All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Lou Knoble Invitational |
Taylor University Invitational |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Duke Meyer Classic |
Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/19 |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
| Team Rating |
849 | |
944 |
802 |
771 |
822 |
905 |
1,033 |
844 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
892 |
802 |
771 |
822 |
905 |
963 |
844 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Lou Knoble Invitational |
Taylor University Invitational |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Duke Meyer Classic |
Southwestern (Hanover) Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
|---|
| 454 |
Travis Hoffman |
11 |
17:34 |
17:51 |
17:46 |
17:22 |
17:39 |
17:39 |
17:50 |
18:09 |
17:24 |
| 509 |
Will Laufer |
10 |
17:39 |
17:52 |
17:59 |
17:44 |
17:08 |
17:22 |
17:56 |
18:19 |
17:30 |
| 880 |
Logan Ferris |
12 |
18:16 |
17:36 |
18:18 |
17:56 |
17:52 |
18:04 |
18:13 |
18:34 |
18:24 |
| 1,028 |
John Michael Crouch |
12 |
18:28 |
19:16 |
|
18:24 |
18:20 |
18:17 |
18:21 |
|
18:52 |
| 1,216 |
Layne Laufer |
11 |
18:44 |
19:34 |
18:41 |
18:40 |
18:43 |
18:59 |
19:05 |
18:35 |
18:34 |
| 1,366 |
Bryce Miller |
12 |
18:56 |
|
|
|
20:23 |
|
19:59 |
|
18:46 |
|
Mason Davis |
12 |
19:21 |
|
19:19 |
19:35 |
19:27 |
19:08 |
19:05 |
19:21 |
19:25 |
|
Ben Crouch |
11 |
19:47 |
|
19:07 |
19:57 |
19:53 |
20:04 |
19:36 |
19:39 |
|
|
Kayden McKay |
9 |
20:19 |
|
19:41 |
19:55 |
21:01 |
20:17 |
20:25 |
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
18.0 |
509 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
2.6 |
12.2 |
21.6 |
27.4 |
19.7 |
11.8 |
4.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.1 |
63 |
1.9 |
89.4 |
8.5 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Travis Hoffman |
0.0% |
172.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Travis Hoffman |
100% |
91.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Will Laufer |
100% |
98.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Logan Ferris |
100% |
147.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| John Michael Crouch |
100% |
161.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Layne Laufer |
100% |
179.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Bryce Miller |
100% |
192.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Travis Hoffman |
5.7 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
2.8 |
11.3 |
52.2 |
25.4 |
6.0 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Will Laufer |
6.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.9 |
4.5 |
26.2 |
48.3 |
12.0 |
5.3 |
2.1 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Logan Ferris |
11.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.9 |
6.5 |
10.3 |
14.8 |
18.2 |
16.1 |
9.8 |
6.5 |
5.1 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
| John Michael Crouch |
15.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
3.2 |
6.5 |
9.9 |
11.2 |
11.6 |
12.5 |
9.2 |
8.8 |
7.8 |
6.8 |
4.3 |
2.1 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
| Layne Laufer |
20.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
1.8 |
3.3 |
5.4 |
6.2 |
7.1 |
7.6 |
9.2 |
9.6 |
9.2 |
9.2 |
8.7 |
6.8 |
| Bryce Miller |
25.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
5.6 |
7.7 |
8.8 |
10.3 |
|
