Tri
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank Not in top 185
Shelbyville Regional Rank #40
Connersville Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Jeremy Wright Invite Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational Henry County Championship Tri-Eastern Conference Rushville Sectional Shelbyville Regional
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 10/1 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 1,399
Team Adjusted Rating 1,651 1,430 1,352 1,361 NEI 1,451 1,393
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Jeremy Wright Invite Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational Henry County Championship Tri-Eastern Conference Rushville Sectional Shelbyville Regional
1,130  Nathan Carmichael 12 18:39 17:52 18:40 18:25 18:01 18:29 NEI 18:48 18:41 18:47
1,316  Spencer Mummert 11 18:54 19:15 18:37 18:18 18:21 NEI 18:55 19:17 19:01
Ethan Chew 9 19:18 18:31 18:51 19:10 19:15 NEI 19:14 19:25 20:11
Kheagan Kindred 11 19:26 21:35 20:32 20:09 19:19 NEI 19:36 19:05 19:15
Zeth O'Neal 12 21:23 23:26 21:41 21:25 21:54 NEI 21:54 21:02
Caleb Cash 9 22:42 22:43 22:39




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 6.0 165 0.0 6.4 30.4 30.5 23.4 9.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathan Carmichael 100% 164.0 100.0% 99.9%
Spencer Mummert 100% 182.9 100.0% 98.5%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nathan Carmichael 16.1 0.3 1.7 4.3 7.0 8.5 9.6 9.1 8.4 8.6 7.6 7.1 6.1 5.1 4.3 3.8 2.7 2.2
Spencer Mummert 22.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.6 3.1 3.7 4.6 5.6 6.7 7.3 6.8 8.0 8.1 7.9