St. Joseph's
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #103
New Prairie Regional Rank #22
New Prairie Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Early Bird NIC Stomp South Bend City NorthWood Invitational New Prairie Kickoff Classic Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Northern Indiana Conference New Prairie Sectional New Prairie Regional
Date 8/18 8/24 8/29 9/7 9/10 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 872 829 908 824 822 816 874 824 914 884 883 828
Team Adjusted Rating 829 908 824 822 816 874 824 914 884 883 828
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Early Bird NIC Stomp South Bend City NorthWood Invitational New Prairie Kickoff Classic Wildcat Classic Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Northern Indiana Conference New Prairie Sectional New Prairie Regional
600  Gonzalo Serrano 11 17:52 17:39 17:45 17:45 17:48 17:45 17:47 17:51 18:05 18:04 17:42 17:53 17:43
651  Max Elick 11 17:57 17:57 18:04 17:53 17:51 17:49 17:46 18:37 17:42 18:11 18:02 17:47 17:49
682  James Sieradzki 9 18:00 17:36 17:54 17:40 17:46 17:37 17:40 17:54 18:16 18:19 18:22 18:05
939  Sam Mark 10 18:23 19:16 18:20 18:48 18:15 18:36 18:34 18:22 18:21 18:17 18:13 18:24 18:13
1,217  Aaron Robles 11 18:46 19:03 19:05 19:06 18:48 18:26 18:33 18:30 18:20 18:42 18:50 18:40 19:11
1,218  Colin Zwiller 11 18:46 19:11 18:59 19:07 19:03 18:40 18:46 18:59 18:52 18:36
Nate Weber 10 19:26 19:48 18:42 19:06 19:20 19:04 19:00 19:48 19:35 19:42 19:25 19:20 19:50
Peter Wright 9 20:04 20:18 20:10 21:11 20:06 19:51 20:45 19:16 19:44 19:55
Johnny Morin 10 20:12 19:54 20:02 19:52 20:49 20:00 20:13 20:24 20:04
Josh Dolniak 12 21:18 19:55 21:09 21:21 21:00 21:23 21:00 21:48 21:09




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 20.1 528 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.9 5.7 19.3 31.8 30.7 8.8 1.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 5.2 126 1.1 7.7 66.2 25.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gonzalo Serrano 100% 105.9 100.0%
Max Elick 100% 113.5 100.0%
James Sieradzki 100% 117.7 100.0%
Sam Mark 100% 147.8 100.0%
Aaron Robles 100% 175.2 100.0%
Colin Zwiller 100% 175.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gonzalo Serrano 19.9 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 6.5 12.8 14.9 14.4 12.5 11.1 9.4 6.5 4.2
Max Elick 21.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 2.0 5.5 8.4 10.8 12.4 13.0 12.8 12.1 9.7
James Sieradzki 22.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 3.2 5.2 9.1 10.6 12.3 13.5 13.4 10.9
Sam Mark 28.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.1 2.5 5.2
Aaron Robles 32.4 0.1
Colin Zwiller 32.4 0.0