All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Twilight |
Noblesville JV Invite |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/7 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
220 | |
233 |
204 |
277 |
227 |
221 |
253 |
627 |
225 |
202 |
261 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
233 |
204 |
199 |
227 |
221 |
231 |
220 |
206 |
201 |
241 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Twilight |
Noblesville JV Invite |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 15 |
Liam Powers |
11 |
15:52 |
16:19 |
16:09 |
15:46 |
|
16:11 |
16:07 |
15:43 |
|
16:02 |
15:44 |
15:50 |
| 85 |
Nick Vega |
12 |
16:26 |
16:18 |
16:30 |
16:27 |
16:27 |
16:20 |
16:22 |
16:43 |
|
16:16 |
16:21 |
16:24 |
| 106 |
Aidan Lawson |
12 |
16:34 |
17:13 |
16:55 |
16:38 |
16:17 |
16:38 |
16:43 |
17:15 |
|
|
16:25 |
16:43 |
| 107 |
Ben Tuckis |
12 |
16:34 |
16:57 |
16:55 |
16:27 |
16:33 |
16:31 |
16:30 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 119 |
Zach Swedarsky |
12 |
16:37 |
16:48 |
16:26 |
16:27 |
16:34 |
16:37 |
16:32 |
16:29 |
|
16:39 |
16:36 |
16:52 |
| 155 |
Isaac Smith |
10 |
16:44 |
16:20 |
16:33 |
|
|
|
16:35 |
22:26 |
|
16:27 |
17:42 |
16:55 |
| 157 |
Riley Schamp |
11 |
16:44 |
16:20 |
|
|
|
16:37 |
17:12 |
16:42 |
|
16:49 |
16:35 |
17:15 |
| 258 |
Michael Chalfant |
12 |
17:04 |
16:43 |
16:55 |
16:50 |
17:10 |
17:03 |
17:15 |
16:59 |
|
|
|
|
| 294 |
Tate Watson |
12 |
17:09 |
17:29 |
17:19 |
16:49 |
18:16 |
17:20 |
17:05 |
16:57 |
|
17:01 |
|
17:36 |
| 297 |
William Henning |
11 |
17:11 |
16:57 |
|
19:31 |
17:26 |
17:02 |
17:07 |
17:03 |
17:46 |
17:01 |
|
|
| 363 |
Isaac Ober |
11 |
17:19 |
|
16:44 |
17:05 |
17:42 |
17:30 |
17:12 |
17:22 |
|
|
|
|
| 408 |
Sam Elliott |
11 |
17:26 |
17:57 |
17:41 |
17:33 |
17:20 |
17:28 |
17:17 |
|
17:26 |
|
|
|
| 441 |
Deagan Baker |
12 |
17:31 |
17:33 |
17:30 |
17:08 |
17:27 |
18:19 |
17:13 |
17:30 |
17:15 |
|
17:56 |
|
| 498 |
Monroe Cluff |
11 |
17:39 |
18:14 |
17:30 |
17:31 |
|
17:29 |
17:51 |
17:30 |
17:50 |
|
|
|
| 508 |
Hayden Hoback |
10 |
17:40 |
|
17:16 |
17:19 |
|
18:24 |
17:41 |
17:27 |
17:51 |
|
|
|
| 535 |
Elijah Cluff |
|
17:44 |
|
|
|
17:43 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 536 |
Charlie Ritter |
10 |
17:45 |
|
17:37 |
17:37 |
17:28 |
17:24 |
18:02 |
17:48 |
17:56 |
|
|
|
| 563 |
Pj Key |
9 |
17:48 |
|
17:59 |
17:31 |
|
17:40 |
17:35 |
17:54 |
18:01 |
|
|
|
| 698 |
Sam Pridmore |
12 |
18:02 |
|
|
|
17:55 |
17:50 |
18:01 |
|
18:13 |
|
|
|
| 718 |
Joshua Montgomery |
11 |
18:03 |
17:00 |
17:35 |
17:45 |
18:02 |
18:21 |
18:42 |
18:01 |
17:52 |
|
|
|
| 750 |
Max Kleinbub |
9 |
18:07 |
|
17:48 |
17:38 |
18:08 |
17:59 |
17:59 |
18:22 |
18:29 |
|
|
|
| 751 |
Kaden Jones |
12 |
18:07 |
19:04 |
18:33 |
17:29 |
18:29 |
19:01 |
17:45 |
18:15 |
17:38 |
|
|
|
| 877 |
Liam McNiven |
11 |
18:19 |
18:23 |
19:14 |
18:22 |
|
18:28 |
18:09 |
18:03 |
18:17 |
|
|
|
| 886 |
MacKey Pope |
9 |
18:20 |
|
18:47 |
18:23 |
18:17 |
17:51 |
18:20 |
18:09 |
18:29 |
|
|
|
| 897 |
Cameron Conn |
9 |
18:20 |
|
18:04 |
18:16 |
17:56 |
18:32 |
18:28 |
18:19 |
18:24 |
|
|
|
| 929 |
Aiden Brier |
9 |
18:23 |
|
18:15 |
18:12 |
18:21 |
18:12 |
18:40 |
|
18:22 |
|
|
|
| 990 |
Drew McNiven |
9 |
18:27 |
|
17:55 |
18:27 |
18:22 |
18:27 |
18:41 |
20:09 |
20:14 |
|
|
|
| 1,351 |
Connor Pugh |
11 |
18:56 |
18:59 |
18:44 |
19:19 |
18:42 |
18:49 |
18:53 |
19:08 |
18:51 |
|
|
|
| 1,364 |
Nate Randolph |
9 |
18:57 |
|
18:47 |
19:15 |
20:08 |
19:20 |
|
18:35 |
18:17 |
|
|
|
| 1,369 |
Drew Cole |
9 |
18:57 |
|
18:13 |
|
|
|
19:02 |
19:06 |
18:54 |
|
|
|
| 1,376 |
Weston Kopeck |
9 |
18:58 |
|
19:01 |
19:23 |
18:38 |
19:04 |
18:48 |
|
18:58 |
|
|
|
|
Andrew Voight |
11 |
19:03 |
18:38 |
18:57 |
19:15 |
18:33 |
22:15 |
19:38 |
20:42 |
18:56 |
|
|
|
|
Justin Bove |
10 |
19:07 |
|
18:41 |
18:39 |
|
19:20 |
19:08 |
19:00 |
19:21 |
|
|
|
|
Trip Quint |
10 |
19:07 |
|
18:57 |
19:24 |
19:20 |
19:32 |
18:46 |
19:13 |
18:43 |
|
|
|
|
Samuel Brown |
11 |
19:25 |
|
19:23 |
18:52 |
19:54 |
19:22 |
19:22 |
19:27 |
19:25 |
|
|
|
|
Trewman Francis |
9 |
19:32 |
|
18:28 |
18:30 |
|
21:51 |
21:10 |
20:07 |
19:46 |
|
|
|
|
Evan Leblanc |
12 |
19:42 |
18:20 |
20:03 |
19:26 |
18:59 |
19:45 |
19:46 |
|
19:52 |
|
|
|
|
Noah Kline |
12 |
20:49 |
18:57 |
19:51 |
22:14 |
|
20:51 |
20:48 |
21:49 |
20:37 |
|
|
|
|
Graham Weier |
11 |
21:05 |
21:01 |
21:00 |
20:46 |
20:30 |
21:18 |
21:18 |
21:09 |
21:05 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
9.5 |
288 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
3.8 |
5.1 |
6.8 |
8.6 |
10.6 |
12.1 |
12.5 |
10.8 |
9.1 |
6.5 |
4.6 |
2.7 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.2 |
102 |
5.1 |
29.6 |
29.4 |
20.5 |
11.5 |
3.1 |
0.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.6 |
70 |
5.2 |
33.2 |
57.8 |
3.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Liam Powers |
100% |
19.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Nick Vega |
100% |
85.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
93.7% |
| Aidan Lawson |
100% |
113.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
77.1% |
| Zach Swedarsky |
100% |
120.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
70.8% |
| Isaac Smith |
100% |
142.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
47.9% |
| Riley Schamp |
100% |
144.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
47.1% |
| Tate Watson |
100% |
200.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.6% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Liam Powers |
100% |
3.9 |
0.3 |
11.6 |
20.3 |
19.0 |
15.9 |
11.3 |
7.5 |
4.6 |
3.5 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Nick Vega |
100% |
17.2 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
4.9 |
5.6 |
5.8 |
6.5 |
6.3 |
4.8 |
5.1 |
4.7 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Aidan Lawson |
100% |
25.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
3.8 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Zach Swedarsky |
100% |
27.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Isaac Smith |
100% |
36.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Riley Schamp |
100% |
36.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Tate Watson |
100% |
68.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Liam Powers |
3.4 |
0.2 |
16.0 |
26.1 |
21.4 |
14.4 |
9.3 |
5.7 |
2.9 |
2.0 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nick Vega |
12.0 |
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.7 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
4.7 |
6.9 |
9.0 |
10.4 |
12.4 |
10.6 |
9.4 |
7.7 |
6.0 |
4.7 |
3.4 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
| Aidan Lawson |
15.6 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
3.2 |
4.3 |
6.5 |
8.1 |
8.9 |
10.2 |
9.1 |
8.9 |
6.6 |
6.5 |
4.8 |
5.4 |
4.5 |
3.3 |
2.4 |
1.5 |
| Zach Swedarsky |
16.7 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
6.8 |
8.3 |
8.7 |
8.4 |
7.7 |
8.3 |
7.9 |
7.2 |
6.0 |
5.2 |
4.0 |
3.2 |
2.3 |
| Isaac Smith |
20.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
2.0 |
2.9 |
4.6 |
5.1 |
6.7 |
7.4 |
7.5 |
7.7 |
7.9 |
8.5 |
8.0 |
8.0 |
7.0 |
| Riley Schamp |
20.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
4.3 |
5.1 |
6.0 |
6.8 |
7.3 |
7.9 |
8.4 |
7.8 |
8.1 |
8.3 |
7.3 |
| Tate Watson |
29.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
|
