Avon
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #23
Brownsburg Regional Rank #5
Ben Davis Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 2.2%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating State Preview Eagle Classic Flashrock Invite Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike XC Town Twilight Brownsburg JV Last Run Ben Davis Sectional Brownsburg Regional State Finals
Date 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 360 510 402 623 342 372 757 369 362 369
Team Adjusted Rating 383 396 335 342 372 365 369 362 369
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating State Preview Eagle Classic Flashrock Invite Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike XC Town Twilight Brownsburg JV Last Run Ben Davis Sectional Brownsburg Regional State Finals
42  Zach Risner 11 16:11 16:32 16:20 16:13 16:22 16:17 16:08 16:05
87  Sam Clore 12 16:31 15:57 16:03 16:25 16:26 16:40 16:28 16:38 16:33
94  Ben Hunter 12 16:33 16:39 17:09 16:55 16:39 16:41 16:58 16:24 16:49
354  Nate Wigger 12 17:20 18:40 17:28 17:29 17:11 17:18 17:10 17:30 17:19
458  Colin Packer 10 17:34 17:29 17:19 17:40 17:32 17:38
473  Mitchell Ford 10 17:36 17:19 18:05 17:39 17:17 17:27 17:29 17:30 17:49 17:39
506  Gavin Thornberry 11 17:39 17:28 20:23 18:01 17:50 17:52 17:43 17:38 17:39 17:30 17:33
548  Jack Germani 12 17:45 18:08 18:27 17:38 17:38 17:33 17:24 17:43 17:50 18:07
673  Ian Foster 11 17:57 18:13 17:42 18:07 17:48 17:37 18:03 18:17
684  Kevin Garcia 11 17:57 18:05 17:55 17:53 17:46 18:06
736  Quinn Murray 9 18:02 18:21 18:10 18:01 18:01 17:50 17:54
824  Maxwell Hunter 9 18:11 17:50 17:55 18:49 18:01 18:19 18:16
852  Kai Sheley 12 18:13 17:58 18:13 18:17 17:53 18:06 18:02 18:54
884  Aedan Aspaas 9 18:16 18:15 18:11 18:12 18:22 18:08 18:20
1,084  Chase Childress 11 18:32 18:54 18:46 18:45 18:20 18:18
1,135  Jayden Christensen 10 18:36 18:59 18:42 18:41 18:42 18:23 18:18
1,172  Michael Carson 9 18:39 18:40 18:38 18:33 18:35 18:34 18:51
1,198  Logan Ford 12 18:41 19:12 18:26 19:29 18:06 18:31 19:24
1,226  Jacob Enz 10 18:44 19:03 18:46 18:40 18:57 18:38 18:27
1,300  Cooper Fulayter 11 18:50 19:00 20:17 19:17 19:03 18:41 18:35 18:46
1,417  Max LeMay 9 19:00 20:02 18:51 18:50 19:09 18:40 19:02
Isaac Washington 9 19:18 19:25 19:27 19:46 19:24 18:51 19:00




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 18.4 422 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.8 2.3 3.2 4.8 5.2 6.8 8.6 9.7 11.5 13.1 12.6 11.6 4.8 1.9 0.3
Regionals 100% 4.9 183 0.1 2.2 26.4 59.4 8.5 2.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.0 66 3.6 92.1 3.8 0.5



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zach Risner 100% 41.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 0.5 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.6 1.6 1.5 99.8%
Sam Clore 100% 90.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 89.6%
Ben Hunter 100% 96.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 87.3%
Nate Wigger 100% 213.9 0.2%
Colin Packer 100% 228.4 0.0%
Mitchell Ford 100% 229.5 0.0%
Gavin Thornberry 100% 232.1 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zach Risner 100% 11.6 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.8 3.3 5.4 6.9 9.4 8.8 8.3 8.3 6.7 6.2 7.0 4.6 4.2 4.2 2.6 1.8 1.9 1.3 1.8 1.1 1.0 100.0%
Sam Clore 100% 23.8 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.4 2.2 3.0 2.6 3.2 4.6 4.1 3.8 4.4 4.7 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.0 100.0%
Ben Hunter 100% 25.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.5 2.1 2.4 2.3 2.6 3.6 4.0 4.2 4.6 4.0 5.2 5.5 5.3 100.0%
Nate Wigger 100% 69.5 100.0%
Colin Packer 100% 88.0 100.0%
Mitchell Ford 100% 91.1 100.0%
Gavin Thornberry 100% 95.6 99.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zach Risner 3.8 7.4 20.1 26.8 23.2 12.2 5.5 3.1 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.1 0.1
Sam Clore 7.9 0.3 1.8 6.7 10.3 15.6 17.1 14.9 10.9 8.5 6.2 4.1 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Ben Hunter 8.5 0.1 0.3 1.2 4.2 8.7 12.2 16.4 15.4 11.7 9.2 9.0 5.7 3.6 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1
Nate Wigger 19.8 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.8 6.9 8.4 9.8 10.0 13.2 14.1 11.1 8.1 6.6 3.5
Colin Packer 24.4 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.2 1.7 2.4 4.2 7.0 7.5 9.7 11.9 11.7
Mitchell Ford 24.9 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.2 2.2 3.3 4.5 6.2 8.4 11.1 13.7
Gavin Thornberry 26.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.9 1.7 2.5 4.8 5.5 9.2 11.5