Fishers
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #2
Shelbyville Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 4.7%
Top 5 at State Finals 68.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 94.8%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Hamilton County State Preview Wildcat Classic Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike XC Town Twilight Brownsburg JV Last Run Noblesville Sectional Shelbyville Regional State Finals
Date 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 183 160 217 704 229 200 186 622 175 217 182
Team Adjusted Rating 160 189 183 229 200 186 183 175 217 182
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Hamilton County State Preview Wildcat Classic Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike XC Town Twilight Brownsburg JV Last Run Noblesville Sectional Shelbyville Regional State Finals
Sam Quagliaroli 11 15:21 15:34 15:09 15:20 15:25 15:39 15:11 15:40 15:33 15:26
Matthew Kim 12 15:43 15:55 15:37 15:41 15:49 15:39 15:28 15:54 15:55 15:51
68  Nate Thomas 10 16:24 16:45 16:05 17:15 16:41 16:40 16:20 16:41 16:18
127  Henry Wood 11 16:41 17:14 16:58 16:49 16:48 16:48 17:00 16:45 17:09 16:34
161  Bryson Slagle 11 16:47 16:40 16:53 17:03 16:53 16:48 16:30 16:45 16:56
182  Parker Melling 11 16:52 16:25 16:39 16:50 16:45 16:39 16:37 17:18 16:53 17:12
248  Dylan Wolf 11 17:03 17:17 17:00 17:13 17:08 17:00 16:55
267  Cooper Mohr 11 17:08 17:24 16:55 16:49 17:02 16:49 17:13 17:09 17:48 17:13
399  Jaden Guffey 12 17:27 17:13 17:18 17:40 17:24 17:18 17:31
434  Reece Torres 9 17:32 17:50 18:58 17:24 17:21 17:16 17:45 17:36
504  Declan Mohr 10 17:39 17:52 18:23 19:45 17:47 17:33 17:20 17:35 17:39
559  Hans Moore 12 17:47 18:16 18:05 17:45 17:57 18:35 17:20 17:24
603  Jonathon Albright 11 17:51 18:26 18:21 17:38 17:41 17:46 17:53 18:07 17:42
703  Dalton Keele 10 17:59 18:06 18:11 17:48 17:56
713  Kevin Davalos 12 18:00 17:51 17:56 17:35 18:40
879  Mason Lapp 10 18:16 18:12 18:22 18:02 18:26 18:23 18:06
968  Carter Clendenen 11 18:23 18:18 18:04 18:45 18:36 18:22 18:13
1,132  Aidan Shiveley 12 18:36 18:22 18:27 18:33 18:56 18:49 18:26
1,150  Patrick Johnson 12 18:38 19:02 19:01 18:57 18:09 18:15
1,190  Simeon Brown 9 18:41 18:55 18:24 18:58 18:30 18:36 18:45
1,245  Caleb Lotter 12 18:46 18:46 18:48 18:56 18:41 18:42 18:43
1,313  Kale Ormes 9 18:52 18:53 18:58 18:47 19:14 18:31
1,333  Noah Coles 9 18:53 19:42 18:38 19:32 18:21 18:49
1,375  Kaiser Shockley 9 18:56 19:06 18:31 18:52 18:54 19:12
Ajuna Muzoora 9 19:02 18:55 19:32 19:00 22:48 18:52
Grayson Matthews 11 19:20 18:43 19:06 18:59 20:04




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 4.8 208 4.7 18.3 19.3 14.4 11.6 8.7 6.6 4.6 4.2 2.6 2.0 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.0 76 39.6 33.0 18.8 6.7 1.9 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.8 43 42.0 39.1 19.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Quagliaroli 100% 2.2 22.4 23.3 20.1 14.5 6.7 5.1 2.6 1.6 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Matthew Kim 100% 9.9 0.7 2.6 4.3 6.1 6.8 8.6 7.8 6.5 7.3 5.8 4.6 5.2 4.2 4.2 3.0 3.0 2.9 1.8 1.6 1.2 2.1 1.1 1.1 0.8 100.0%
Nate Thomas 100% 73.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 97.0%
Henry Wood 100% 128.3 67.2%
Bryson Slagle 100% 148.4 44.8%
Parker Melling 100% 161.8 31.4%
Cooper Mohr 100% 196.6 3.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Quagliaroli 100% 1.0 99.2 0.8 0.1 100.0%
Matthew Kim 100% 1.6 0.2 77.6 11.2 6.4 2.4 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Nate Thomas 100% 13.7 1.2 1.8 2.4 3.8 4.6 4.6 5.2 5.6 5.4 5.6 6.1 5.7 4.8 4.6 4.4 4.5 3.9 3.4 2.7 2.9 2.5 2.4 1.9 100.0%
Henry Wood 100% 29.5 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.3 2.0 1.5 1.9 2.5 2.3 3.3 3.0 2.7 3.3 1.9 2.9 3.3 100.0%
Bryson Slagle 100% 37.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.1 1.3 1.1 1.4 1.2 1.6 1.3 2.8 1.7 2.0 100.0%
Parker Melling 100% 42.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.4 1.2 1.0 1.4 0.6 1.6 1.1 100.0%
Cooper Mohr 100% 61.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Quagliaroli 1.0 99.6 0.4
Matthew Kim 1.5 0.4 93.4 3.9 1.9 0.4 0.1
Nate Thomas 6.6 8.1 9.2 15.4 11.8 9.9 7.9 7.5 5.9 5.3 4.2 3.9 3.3 2.6 1.8 1.6 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
Henry Wood 14.4 0.1 0.6 0.6 2.1 3.6 4.3 4.9 5.0 6.2 5.9 6.1 7.8 7.1 7.5 7.1 6.8 6.0 6.6 4.4 3.7 2.2 1.0 0.9
Bryson Slagle 17.9 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.9 4.6 3.6 3.8 5.1 7.4 7.1 8.1 9.8 8.3 8.8 7.8 6.3 4.5 2.1
Parker Melling 19.9 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.9 3.4 3.5 4.6 5.8 6.7 7.4 9.2 10.7 10.9 10.0 8.3 5.7
Cooper Mohr 25.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.3 2.9 3.7 5.4 7.7 12.8 14.3