All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Brownsburg 4k |
Hamilton County |
State Preview |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invite |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
194 | |
233 |
218 |
220 |
722 |
193 |
237 |
208 |
588 |
188 |
222 |
175 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
233 |
206 |
220 |
194 |
193 |
220 |
205 |
194 |
188 |
222 |
175 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Brownsburg 4k |
Hamilton County |
State Preview |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invite |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 1 |
Sam Quagliaroli |
12 |
15:09 |
15:13 |
15:10 |
15:17 |
15:27 |
|
15:14 |
15:18 |
15:08 |
|
15:14 |
15:18 |
15:03 |
| 26 |
Nate Thomas |
11 |
15:58 |
16:11 |
16:47 |
16:16 |
16:32 |
|
16:14 |
16:17 |
17:12 |
|
16:14 |
16:09 |
15:52 |
| 129 |
Bryson Slagle |
12 |
16:38 |
16:39 |
16:16 |
|
16:26 |
|
16:20 |
|
|
|
17:21 |
16:53 |
16:32 |
| 138 |
Dylan Wolf |
12 |
16:40 |
16:42 |
16:52 |
16:44 |
16:52 |
|
16:31 |
16:42 |
16:22 |
|
16:31 |
16:42 |
16:44 |
| 144 |
Grant Yount |
12 |
16:42 |
|
16:55 |
16:49 |
17:11 |
|
17:01 |
16:59 |
16:32 |
|
16:37 |
16:53 |
16:35 |
| 145 |
Parker Melling |
12 |
16:42 |
16:44 |
16:44 |
16:33 |
16:46 |
|
17:02 |
16:47 |
16:37 |
|
16:28 |
16:41 |
16:38 |
| 249 |
Cooper Mohr |
12 |
17:02 |
16:49 |
17:20 |
17:14 |
16:55 |
|
16:50 |
16:54 |
16:41 |
|
17:44 |
|
|
| 253 |
Henry Wood |
12 |
17:03 |
16:33 |
16:55 |
17:06 |
16:50 |
|
17:14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 337 |
Reece Torres |
10 |
17:16 |
16:52 |
17:07 |
16:53 |
16:39 |
|
17:28 |
17:29 |
17:00 |
17:36 |
|
|
17:24 |
| 368 |
Declan Mohr |
11 |
17:20 |
16:56 |
16:49 |
16:57 |
17:02 |
|
17:48 |
17:22 |
17:27 |
17:08 |
|
17:37 |
|
| 418 |
Jonathon Albright |
12 |
17:28 |
17:43 |
17:25 |
17:30 |
17:28 |
|
17:38 |
17:13 |
17:31 |
17:25 |
|
|
|
| 524 |
Kale Ormes |
10 |
17:43 |
18:29 |
17:55 |
17:57 |
17:57 |
17:35 |
17:21 |
17:49 |
17:23 |
17:42 |
|
|
|
| 557 |
Braylen Floyd |
9 |
17:48 |
|
17:34 |
17:37 |
18:07 |
17:44 |
17:48 |
17:29 |
17:45 |
18:05 |
|
|
|
| 562 |
Brady FitzGerald |
11 |
17:48 |
|
18:04 |
18:10 |
17:46 |
17:50 |
18:03 |
17:28 |
17:43 |
17:36 |
|
|
|
| 657 |
Ethan Stayer |
10 |
17:58 |
18:45 |
17:56 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 680 |
Dalton Keele |
11 |
18:00 |
17:44 |
17:36 |
17:52 |
17:45 |
18:05 |
18:37 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 681 |
Mason Lapp |
11 |
18:00 |
18:00 |
18:19 |
18:18 |
18:04 |
17:53 |
18:01 |
17:58 |
17:42 |
17:54 |
|
|
|
| 734 |
Simeon Brown |
10 |
18:05 |
18:18 |
17:56 |
17:58 |
17:50 |
|
18:11 |
18:19 |
18:04 |
18:03 |
|
|
|
| 765 |
Ajuna Muzoora |
10 |
18:09 |
18:40 |
17:49 |
18:45 |
18:01 |
18:12 |
17:50 |
18:37 |
17:59 |
18:07 |
|
|
|
| 780 |
Kaiser Shockley |
10 |
18:10 |
18:34 |
17:55 |
18:10 |
18:08 |
18:14 |
18:10 |
18:11 |
18:12 |
18:08 |
|
|
|
| 822 |
Drake Kane |
10 |
18:14 |
|
18:21 |
19:37 |
18:52 |
18:30 |
18:03 |
18:11 |
17:57 |
18:07 |
|
|
|
| 852 |
Sam Wing |
11 |
18:17 |
|
18:21 |
18:12 |
18:08 |
18:10 |
18:06 |
18:18 |
18:13 |
18:33 |
|
|
|
| 977 |
Grant Fasnacht |
11 |
18:26 |
|
18:31 |
18:33 |
18:32 |
18:09 |
18:43 |
18:14 |
18:24 |
18:19 |
|
|
|
| 1,028 |
Noah Coles |
10 |
18:30 |
18:31 |
19:32 |
18:44 |
18:30 |
18:59 |
18:30 |
18:04 |
18:29 |
18:01 |
|
|
|
| 1,029 |
Kaine Eberly |
9 |
18:30 |
|
18:06 |
18:32 |
18:07 |
18:08 |
19:11 |
18:36 |
18:40 |
18:21 |
|
|
|
| 1,075 |
Elliot Six |
11 |
18:33 |
|
18:09 |
18:39 |
18:44 |
18:27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,229 |
Daelan Montgomery |
9 |
18:47 |
|
18:42 |
18:48 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,278 |
Gabe Rush |
10 |
18:51 |
|
19:07 |
18:50 |
18:41 |
18:31 |
|
19:41 |
18:52 |
18:34 |
|
|
|
|
Carter Clendenen |
12 |
19:05 |
18:14 |
18:35 |
18:43 |
19:01 |
|
|
20:20 |
19:14 |
19:17 |
|
|
|
|
Hudson Ayers |
11 |
19:11 |
18:52 |
19:09 |
19:25 |
19:09 |
19:09 |
18:50 |
18:50 |
19:17 |
19:30 |
|
|
|
|
Grayson Matthews |
12 |
19:30 |
19:10 |
19:39 |
|
19:06 |
19:05 |
|
19:45 |
19:38 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
7.5 |
245 |
0.6 |
2.1 |
4.7 |
7.3 |
10.5 |
12.6 |
13.7 |
13.8 |
11.3 |
9.2 |
6.3 |
3.4 |
2.2 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.8 |
89 |
6.5 |
41.1 |
29.5 |
14.6 |
7.0 |
1.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.3 |
60 |
8.5 |
55.2 |
35.5 |
0.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sam Quagliaroli |
100% |
1.0 |
55.5 |
27.2 |
9.7 |
4.0 |
1.8 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Nate Thomas |
100% |
27.9 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Bryson Slagle |
100% |
124.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
67.9% |
| Dylan Wolf |
100% |
131.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
60.8% |
| Grant Yount |
100% |
137.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
55.3% |
| Parker Melling |
100% |
136.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
54.5% |
| Cooper Mohr |
100% |
188.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.6% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sam Quagliaroli |
100% |
1.0 |
97.0 |
2.8 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Nate Thomas |
100% |
5.5 |
|
5.3 |
9.3 |
13.4 |
15.3 |
13.0 |
11.5 |
9.0 |
6.6 |
5.1 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
1.9 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Bryson Slagle |
100% |
28.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
4.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Dylan Wolf |
100% |
31.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
2.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Grant Yount |
100% |
33.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Parker Melling |
100% |
33.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Cooper Mohr |
100% |
59.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sam Quagliaroli |
1.0 |
97.5 |
2.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nate Thomas |
4.6 |
|
6.3 |
15.3 |
18.1 |
17.8 |
14.4 |
9.9 |
6.5 |
4.8 |
3.1 |
1.8 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bryson Slagle |
17.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
3.8 |
5.7 |
6.2 |
6.3 |
7.0 |
7.6 |
7.7 |
7.9 |
6.8 |
7.0 |
6.3 |
5.9 |
5.8 |
3.7 |
3.4 |
| Dylan Wolf |
18.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
3.5 |
4.8 |
5.8 |
5.9 |
7.8 |
7.9 |
7.6 |
7.0 |
7.6 |
7.7 |
6.8 |
6.9 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
| Grant Yount |
19.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
4.6 |
5.0 |
6.3 |
6.4 |
7.8 |
7.8 |
7.6 |
8.7 |
7.8 |
7.2 |
6.1 |
4.8 |
| Parker Melling |
19.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
4.6 |
5.4 |
6.0 |
6.7 |
7.7 |
8.0 |
8.2 |
8.3 |
7.4 |
7.7 |
6.6 |
5.1 |
| Cooper Mohr |
27.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
5.7 |
7.6 |
|
