Elkhart
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #44
New Prairie Regional Rank #11
Elkhart Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Elkhart Early Bird NIC Stomp Penn Invitational Minutemen Classic New Prairie Invitational Dana Homo JV Invite Culver Academies Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Northwood JV Invitational Elkhart Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
Date 8/13 8/19 8/26 9/9 9/16 9/19 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 519 1,074 643 1,286 493 583 654 519 543 488
Team Adjusted Rating 537 558 515 493 583 654 519 543 488
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Elkhart Early Bird NIC Stomp Penn Invitational Minutemen Classic New Prairie Invitational Dana Homo JV Invite Culver Academies Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Northwood JV Invitational Elkhart Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
Aaron Richter 11 15:42 16:40 16:02 15:59 16:55 17:31 16:11 16:14 15:49 15:36
19  Max Malloy 11 15:55 15:47 16:11 16:12 15:48 15:43 15:45 16:00 15:50 15:53 16:49
577  Ernest McClain 11 17:49 18:38 17:59 18:18 17:51 17:53 17:52 17:47 17:57 17:39
638  Jackie Ezzell 10 17:54 18:03 17:57 17:41 17:57 18:03 17:46 18:06 17:45
1,048  Trevor Becker 9 18:30 18:30 17:58 19:04 18:56 18:31 18:13 18:24
1,099  Peyton Shanholt 10 18:33 19:05 18:58 18:17 18:27 18:40 18:28 18:36 18:26
1,293  Nathan Sharp 10 18:50 19:08 19:11 18:44 18:35 19:02 19:03 19:03 18:23 18:33 18:49
Kevin Mehl 11 20:04 20:57 20:33 19:54 19:58 20:02 20:03 19:53 20:16 19:39
Luis Fernando Marquez 9 20:22 21:12 20:23 21:39 20:26 20:43 20:10 19:54 20:18
Aidan Fortin-Adams 9 21:15 21:49 21:23 21:20 22:03 21:02 20:34 22:55 21:10
Collin Khomphengchan 10 22:13 22:30 22:11 21:56 21:10 22:29 22:52 21:46 23:03 21:51




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 11.7 307 0.9 1.3 4.5 10.8 28.4 27.5 16.8 7.8 2.0 0.3 0.1
Sectionals 100% 3.9 107 1.1 32.4 45.9 18.1 2.6



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Aaron Richter 100% 9.0 0.6 1.6 2.9 5.2 8.0 9.1 7.6 7.3 7.6 7.4 5.9 5.1 3.9 3.5 3.5 2.5 2.4 2.5 3.0 1.0 1.3 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.9 100.0% 100.0%
Max Malloy 100% 19.3 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.3 2.3 2.5 3.2 3.4 2.9 4.2 4.2 4.7 3.6 4.5 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.2 3.0 3.4 3.1 2.7 3.0 100.0% 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Aaron Richter 100% 1.9 20.9 30.9 23.7 12.8 5.5 3.5 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Max Malloy 100% 4.4 0.8 5.0 13.3 22.6 20.1 12.9 8.3 6.2 4.1 2.6 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Ernest McClain 100% 103.8 99.0%
Jackie Ezzell 100% 111.7 97.3%
Trevor Becker 100% 163.2 20.8%
Peyton Shanholt 100% 167.7 14.1%
Nathan Sharp 100% 187.3 0.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Aaron Richter 1.0 74.3 22.0 3.6 0.2 0.1
Max Malloy 2.0 5.6 46.3 40.0 7.0 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.1
Ernest McClain 26.6 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.6 2.7 4.2 5.3 6.3 8.0 7.5
Jackie Ezzell 29.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.3 2.1 2.7 3.9 5.3 5.0
Trevor Becker 45.5
Peyton Shanholt 47.1
Nathan Sharp 53.1