Guerin Catholic
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #51
Shelbyville Regional Rank #11
Noblesville Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Indiana All Catholic Championship Flashrock Invite Circle City Conference Nike XC Town Twilight HSE/Noblesville JV Invite Noblesville Sectional Shelbyville Regional State Finals
Date 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/4 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 549 647 561 533 591 585 613 1,138 524 500
Team Adjusted Rating 518 561 533 535 569 613 549 524 500
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Indiana All Catholic Championship Flashrock Invite Circle City Conference Nike XC Town Twilight HSE/Noblesville JV Invite Noblesville Sectional Shelbyville Regional State Finals
90  Luke Moster 11 16:32 16:10 16:47 16:59 16:37 16:29 16:38 16:36 16:37 16:27 16:25
273  Maxwell Fish 11 17:10 17:13 17:07 17:17 17:09 17:10 17:19 17:12 17:00
370  Johnny King 12 17:23 17:35 17:22 17:24 17:41 17:47 17:17 17:13
604  Sean Laferriere 9 17:51 18:02 17:51 17:45 17:43 17:42 17:52 17:50 18:01
632  John Constantino 10 17:54 17:43 17:50 18:13 18:05 18:04 17:37 17:45
652  Hunter Kinzle-Gorman 10 17:55 17:33 17:28 17:47 17:34 17:54 18:06 18:16 18:50 17:46
788  Luke Ross 11 18:07 17:47 18:11 18:04 18:24 18:12 18:15 18:16 17:49 18:01
984  Cole Eckstein 9 18:25 18:07 18:21 18:13 18:20 18:24 18:46 18:28
1,127  William Gebhardt 11 18:36 18:06 18:25 18:35 18:17 18:28 18:35 18:46 18:45
Brady Linn 9 19:04 19:48 18:57 19:19 18:44 19:18 18:53 18:56
Luke Jarymowycz 10 19:10 18:45 19:13 19:14 18:45 20:52 18:54 19:27 19:16
Aj Doria 9 19:20 19:50 19:27 18:56 19:19 19:22 19:14
Conner Wilhite 9 19:59 20:57 20:33 19:39 20:14 19:59 19:58 18:54




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 10.8 320 0.1 1.9 7.6 13.5 20.8 21.9 16.6 10.7 5.9 1.3
Sectionals 100% 4.5 139 65.4 25.7 7.3 1.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Moster 91.2% 91.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 91.2% 91.2%
Maxwell Fish 2.1% 165.0 2.1% 2.1%
Johnny King 0.1% 183.5 0.2% 0.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Moster 100% 19.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 2.0 2.0 3.3 3.5 3.5 4.4 3.9 4.0 4.5 3.7 4.0 4.1 4.4 4.3 2.8 3.3 3.2 3.0 2.6 100.0%
Maxwell Fish 100% 63.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Johnny King 100% 79.0 100.0%
Sean Laferriere 100% 114.8 99.5%
John Constantino 100% 118.4 99.1%
Hunter Kinzle-Gorman 100% 120.0 99.1%
Luke Ross 100% 138.1 90.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Moster 9.7 3.0 4.4 7.7 8.2 7.6 7.6 6.8 7.1 6.9 5.9 4.3 5.7 6.0 4.0 3.7 3.4 2.1 1.9 1.5 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.1
Maxwell Fish 25.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.4 2.4 2.7 3.8 7.2 10.2 14.0
Johnny King 28.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 1.3 2.3 3.8
Sean Laferriere 37.4
John Constantino 38.6
Hunter Kinzle-Gorman 39.2
Luke Ross 44.9