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State Rank #169
New Haven Regional Rank #37
Delta Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Bob Dahl Invitational Taylor University Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic South Adams Invitational New Haven Classic Allen County Athletic Conference Delta Sectional New Haven Regional
Date 8/13 8/19 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 1,177 1,167 1,280 1,075 1,224 1,220 1,146
Team Adjusted Rating 1,167 1,150 1,075 1,242 1,181 1,224 1,220 1,146
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Bob Dahl Invitational Taylor University Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic South Adams Invitational New Haven Classic Allen County Athletic Conference Delta Sectional New Haven Regional
994  Trevor Schwartz 11 18:26 18:09 17:29 17:25 17:07 18:44 18:25 18:39 18:56
1,117  Ethan Crockett 10 18:35 19:08 19:17 18:30 18:39 18:21 18:36 18:18 18:21 18:44
1,358  Logan Clark 12 18:55 19:53 19:41 20:16 19:24 19:02 18:54 18:37 18:45
Carter Steele 12 19:02 19:21 19:32 19:01 18:27 18:46 19:13 18:48 19:51 18:57
Tyler Schwartz 9 19:48 18:56 19:46 19:26 20:13 19:57 19:50
Jackson Shoaf 12 19:59 19:34 19:48 19:46 19:59 20:07 20:18 19:53 22:03
Bryson Edgell 11 20:42 21:21 20:33 21:10 21:15 20:46 20:39 20:20 20:22
Vince Laukhuf 11 21:43 22:41 24:05 22:43 21:45 21:56 21:18 20:44




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 7.4 186 1.5 8.7 9.9 12.4 14.2 17.0 17.3 19.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Trevor Schwartz 99.2% 145.2 96.8% 24.5%
Ethan Crockett 90.6% 160.9 31.4% 4.3%
Logan Clark 21.5% 183.8 0.0% 0.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Trevor Schwartz 24.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.6 2.0 3.1 3.8 5.5 7.5 7.3 8.2 7.7 8.5
Ethan Crockett 28.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.7 2.5 3.3 5.4 4.9 5.8
Logan Clark 36.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2