Noblesville
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #7
Shelbyville Regional Rank #2
Noblesville Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 2.7%
Top 5 at State Finals 45.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 81.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Hamilton County Rick Weinheimer Classic Wildcat Classic Flashrock Invite Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike XC Town Twilight HSE/Noblesville JV Invite Noblesville Sectional Shelbyville Regional State Finals
Date 8/19 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/4 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 226 327 159 165 517 699 188 158 552 253 277 274
Team Adjusted Rating 204 159 165 307 226 188 158 226 253 277 247
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Hamilton County Rick Weinheimer Classic Wildcat Classic Flashrock Invite Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike XC Town Twilight HSE/Noblesville JV Invite Noblesville Sectional Shelbyville Regional State Finals
34  Caden Click 12 16:09 15:41 16:10 16:17 16:00 15:53 17:12 16:21 16:12
46  Sam Rinker 12 16:15 16:26 15:58 16:18 16:28 16:02 16:18 16:19 16:11
91  John Libs 10 16:32 17:02 16:09 16:22 16:19 16:29 16:33 16:37 16:35 16:41
96  Ronnie Neal 11 16:33 16:07 16:06 16:14 17:16 16:03 16:38 16:30 17:05
152  Jack Strong 11 16:46 15:57 16:31 16:06 17:17 16:45 15:56 16:42 16:58 17:28
164  Alec Moor 12 16:48 16:18 16:56 16:40 17:30 16:35 16:42 16:33 16:53 16:58
206  Luke Mumaw 12 16:55 17:41 16:50 16:45 16:42 16:52 16:54 16:59 17:03 17:00
228  Jack Shinneman 11 16:59 17:29 16:54 17:01 16:51 16:53 17:10 17:59
243  Caden Jackson 11 17:02 16:41 16:53 16:52 16:47 17:17 17:11 17:01
251  Cooper Click 10 17:05 17:47 17:07 17:06 17:02 17:10 16:57
301  Jude Naville 11 17:14 17:34 17:05 17:08 17:16 17:14 17:22 17:04 17:13 17:16
367  Grant Cummings 12 17:22 18:03 17:09 17:25 17:23 17:16 17:36 17:14 17:22
492  Noah Melton 10 17:37 17:06 17:36 17:22 17:36 17:28 17:31 18:03 17:40
496  Banner Barnes 9 17:37 17:21 17:26 19:07 17:29 17:29 17:39 18:08 17:40
827  Josh Moller 9 18:11 17:38 17:50 17:51 18:22 18:22 18:29 18:13 19:31
829  Jack Rush 9 18:11 18:24 17:59 17:51 18:05 18:09 18:18 18:15 18:15
870  Bradyn Livingston 11 18:15 18:21 17:49 17:43 18:10 18:32 18:19 18:26 18:14 18:14
1,124  Bode Barnes 11 18:36 18:41 18:34 19:17 18:20 18:30 18:47 18:22 18:33
1,176  Ryan Clark 11 18:40 18:56 18:42 18:51 18:25 18:40 18:47 18:32 18:36
1,294  Tyler Stallings 9 18:50 19:19 18:46 18:47 18:37 19:07 18:38 18:46
Isaiah Rhamy 10 19:01 18:59 19:21 18:59 18:45 18:58 19:06 18:58
Luke Conrad 10 19:02 18:19 18:44 18:58 18:54 18:50 19:15 19:04 19:07
Matt Huseman 9 19:03 18:46 19:27 18:52 19:02 19:17 19:03 18:53
Grant Warnock 10 19:07 18:58 19:00 19:00 18:40 19:05 19:04 19:05 19:17 19:27
Brady Shoffner 10 19:16 18:56 20:28 19:01 18:47 19:13 19:46 19:46
Kasen Pepperman 11 19:25 19:54 20:05 19:37 19:20 19:07 19:00




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 6.9 244 2.7 9.6 11.3 10.9 10.8 10.0 8.0 6.6 6.4 5.0 4.0 3.7 2.6 1.4 2.5 1.5 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.3 84 34.2 28.5 20.6 11.0 5.2 0.5 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.0 47 36.1 32.8 31.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Caden Click 100% 38.4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.6 1.3 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.6 2.3 1.7 1.7 2.4 2.4 100.0%
Sam Rinker 100% 49.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.7 1.2 0.8 99.7%
John Libs 100% 93.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 89.7%
Ronnie Neal 100% 98.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 87.4%
Jack Strong 100% 142.9 51.4%
Alec Moor 100% 150.8 43.8%
Luke Mumaw 100% 170.2 24.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Caden Click 100% 5.9 3.1 11.6 11.8 13.9 11.2 11.5 8.4 7.0 4.9 4.4 3.1 1.9 1.6 1.4 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Sam Rinker 100% 7.8 0.7 3.9 6.5 7.6 11.7 11.3 10.5 8.0 6.8 5.8 5.0 3.5 3.9 2.6 2.0 2.2 1.1 1.5 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.5 100.0%
John Libs 100% 19.5 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.3 2.6 4.0 4.3 3.8 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.8 4.0 4.0 3.7 4.1 4.1 3.1 3.6 3.5 4.0 100.0%
Ronnie Neal 100% 19.9 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.4 2.0 3.1 3.3 3.6 4.2 4.6 4.9 5.3 4.1 4.4 3.9 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.0 100.0%
Jack Strong 100% 35.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.6 1.8 0.8 1.4 2.1 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.6 2.7 100.0%
Alec Moor 100% 37.9 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.7 1.5 1.1 1.3 1.1 1.9 1.8 100.0%
Luke Mumaw 100% 45.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Caden Click 2.9 4.4 49.3 24.5 9.4 4.4 2.6 1.9 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1
Sam Rinker 3.8 1.3 19.5 34.5 15.8 9.1 5.2 4.7 2.6 2.6 1.8 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
John Libs 9.6 0.2 0.9 7.5 9.8 9.3 8.5 9.4 8.1 8.0 6.9 6.4 5.0 5.3 4.8 2.6 3.3 1.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
Ronnie Neal 10.2 0.1 0.9 6.3 7.3 9.8 8.3 7.8 8.5 7.8 5.5 7.1 6.5 6.0 4.1 5.4 3.3 2.3 1.8 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1
Jack Strong 17.2 0.1 0.6 1.0 2.4 2.8 3.0 3.4 4.2 4.9 5.8 5.8 7.4 7.3 8.2 8.9 8.5 8.0 6.3 4.5 3.7 1.8
Alec Moor 18.2 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.7 2.2 3.3 3.2 4.2 4.2 5.3 5.9 7.0 9.0 8.9 8.5 9.1 7.8 6.9 4.3 3.2
Luke Mumaw 21.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.4 2.9 4.6 5.1 7.6 8.3 10.3 11.4 12.1 8.5 8.9