All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
NIC Stomp |
Penn Invitational |
Harrison Invitational |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
| Team Rating |
307 | |
272 |
647 |
280 |
351 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
272 |
307 |
280 |
318 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
NIC Stomp |
Penn Invitational |
Harrison Invitational |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
|---|
| 75 |
Matt Givens |
12 |
16:30 |
16:22 |
16:34 |
|
16:31 |
18:45 |
| 112 |
Kush Grewel |
11 |
16:43 |
16:42 |
16:40 |
|
16:33 |
16:46 |
| 113 |
Aidan Probst |
12 |
16:43 |
17:24 |
16:31 |
|
16:39 |
|
| 137 |
Jack Ryan |
12 |
16:47 |
16:49 |
16:42 |
|
16:52 |
16:36 |
| 159 |
Tanner Mammolenti |
12 |
16:53 |
17:03 |
16:34 |
|
16:40 |
17:12 |
| 171 |
Brody Lederer |
10 |
16:55 |
17:18 |
16:53 |
|
16:48 |
16:47 |
| 221 |
Jack Scalise |
12 |
17:05 |
17:37 |
16:55 |
|
17:08 |
16:56 |
| 245 |
Kale Grewal |
11 |
17:09 |
17:22 |
16:50 |
|
16:43 |
17:50 |
| 288 |
Garrett Probst |
10 |
17:17 |
17:43 |
17:16 |
17:07 |
17:17 |
17:11 |
| 359 |
Tyler Rerick |
12 |
17:28 |
17:35 |
17:22 |
17:14 |
17:40 |
17:25 |
| 384 |
Ethan Schafer |
10 |
17:32 |
18:01 |
17:28 |
17:23 |
|
17:29 |
| 505 |
Brayden Mainwaring |
11 |
17:48 |
17:35 |
17:50 |
|
|
17:56 |
| 616 |
Noah Shafer |
|
18:03 |
|
|
|
|
18:01 |
| 637 |
Jackson Boyce |
|
18:05 |
|
|
|
|
18:03 |
| 710 |
Gavin Belzowski |
11 |
18:12 |
17:44 |
18:21 |
18:09 |
|
18:19 |
| 803 |
John Gutierez |
10 |
18:22 |
18:24 |
18:27 |
18:16 |
|
18:11 |
| 813 |
Nate Hannah |
10 |
18:23 |
|
18:35 |
18:24 |
|
18:07 |
| 818 |
Luke Petras |
|
18:23 |
|
|
|
|
18:21 |
| 831 |
Noah Koroscil |
12 |
18:24 |
|
18:21 |
18:28 |
|
20:57 |
| 936 |
Owen Newman |
10 |
18:33 |
18:46 |
18:32 |
18:23 |
|
|
| 950 |
Scott Eubank |
11 |
18:35 |
18:55 |
18:15 |
18:38 |
|
|
| 984 |
Oliver Dvorak |
12 |
18:38 |
|
18:36 |
18:26 |
|
18:57 |
| 996 |
Landon Graves |
12 |
18:40 |
17:54 |
18:59 |
|
|
|
| 1,021 |
Caleb Hubbard |
9 |
18:41 |
|
19:04 |
18:30 |
|
18:34 |
| 1,031 |
Calvin Hart |
10 |
18:42 |
|
18:27 |
18:49 |
|
18:49 |
| 1,081 |
Brett Spriggs |
11 |
18:47 |
17:43 |
18:49 |
|
|
19:04 |
| 1,084 |
Evan Wilson |
10 |
18:47 |
|
18:49 |
18:36 |
|
18:58 |
| 1,230 |
Connor Holmes |
9 |
19:00 |
|
19:13 |
19:16 |
|
18:10 |
|
Andrew Teddy |
10 |
19:03 |
|
19:08 |
18:56 |
|
|
|
Ben Reihl |
12 |
19:22 |
18:53 |
19:16 |
19:29 |
|
19:38 |
|
Parker Ransom |
10 |
20:01 |
18:45 |
20:41 |
19:37 |
|
20:29 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
98.1% |
13.0 |
353 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
4.4 |
5.5 |
6.3 |
6.8 |
8.2 |
8.7 |
8.0 |
8.1 |
7.1 |
6.0 |
5.1 |
4.3 |
3.6 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
| Regionals |
100% |
2.2 |
115 |
37.3 |
28.1 |
20.9 |
8.5 |
3.2 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
34 |
99.7 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Matt Givens |
99.0% |
78.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
47.4% |
94.3% |
| Kush Grewel |
98.2% |
118.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
7.2% |
70.7% |
| Aidan Probst |
98.1% |
118.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.1% |
70.9% |
| Jack Ryan |
98.1% |
132.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.0% |
57.4% |
| Tanner Mammolenti |
98.1% |
151.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
37.6% |
| Brody Lederer |
98.1% |
156.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.0% |
31.9% |
| Jack Scalise |
98.1% |
183.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
8.4% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Matt Givens |
100% |
15.6 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.8 |
4.3 |
6.6 |
7.2 |
7.1 |
7.4 |
7.9 |
6.5 |
6.8 |
6.3 |
5.8 |
4.8 |
4.1 |
3.5 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Kush Grewel |
100% |
23.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
3.9 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
5.1 |
5.1 |
5.0 |
5.7 |
5.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Aidan Probst |
100% |
23.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.7 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
4.6 |
4.8 |
4.6 |
5.3 |
5.7 |
5.0 |
5.5 |
4.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Jack Ryan |
100% |
27.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
4.6 |
4.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Tanner Mammolenti |
100% |
33.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Brody Lederer |
100% |
34.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Jack Scalise |
100% |
44.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Matt Givens |
2.9 |
|
6.7 |
50.2 |
20.4 |
11.4 |
6.0 |
3.0 |
1.4 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kush Grewel |
5.9 |
|
0.3 |
4.5 |
15.8 |
15.6 |
16.1 |
13.7 |
12.0 |
9.3 |
6.1 |
3.4 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Aidan Probst |
6.0 |
|
0.2 |
4.1 |
13.4 |
16.6 |
15.6 |
13.8 |
12.3 |
9.5 |
6.8 |
4.1 |
2.3 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jack Ryan |
7.3 |
|
0.1 |
1.3 |
6.5 |
10.0 |
13.5 |
14.7 |
14.0 |
11.8 |
10.6 |
8.4 |
4.9 |
2.9 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Tanner Mammolenti |
9.5 |
|
|
0.1 |
1.6 |
3.0 |
5.6 |
9.0 |
11.2 |
12.9 |
13.8 |
14.2 |
13.0 |
9.9 |
4.2 |
1.5 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Brody Lederer |
10.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
2.2 |
3.7 |
6.4 |
9.0 |
12.4 |
13.5 |
14.8 |
15.0 |
11.8 |
7.8 |
2.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jack Scalise |
13.1 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
2.6 |
5.0 |
7.8 |
12.4 |
18.4 |
24.8 |
25.4 |
1.7 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
