Mishawaka
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #29
New Prairie Regional Rank #8
New Prairie Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff NIC Stomp Penn Invitational NLC Round Robin #1 Minutemen Classic NLC Round Robin 2 New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northern Lakes Conference New Prairie Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
Date 8/13 8/19 8/26 8/29 9/9 9/12 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 440 485 570 405 538 470 504 448 454 444
Team Adjusted Rating 485 570 498 405 538 470 504 448 454 444
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff NIC Stomp Penn Invitational NLC Round Robin #1 Minutemen Classic NLC Round Robin 2 New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Northern Lakes Conference New Prairie Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
Liam Bauschke 11 15:35 15:30 15:28 17:26 15:35 15:44 15:31 15:25 15:36 16:12 15:41 15:52
148  Aiden Rogers 9 16:45 16:53 16:51 16:38 16:52 16:39 16:33 16:33 16:53 16:50
244  Toby Quintana 12 17:02 17:07 16:34 16:54 16:28 17:15 16:56 16:59 17:04 17:14 17:12
485  Cameron Melton 12 17:37 17:19 17:25 17:27 17:10 17:47 17:35 18:09 17:50 17:28 17:30
737  Brayden Plonski 10 18:02 19:04 18:31 18:45 18:33 18:41 18:44 18:35 18:31 18:01 17:44 17:56
Maurice Webb 11 19:04 19:09 19:12 19:18 18:33
Jonathan Waelbroeck 12 19:06 19:00 19:08 18:45 18:54 19:28 19:07
Cole Dahaher 9 19:32 19:34 20:02 20:43 19:21 20:05 20:00 19:45 20:07 19:56 19:21
Ethan Scott 12 19:46 19:12 19:56 20:18 19:50 20:14 19:17 19:38 20:33 19:25 19:46 19:45
Aris Koehler 10 19:48 19:35 20:14 20:27 20:01 19:41 19:32 19:37




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 8.6 249 0.4 1.3 3.2 10.3 14.8 18.5 20.0 18.4 7.4 3.3 1.8 0.7 0.3
Sectionals 100% 3.0 83 0.2 7.1 89.3 3.5 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Liam Bauschke 100% 5.8 2.3 4.7 9.3 11.1 13.7 11.8 8.3 9.1 5.7 4.8 3.6 2.5 2.2 1.3 1.9 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Aiden Rogers 39.8% 118.1 39.8% 39.8%
Toby Quintana 2.5% 139.0 2.5% 2.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Liam Bauschke 100% 1.0 51.9 24.0 12.8 6.3 2.8 1.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Aiden Rogers 100% 28.5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.8 1.5 1.8 1.5 3.0 3.6 3.5 4.0 3.3 3.6 4.0 4.0 100.0%
Toby Quintana 100% 48.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.8 100.0%
Cameron Melton 100% 87.8 100.0%
Brayden Plonski 100% 125.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Liam Bauschke 1.0 99.5 0.5 0.1
Aiden Rogers 8.4 0.7 2.8 4.7 7.8 9.5 10.2 10.9 9.2 10.1 7.7 6.6 5.4 4.5 3.3 2.7 2.2 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1
Toby Quintana 15.4 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.4 2.9 3.9 5.6 4.6 7.9 8.1 8.4 9.1 9.7 11.1 7.5 7.5 5.3 2.4 1.2 0.3 0.2
Cameron Melton 24.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.8 3.8 8.5 17.8 17.0 13.8
Brayden Plonski 31.7 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.9