Castle
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #38
Mater Dei Regional Rank #8
Mater Dei Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Kentucky/Indiana Border Clash Forest Park Ranger Race Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational Alan Hopewell Invitational State Preview Mater Dei Invitational South Knox Invite Nike Twilight Evansville City/SIAC Mater Dei Sectional Mater Dei Regional State Finals
Date 8/20 8/22 8/31 9/4 9/7 9/14 9/21 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 489 530 528 517 558 499 579 701 767 513 472 511
Team Adjusted Rating 530 481 517 558 499 475 548 590 513 472 511
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Kentucky/Indiana Border Clash Forest Park Ranger Race Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational Alan Hopewell Invitational State Preview Mater Dei Invitational South Knox Invite Nike Twilight Evansville City/SIAC Mater Dei Sectional Mater Dei Regional State Finals
108  Austin Carlie 9 16:35 17:37 17:35 16:42 17:34 17:12 18:42 17:15 17:06 16:26 16:50
216  Dane Kramer 11 16:57 16:29 17:07 16:41 16:52 17:20 17:00 16:59 17:22 16:50 16:44 16:49 16:55
283  Ethan Morris 10 17:08 17:12 16:55 17:22 17:04 17:06 17:06 16:49 17:08 17:02 17:22
379  Nathan Whitacre 10 17:22 17:09 17:30 18:45 17:17 17:11 17:16 17:55 17:27 17:31 17:04 17:23
709  Austin Monroe 10 18:03 18:14 18:15 18:03 17:46 18:06 17:58 18:06 17:48 17:56 18:13
733  Brent Guyer 12 18:05 17:57 17:18 17:57 17:43 18:48 17:50 17:59 17:57 18:14 18:15 18:16
979  Charlie Smith 10 18:26 17:44 17:36 17:27 18:28 18:39 18:48 18:41 18:16
1,058  Will Birchler 11 18:32 18:19 18:36 17:46 19:13
1,338  Elliott Stevens 12 18:55 19:02 18:41 18:34 18:55 18:44 18:42 18:36 21:17 19:26 19:13
Issac Tieman 12 19:17 19:24 18:53 19:04 19:08 19:07 19:48 21:04
Elijah Banard 12 19:18 19:06 19:16 19:16 20:35 18:38 19:21 19:19 19:10 19:08 20:10
Caleb Aiken 11 19:45 18:41 19:18 19:22 19:41 19:55 20:02 19:50 19:40 20:16
Noah Hoff 11 19:47 20:06 19:38 19:37 21:25 19:47 19:33 19:55




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 7.6 257 1.8 6.0 14.8 22.8 25.1 21.3 7.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.3 68 70.3 29.6 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Carlie 94.4% 112.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 94.4% 94.4%
Dane Kramer 29.2% 159.5 29.2% 29.2%
Ethan Morris 5.5% 170.8 5.5% 5.5%
Nathan Whitacre 0.2% 184.5 0.2% 0.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Carlie 100% 28.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.4 2.0 2.6 2.7 3.2 3.4 4.4 4.8 4.4 100.0%
Dane Kramer 100% 41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 100.0%
Ethan Morris 100% 49.2 100.0%
Nathan Whitacre 100% 61.7 100.0%
Austin Monroe 100% 105.0 100.0%
Brent Guyer 100% 107.3 100.0%
Elliott Stevens 100% 172.6 84.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Carlie 5.3 3.0 4.0 6.0 27.8 30.3 21.2 5.2 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Dane Kramer 8.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 3.5 10.3 25.7 19.8 15.1 9.6 6.7 3.5 2.1 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Ethan Morris 11.3 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.0 11.1 14.0 15.1 13.5 11.6 9.0 6.7 4.9 3.3 2.2 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1
Nathan Whitacre 15.9 0.1 0.6 1.9 4.2 6.2 7.1 10.0 9.9 11.0 11.6 10.3 9.4 7.4 5.2 3.7 1.2 0.2
Austin Monroe 24.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 3.9 9.3 20.2 26.2
Brent Guyer 25.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.2 7.2 15.4 24.5
Elliott Stevens 37.4