All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Franklin Community Invitational |
State Preview |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invitational |
Johnson County Championships |
Nike Twilight |
NCXC JV Invite |
Shelbyville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
10/5 |
10/9 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
346 | |
325 |
528 |
349 |
354 |
780 |
348 |
410 |
709 |
483 |
403 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
325 |
346 |
349 |
354 |
346 |
348 |
410 |
346 |
437 |
375 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Franklin Community Invitational |
State Preview |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invitational |
Johnson County Championships |
Nike Twilight |
NCXC JV Invite |
Shelbyville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 97 |
Cameron Cox |
11 |
16:32 |
16:28 |
16:47 |
|
17:01 |
17:18 |
|
16:41 |
16:43 |
|
16:59 |
16:23 |
16:55 |
| 168 |
Jayden Salo |
10 |
16:47 |
16:52 |
16:49 |
|
16:40 |
16:30 |
|
16:35 |
18:49 |
|
17:50 |
17:26 |
|
| 196 |
Mason Vrshek |
12 |
16:53 |
17:35 |
17:10 |
|
16:42 |
16:44 |
|
16:35 |
16:51 |
|
17:39 |
19:38 |
|
| 211 |
Curtis Williams |
12 |
16:56 |
16:52 |
17:55 |
|
17:08 |
17:04 |
|
17:00 |
17:08 |
|
16:43 |
16:47 |
|
| 262 |
Michael Leavitt |
11 |
17:05 |
17:02 |
16:28 |
|
16:51 |
16:46 |
|
17:35 |
17:33 |
|
|
|
|
| 331 |
Ethan Holbrook |
10 |
17:16 |
17:17 |
16:44 |
|
|
|
|
17:53 |
17:10 |
|
17:25 |
17:06 |
|
| 372 |
Isaac Schemmel |
11 |
17:21 |
17:28 |
17:02 |
17:10 |
17:09 |
17:30 |
|
17:17 |
17:28 |
|
17:17 |
17:30 |
|
| 387 |
Yared Seyoum |
10 |
17:23 |
17:23 |
17:06 |
17:49 |
17:02 |
17:12 |
|
17:50 |
17:53 |
17:54 |
|
17:14 |
|
| 396 |
Craig Salo |
10 |
17:25 |
17:46 |
17:09 |
17:24 |
17:21 |
17:21 |
|
17:23 |
17:14 |
|
18:04 |
|
|
| 434 |
Nathan Sequeira |
11 |
17:30 |
18:08 |
17:37 |
17:16 |
17:25 |
17:19 |
|
17:37 |
17:30 |
17:39 |
|
|
|
| 539 |
Christian Langrel |
11 |
17:45 |
17:35 |
17:45 |
17:24 |
17:46 |
|
17:44 |
17:55 |
|
17:44 |
|
|
|
| 619 |
Riley Dodson |
10 |
17:53 |
18:10 |
17:29 |
17:26 |
18:09 |
|
18:16 |
17:56 |
|
17:47 |
|
|
|
| 653 |
Sam Heineman |
12 |
17:57 |
18:15 |
18:37 |
17:36 |
17:42 |
|
18:20 |
|
|
17:51 |
|
|
|
| 665 |
Will Cuskaden |
10 |
17:59 |
17:35 |
17:51 |
18:45 |
17:54 |
|
18:11 |
17:38 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 725 |
Croix Smith |
10 |
18:04 |
18:53 |
18:10 |
17:54 |
18:12 |
|
17:57 |
17:55 |
|
18:09 |
|
|
|
| 741 |
Baylor Winkelmann |
11 |
18:06 |
17:22 |
|
|
|
|
18:45 |
17:45 |
|
18:01 |
|
|
|
| 757 |
Luke Adler |
9 |
18:08 |
|
17:57 |
17:57 |
18:12 |
|
18:11 |
17:56 |
|
18:22 |
|
|
|
| 794 |
Carson Boggs |
11 |
18:12 |
|
18:05 |
18:14 |
18:26 |
|
18:06 |
17:53 |
|
18:21 |
|
|
|
| 824 |
Elliot Fisher |
10 |
18:14 |
18:41 |
17:55 |
18:14 |
18:12 |
|
17:52 |
18:25 |
|
18:36 |
|
|
|
| 908 |
Luke Dagley |
11 |
18:21 |
|
18:18 |
18:40 |
18:07 |
|
18:43 |
18:07 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 942 |
Gabe Sunga |
10 |
18:23 |
17:38 |
18:11 |
18:59 |
18:08 |
|
18:19 |
18:39 |
|
18:17 |
|
|
|
| 1,357 |
Andrew Bruhl |
10 |
18:56 |
|
19:16 |
18:48 |
19:15 |
|
18:30 |
18:49 |
|
18:57 |
|
|
|
|
Bryce Winiger |
12 |
19:06 |
|
19:15 |
19:16 |
18:51 |
|
19:05 |
19:28 |
|
18:52 |
|
|
|
|
Ethan Zheng |
11 |
19:08 |
|
19:07 |
19:44 |
19:10 |
|
19:05 |
18:51 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jack Bischoff |
12 |
19:14 |
18:48 |
19:39 |
19:42 |
19:03 |
|
19:24 |
19:00 |
|
19:00 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
6.5 |
210 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
1.2 |
3.8 |
10.0 |
29.5 |
43.0 |
7.7 |
2.8 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.1 |
49 |
93.8 |
4.6 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Cameron Cox |
88.3% |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
88.3% |
88.3% |
| Jayden Salo |
39.2% |
133.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
39.2% |
39.2% |
| Mason Vrshek |
20.0% |
141.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20.0% |
20.0% |
| Curtis Williams |
13.0% |
147.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13.0% |
13.0% |
| Ethan Holbrook |
0.1% |
184.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Isaac Schemmel |
0.0% |
165.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Cameron Cox |
100% |
22.1 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Jayden Salo |
100% |
40.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Mason Vrshek |
100% |
47.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Curtis Williams |
100% |
50.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Ethan Holbrook |
100% |
75.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Isaac Schemmel |
100% |
81.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Yared Seyoum |
100% |
84.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Cameron Cox |
2.4 |
18.6 |
24.2 |
19.2 |
13.7 |
10.1 |
5.5 |
4.0 |
2.0 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jayden Salo |
6.7 |
0.3 |
2.7 |
6.1 |
8.8 |
11.5 |
12.5 |
12.1 |
10.9 |
8.5 |
7.2 |
6.0 |
4.4 |
3.0 |
2.2 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Mason Vrshek |
9.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.9 |
3.4 |
5.9 |
7.8 |
10.0 |
10.7 |
10.2 |
9.1 |
8.9 |
7.4 |
6.6 |
5.2 |
4.1 |
2.6 |
2.4 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
| Curtis Williams |
10.2 |
|
0.2 |
0.7 |
2.2 |
3.8 |
5.9 |
7.8 |
8.5 |
9.6 |
9.2 |
9.8 |
8.9 |
8.3 |
7.0 |
5.4 |
3.8 |
3.2 |
2.2 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
| Ethan Holbrook |
18.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
4.2 |
5.3 |
6.4 |
7.1 |
7.2 |
8.2 |
8.1 |
8.7 |
8.6 |
7.3 |
5.6 |
5.2 |
3.8 |
| Isaac Schemmel |
21.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
3.4 |
4.4 |
4.9 |
6.7 |
7.7 |
7.6 |
8.7 |
9.5 |
8.5 |
7.9 |
6.7 |
| Yared Seyoum |
22.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
3.1 |
4.2 |
5.4 |
6.1 |
7.4 |
8.8 |
8.6 |
9.2 |
8.8 |
9.2 |
|
