Cascade
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #107
Brownsburg Regional Rank #22
Ben Davis Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Puckett Invite Jeremy Wright Invite Brownsburg Invitational Charger Classic Invite Tiger Cub Invitational Shakamak Invite Nike Twilight Dragon Invitational Ben Davis Sectional Brownsburg Regional
Date 8/18 8/24 9/7 9/12 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 910 893 802 891 886 944 914 1,005 1,045 885
Team Adjusted Rating 841 802 891 886 944 914 897 1,045 885
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Puckett Invite Jeremy Wright Invite Brownsburg Invitational Charger Classic Invite Tiger Cub Invitational Shakamak Invite Nike Twilight Dragon Invitational Ben Davis Sectional Brownsburg Regional
472  Lincoln Kauffman 11 17:35 17:49 17:25 17:16 17:29 17:43 17:39 17:30 18:37 17:32 17:44
727  Ian Dockery 11 18:04 19:59 17:34 17:31 17:59 18:08 18:10 18:08 17:58 18:06 17:47 19:00
953  Kelton vonEhrenkrook 10 18:24 18:01 18:04 18:06 18:12 17:58 18:26 18:16 18:25 18:46 18:45
1,122  Matthew Ley 10 18:38 19:51 19:26 19:40 19:03 18:59 18:42 18:37 18:42 18:19
1,219  Noah Vela 12 18:46 18:42 18:20 18:40 18:17 18:40 18:54 18:57 18:57 18:45
Cohen Brennan 10 19:14 20:09 19:25 19:05 18:53 19:22 19:39 19:01 18:42 19:37
Jacob Whitaker 9 19:14 18:46 18:52 19:25 18:58 19:10 20:30 19:27 19:24
Silas Neeley 11 20:02 19:55 20:18 19:21 20:10 20:15 19:53 20:09 19:56 19:55
Peyton Shute 12 20:43 20:54 21:54 21:00 21:11 20:51 21:03 20:25 19:56 20:29
Elijah Cook 12 22:27 20:24 22:47 21:22 21:13 24:51 24:22 25:25 25:45 21:59




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 7.7 226 0.3 45.3 34.1 20.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lincoln Kauffman 100% 88.8 100.0% 99.3%
Ian Dockery 97.3% 129.3 94.8% 48.4%
Kelton vonEhrenkrook 55.4% 151.3 6.8% 3.2%
Matthew Ley 10.8% 162.6 0.1% 0.1%
Noah Vela 2.6% 167.5 0.0% 0.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lincoln Kauffman 31.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.8
Ian Dockery 40.3 0.0
Kelton vonEhrenkrook 46.6
Matthew Ley 51.8
Noah Vela 54.1