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Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #103
Mater Dei Regional Rank #22
Mater Dei Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Forest Park Ranger Race Dennis Bays Invitational Alan Hopewell Classic Heritage Hills Invitational Mater Dei Sectional Mater Dei Regional
Date 8/17 8/26 8/31 9/9 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 845 925 903 914 936 814
Team Adjusted Rating 925 903 914 936 814
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Forest Park Ranger Race Dennis Bays Invitational Alan Hopewell Classic Heritage Hills Invitational Mater Dei Sectional Mater Dei Regional
561  Bradley Kehler 11 17:47 18:14 17:56 17:53 17:58 17:47 17:36 17:41
681  Sam Razor 11 17:57 18:08 18:15 18:00 18:00 18:08 18:06 17:48
735  Evan Atkinson 9 18:02 18:29 18:37 18:33 18:53 18:09 17:52
750  Gabriel Rivas 12 18:03 18:00 18:29 18:11 18:11 18:09 17:45 18:06
1,279  Caden Estes 12 18:49 18:51 18:28 18:41 18:48 18:50 18:59
1,389  Max Razor 9 18:58 20:22 19:50 19:12 19:26 18:38
Caleb Stinson 11 19:37 20:02 20:00 19:14 19:46 19:22




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 6.1 170 2.7 8.1 16.5 24.9 42.3 5.1 0.6



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bradley Kehler 100% 88.5 100.0% 93.5%
Sam Razor 98.8% 103.3 98.1% 61.9%
Evan Atkinson 97.0% 110.0 93.6% 43.8%
Gabriel Rivas 96.6% 111.8 91.7% 37.6%
Caden Estes 1.5% 156.0 0.0% 0.0%
Max Razor 0.3% 157.0 0.0% 0.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bradley Kehler 22.6 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.7 2.4 2.9 6.1 5.8 7.1 7.8 7.4 7.8 7.0 5.5
Sam Razor 29.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.0 1.4 2.0 2.3 4.3 4.6 5.4 4.4
Evan Atkinson 31.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.8 2.2 3.1 3.1
Gabriel Rivas 32.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.6 1.6 1.9 1.9 2.5 2.5
Caden Estes 51.8
Max Razor 55.0