15 19:11 19:16 19:08 19:18 19:36 19:24 19:06 19:06
Leo Gasper 11 19:43 19:26 19:26 19:40 20:09 20:00 19:50 19:17 19:53
Joe Kloska 9 19:55 19:43 19:36 19:52 19:53 20:01 19:56 19:55 20:09




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 8.8 225 0.0 0.4 40.0 35.3 24.3
Sectionals 100% 4.5 105 0.8 45.4 53.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabe Polaniecki 0.0% 124.0 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabe Polaniecki 96.2% 75.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.2% 96.2%
Carmelo Russo 65.6% 91.8 65.6% 65.6%
Charlie Weber 0.6% 118.2 0.6% 0.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabe Polaniecki 100% 26.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.7 2.2 2.6 3.2 3.8 4.5 4.7 6.0 7.0 100.0%
Carmelo Russo 100% 32.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.6 100.0%
Charlie Weber 100% 50.7 100.0%
Gonzalo Serrano 100% 62.1 100.0%
Jason Kintzele 100% 76.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabe Polaniecki 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.2 2.0 3.1 3.6 5.1 8.2 10.5 13.6 15.9 16.5 10.9 5.7 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.0
Carmelo Russo 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 2.0 3.7 6.6 10.8 17.8 20.7 19.0 12.1 4.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Charlie Weber 19.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.4 4.8 14.2 38.1 16.7 9.7 6.1 3.8 2.2
Gonzalo Serrano 24.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.1 11.3 10.8 11.3 11.7 10.5
Jason Kintzele 32.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5