Northridge
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #6
New Prairie Regional Rank #1
Elkhart Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.8%
Top 5 at State Finals 28.9%
Top 10 at State Finals 85.8%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Larry James Invitational NLC Round #1 Minutemen Invitational NLC Super Dual #2 New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
Date 8/18 8/24 9/3 9/14 9/17 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 193 225 268 277 322 274 246 240 224 274 219 168
Team Adjusted Rating 225 225 277 322 274 246 240 224 274 219 168
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Larry James Invitational NLC Round #1 Minutemen Invitational NLC Super Dual #2 New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
Baylor Miller 11 15:44 16:12 16:32 16:13 16:10 16:30 16:16 16:04 16:04 16:02 16:01 15:53 15:37
36  Xavier Miller 11 16:03 16:17 16:45 16:27 16:25 16:48 16:46 16:21 16:21 16:27 16:21 16:05 15:56
53  Marc Hernandez 12 16:14 16:26 16:11 16:00 16:32 16:35 16:36 16:11 16:18 16:25 16:57 16:29 16:07
151  Milo Bullaro 10 16:43 17:22 18:10 17:25 17:10 17:31 16:53 17:08 17:08 16:48 16:40 16:34 16:37
180  Brady Hicks 11 16:51 17:09 16:10 17:44 17:00 16:49 16:46 16:54 16:29 17:02 17:05 16:44
183  Joe Keyser 12 16:51 16:42 16:36 16:42 16:43 16:57 16:36 17:20 16:50 17:06 17:20 16:44
193  Colin Mack 12 16:52 17:55 17:30 17:47 17:10 17:49 17:19 17:37 17:35 17:07 17:09 17:01 16:45
560  Fernando Gutierrez 9 17:48 18:30 18:11 17:55 17:52 17:43 17:39 17:30 17:43 17:43
1,295  Connor Yutzy 10 18:52 19:44 19:00 18:39 18:53 18:42 18:47 18:58 18:37
Landon Swathwood 9 19:18 19:17 18:39 18:50 18:42 20:02 19:36 19:35




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 7.3 241 0.8 3.0 5.6 8.2 11.4 12.8 13.7 11.4 10.7 8.2 6.1 3.6 2.2 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.3 72 79.3 16.4 4.0 0.3
Sectionals 100% 1.0 32 100.0 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Baylor Miller 100% 11.0 0.2 0.9 2.3 4.7 6.2 6.7 6.4 5.6 5.9 6.1 5.0 4.2 4.2 4.0 3.6 3.2 3.2 2.6 2.4 2.0 1.9 1.7 1.3 1.5 1.2 100.0%
Xavier Miller 100% 34.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.7 1.3 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.7 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.7 2.4 2.0 100.0%
Marc Hernandez 100% 57.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 99.5%
Milo Bullaro 100% 141.4 53.5%
Brady Hicks 100% 163.4 28.5%
Joe Keyser 100% 164.9 28.0%
Colin Mack 100% 167.9 23.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Baylor Miller 100% 3.2 1.4 10.5 33.0 23.3 14.9 9.6 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Xavier Miller 100% 7.2 0.1 0.7 5.4 10.3 14.2 16.5 15.9 12.8 8.4 5.4 3.6 2.4 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Marc Hernandez 100% 10.6 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.8 5.3 9.1 11.1 13.1 11.4 10.0 8.3 6.3 5.1 4.0 3.0 2.2 1.9 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 100.0%
Milo Bullaro 100% 27.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.9 1.5 1.6 2.5 2.6 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.6 4.0 4.1 3.8 3.8 100.0%
Brady Hicks 100% 35.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.6 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.1 2.8 100.0%
Joe Keyser 100% 35.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.7 1.4 1.3 1.6 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.5 100.0%
Colin Mack 100% 37.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.9 1.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Baylor Miller 1.9 2.6 51.4 43.6 2.3 0.1
Xavier Miller 3.5 0.0 0.9 14.8 63.5 17.1 3.2 0.5 0.0 0.0
Marc Hernandez 4.7 1.0 11.4 52.6 26.3 6.6 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Milo Bullaro 8.8 0.0 3.9 12.7 18.3 17.8 13.8 11.3 7.7 5.6 3.5 2.6 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Brady Hicks 11.5 0.4 2.5 6.6 9.3 11.4 13.1 12.5 11.8 10.6 8.1 5.6 4.5 2.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Joe Keyser 11.6 0.5 2.8 5.8 8.6 11.5 12.6 13.5 12.1 10.2 8.1 6.6 4.0 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
Colin Mack 12.2 0.4 1.9 4.3 6.9 9.5 11.4 13.0 12.1 12.0 10.8 8.2 4.7 2.7 1.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1