Northrop
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #104
New Haven Regional Rank #16
Woodlan Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Baron Classic Manchester Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Woodlan Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
Date 8/19 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 846 895 759 973 854 865 820 804 842 838
Team Adjusted Rating 895 759 903 854 865 820 804 842 838
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Baron Classic Manchester Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Woodlan Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
111  Conyer Wilson 12 16:36 16:25 16:30 16:22 16:35 16:56 16:34 16:38 16:51 16:47 16:32 16:30
726  Devonti Carter 11 18:01 17:39 18:40 18:04 18:05 17:51 18:04 18:22 17:49 18:09 17:51
912  Biruk Shaw 10 18:19 18:38 18:15 18:15 18:30 18:13 18:02 18:17 18:16 18:35
1,187  Talan Buell 10 18:41 18:31 18:57 18:13 19:11 18:35 19:08 18:24 18:31 18:43 18:36
1,379  Ahmed Oubei 12 18:57 20:00 18:45 18:30 19:22 19:09 18:52 20:49 19:10 18:38 19:26
Chase Wilson 9 19:01 19:03 19:10 19:06 19:23 19:03 18:48 18:55 18:48 19:00
Aron Swopeshire 9 19:02 19:31 19:23 19:11 18:51 19:12 19:07 18:37 18:58 18:52
Andrea Demarco 11 19:49 19:46 19:49
Chase Mccarel 12 20:00 18:07 20:56 22:25 19:56 19:44 19:59




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 15.2 440 0.2 2.2 31.4 32.0 19.0 9.1 3.7 2.0 0.6
Sectionals 100% 3.3 135 78.2 18.7 3.0 0.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Conyer Wilson 96.6% 110.6 0.1 96.6% 96.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Conyer Wilson 100% 13.4 0.2 0.2 0.5 2.0 2.5 3.9 4.8 4.4 5.4 6.1 5.8 6.5 5.3 6.4 6.4 4.8 4.9 4.3 4.2 3.2 3.2 2.6 2.0 2.1 1.6 100.0%
Devonti Carter 100% 104.8 100.0%
Biruk Shaw 100% 134.1 99.9%
Talan Buell 100% 172.0 89.1%
Ahmed Oubei 100% 195.3 52.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Conyer Wilson 3.7 1.1 21.7 15.2 17.6 34.4 7.6 2.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Devonti Carter 22.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.7 2.1 2.9 4.5 6.6 8.3 7.6 9.2 10.7 9.0 8.1
Biruk Shaw 28.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.4 2.1 3.4 3.5 4.7
Talan Buell 36.8 0.1 0.1 0.1
Ahmed Oubei 42.8