Valparaiso
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #14
New Prairie Regional Rank #1
Chesterton Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 4.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 26.1%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating State Preview Ben Davis Invite New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Northwood JV Invitational Chesterton Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
Date 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 284 243 851 290 303 280 904 345 276 330
Team Adjusted Rating 243 284 290 303 280 284 345 276 330
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating State Preview Ben Davis Invite New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Northwood JV Invitational Chesterton Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
31  Mason Nobles 11 16:06 15:53 15:46 16:00 16:03 16:04 16:15 16:06 16:20
47  Sam Sienkowski 11 16:15 16:17 16:09 16:21 16:23 16:30 16:38 16:07 16:19
133  Otto Leake 10 16:42 17:17 16:45 16:43 16:52 16:33 16:54 16:42 16:35
190  Thomas Krueger 11 16:53 16:38 17:11 17:08 16:58 17:01 17:01 16:44 17:14
277  Brady Cavanaugh 12 17:10 16:59 16:56 17:01 17:11 16:58 17:17 17:18 17:20
427  Owen Lashenik 12 17:31 17:27 16:46 17:30 17:19 17:27 19:07 17:46 17:48
654  Mark Teeple 12 17:55 17:45 17:56 17:59 17:39 17:52 17:52 17:58 18:10
724  Sam Carpenter 11 18:01 18:03 18:04 18:07 17:44 18:06 17:54
851  Desmond Calhoun 10 18:13 17:19 17:51 18:09 18:12 18:11 18:30 18:10
915  Jacob Kusbel 11 18:19 18:47 18:32 18:05 18:32 18:17 18:16 18:12
1,016  Trent Hoadley 11 18:27 18:18 18:31 18:22 18:17 18:47 18:17
1,163  Chase Henry 11 18:39 18:44 18:34 18:43 18:39 18:21 18:50
1,213  Christian Pieters 11 18:43 18:23 19:27 18:50 18:28 18:26 18:55
1,369  Gabe Sterling 12 18:56 19:00 19:00 18:51 18:49
Liam Anderson 9 19:06 19:12 19:12 19:26 18:54 18:48
Liam Zimmer 9 19:10 18:36 18:38 18:58 19:34 19:16 19:36
Owen Thomas 10 19:17 18:28 19:11 19:21 19:43 19:20




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 13.7 349 0.4 0.6 1.2 2.1 3.3 3.3 5.4 4.7 5.5 6.8 7.3 9.5 6.6 6.6 6.0 6.5 5.9 5.8 5.0 3.6 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.5 132 28.4 27.4 20.3 14.2 6.5 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 30 95.5 4.3 0.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mason Nobles 100% 34.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.2 1.3 1.8 1.3 2.3 1.6 2.4 2.9 2.6 2.2 2.8 99.7%
Sam Sienkowski 100% 51.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.2 0.6 0.8 97.9%
Otto Leake 100% 129.3 46.6%
Thomas Krueger 100% 165.6 14.7%
Brady Cavanaugh 100% 200.3 0.7%
Owen Lashenik 100% 226.2 0.0%
Mark Teeple 100% 240.0 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mason Nobles 100% 7.4 0.3 1.4 3.1 5.0 9.0 12.7 13.6 12.7 10.5 8.4 5.7 5.3 3.3 2.8 2.2 1.3 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Sam Sienkowski 100% 10.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.2 7.0 8.5 10.3 10.0 9.8 8.6 8.5 6.5 4.2 3.6 4.3 2.5 2.3 2.1 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.8 0.4 100.0%
Otto Leake 100% 26.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.5 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.9 2.8 4.2 4.8 3.8 5.1 4.7 4.0 3.7 100.0%
Thomas Krueger 100% 37.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.4 2.1 1.7 2.4 100.0%
Brady Cavanaugh 100% 57.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Owen Lashenik 100% 80.7 100.0%
Mark Teeple 100% 114.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mason Nobles 2.0 5.2 44.8 34.4 13.2 2.6
Sam Sienkowski 3.3 0.6 8.9 30.3 41.1 19.2 0.1
Otto Leake 5.5 1.8 17.6 64.9 12.2 2.2 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1
Thomas Krueger 6.6 0.1 1.6 12.9 60.8 12.6 6.0 3.1 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Brady Cavanaugh 9.2 0.2 2.2 29.8 15.7 12.6 11.3 8.0 6.4 4.0 3.6 2.4 1.5 1.3 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1
Owen Lashenik 16.2 0.2 2.7 3.4 4.9 5.3 6.2 8.9 8.2 9.1 8.7 8.6 7.8 7.3 6.4 3.9 2.9 2.0 1.4
Mark Teeple 25.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.5 2.7 3.5 5.1 6.5 7.5 8.3 9.0