All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valley Kickoff |
Marion County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invite |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
North Central JV Invitational |
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/13 |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/4 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
298 | |
773 |
211 |
405 |
222 |
|
855 |
265 |
329 |
957 |
298 |
322 |
331 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
271 |
211 |
294 |
222 |
|
298 |
265 |
329 |
298 |
298 |
322 |
331 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valley Kickoff |
Marion County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invite |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
North Central JV Invitational |
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 51 |
Evan Farmer |
11 |
16:17 |
16:07 |
|
16:02 |
|
16:04 |
|
|
16:17 |
16:16 |
|
16:23 |
16:11 |
16:26 |
| 92 |
Joseph Ashman |
12 |
16:32 |
16:28 |
|
16:06 |
|
16:08 |
|
|
16:09 |
16:47 |
|
16:43 |
16:26 |
16:52 |
| 110 |
Justin Reedus |
10 |
16:36 |
16:36 |
|
16:14 |
|
16:19 |
|
|
16:34 |
16:46 |
|
16:23 |
16:51 |
16:43 |
| 187 |
Emilio Leal |
11 |
16:52 |
16:46 |
|
16:52 |
16:59 |
16:41 |
|
|
17:03 |
17:06 |
|
17:02 |
17:14 |
16:45 |
| 252 |
Kade McDermott |
12 |
17:05 |
16:52 |
|
17:00 |
17:00 |
17:07 |
|
|
16:52 |
16:57 |
|
16:53 |
17:20 |
17:27 |
| 254 |
Drew Wright |
10 |
17:05 |
17:32 |
16:41 |
16:44 |
16:56 |
16:58 |
|
|
17:01 |
17:31 |
|
17:08 |
17:09 |
17:08 |
| 269 |
Ian Tharp |
9 |
17:09 |
|
|
17:04 |
17:02 |
16:57 |
|
|
17:04 |
17:17 |
|
17:03 |
17:06 |
17:23 |
| 470 |
Usman Azimi |
12 |
17:35 |
|
17:25 |
17:39 |
17:10 |
17:10 |
|
17:32 |
17:27 |
17:56 |
18:10 |
|
|
|
| 495 |
Cooper Trout |
10 |
17:37 |
|
|
17:06 |
17:33 |
17:19 |
|
17:39 |
17:47 |
17:39 |
17:49 |
|
|
|
| 594 |
Josh Lasley |
10 |
17:50 |
19:30 |
17:38 |
18:00 |
18:10 |
18:03 |
|
17:43 |
17:37 |
17:40 |
17:59 |
|
|
|
| 1,289 |
Julian Denney |
11 |
18:49 |
|
19:08 |
19:41 |
18:39 |
|
18:34 |
18:38 |
18:42 |
|
19:01 |
|
|
|
|
Jason Decker |
9 |
19:01 |
|
19:08 |
18:43 |
18:49 |
|
18:35 |
19:42 |
19:00 |
|
19:03 |
|
|
|
|
Elliott McVey |
9 |
19:15 |
|
18:49 |
19:04 |
19:43 |
|
18:41 |
19:27 |
19:24 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Andrew Gray |
9 |
19:17 |
|
19:29 |
|
19:59 |
|
19:17 |
19:14 |
18:45 |
|
20:50 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
14.1 |
356 |
|
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
3.6 |
5.4 |
5.7 |
5.4 |
6.8 |
6.9 |
7.7 |
7.3 |
6.2 |
6.9 |
6.9 |
5.2 |
4.6 |
4.9 |
3.8 |
2.2 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
| Regionals |
100% |
4.3 |
136 |
2.7 |
7.6 |
14.8 |
24.7 |
35.3 |
11.5 |
3.1 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.1 |
41 |
91.6 |
6.2 |
2.0 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Evan Farmer |
100% |
54.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
|
99.4% |
| Joseph Ashman |
100% |
96.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
89.9% |
| Justin Reedus |
100% |
111.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
82.5% |
| Emilio Leal |
100% |
163.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30.6% |
| Kade McDermott |
100% |
191.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.8% |
| Drew Wright |
100% |
192.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.1% |
| Ian Tharp |
100% |
197.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.2% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Evan Farmer |
100% |
9.0 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
4.5 |
5.0 |
5.7 |
7.3 |
8.3 |
9.1 |
9.1 |
7.6 |
6.1 |
5.6 |
5.0 |
4.4 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Joseph Ashman |
100% |
19.9 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
4.4 |
4.6 |
3.9 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.0 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
3.8 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Justin Reedus |
100% |
23.8 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
2.8 |
3.8 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Emilio Leal |
100% |
42.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Kade McDermott |
100% |
58.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Drew Wright |
100% |
58.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Ian Tharp |
100% |
62.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Evan Farmer |
2.7 |
13.5 |
17.1 |
27.0 |
21.3 |
12.5 |
5.7 |
2.4 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Joseph Ashman |
5.7 |
0.6 |
2.2 |
4.6 |
11.4 |
16.9 |
21.6 |
18.3 |
12.9 |
7.6 |
2.6 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Justin Reedus |
6.7 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
2.3 |
4.5 |
10.8 |
16.4 |
20.7 |
21.1 |
13.0 |
5.9 |
2.3 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Emilio Leal |
10.0 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
2.8 |
8.8 |
15.3 |
21.4 |
15.5 |
9.9 |
7.1 |
4.6 |
4.0 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
| Kade McDermott |
14.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
2.1 |
4.0 |
7.1 |
10.4 |
10.2 |
8.8 |
8.1 |
8.5 |
8.5 |
6.3 |
6.3 |
5.1 |
4.5 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
| Drew Wright |
14.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.6 |
3.4 |
8.4 |
9.4 |
9.1 |
9.9 |
8.7 |
8.3 |
6.9 |
6.9 |
5.3 |
5.5 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
3.2 |
2.2 |
1.3 |
| Ian Tharp |
16.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
2.8 |
4.9 |
6.0 |
7.2 |
8.2 |
7.3 |
7.9 |
7.6 |
7.6 |
7.1 |
6.2 |
6.4 |
6.3 |
4.5 |
3.1 |
2.3 |
|
