All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Hamilton County |
Harrison Invitational |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Twilight |
Noblesville JV Invite |
Brownsburg JV Invite |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/7 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
351 | |
271 |
368 |
369 |
373 |
441 |
355 |
1,198 |
670 |
305 |
381 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
271 |
333 |
369 |
373 |
318 |
355 |
351 |
343 |
305 |
381 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Hamilton County |
Harrison Invitational |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Twilight |
Noblesville JV Invite |
Brownsburg JV Invite |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 88 |
Ty Conner |
12 |
16:27 |
17:48 |
16:30 |
16:51 |
17:00 |
16:43 |
|
16:45 |
|
|
16:10 |
16:37 |
16:33 |
| 127 |
Will Snedeker |
12 |
16:38 |
17:27 |
16:00 |
|
16:24 |
16:36 |
|
16:54 |
|
|
16:30 |
16:52 |
|
| 139 |
Owen Mohler |
12 |
16:41 |
17:23 |
16:30 |
16:38 |
16:29 |
16:27 |
16:33 |
16:54 |
|
|
16:41 |
16:57 |
|
| 305 |
Luke Moulder |
10 |
17:12 |
18:21 |
17:22 |
17:24 |
17:17 |
17:08 |
16:50 |
16:54 |
|
|
17:03 |
17:50 |
|
| 315 |
Owen Dilley |
11 |
17:13 |
17:45 |
16:53 |
17:09 |
17:41 |
17:31 |
17:13 |
16:55 |
|
|
17:15 |
17:07 |
|
| 357 |
Nathan McKeever |
10 |
17:19 |
18:07 |
|
|
17:38 |
17:41 |
17:18 |
17:36 |
|
17:07 |
17:06 |
17:09 |
|
| 420 |
Caleb Haney |
11 |
17:28 |
17:44 |
|
|
|
|
|
17:44 |
|
17:39 |
17:30 |
17:19 |
|
| 500 |
Bryce Pittman |
10 |
17:39 |
17:51 |
17:05 |
16:56 |
|
17:57 |
|
17:46 |
|
17:48 |
|
|
|
| 504 |
Carson Ackley |
10 |
17:40 |
18:08 |
17:24 |
16:59 |
|
18:08 |
17:45 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 542 |
Drew Neely |
12 |
17:45 |
18:28 |
18:04 |
17:47 |
17:20 |
17:45 |
17:32 |
|
|
17:56 |
|
|
|
| 662 |
Maxim Poirer |
12 |
17:58 |
|
17:52 |
17:59 |
17:15 |
18:04 |
17:58 |
17:57 |
|
18:10 |
|
|
|
| 721 |
Jp Mikels |
10 |
18:04 |
18:04 |
18:14 |
|
18:16 |
17:53 |
18:05 |
17:53 |
|
19:25 |
|
|
|
| 761 |
Dexter Hoffman |
9 |
18:08 |
|
|
|
18:10 |
18:38 |
18:00 |
18:07 |
|
17:57 |
|
|
|
| 819 |
Chase Niccum |
10 |
18:14 |
|
18:17 |
|
18:18 |
18:12 |
17:54 |
18:29 |
|
18:10 |
|
|
|
| 889 |
Deagan Imel |
10 |
18:20 |
18:35 |
18:22 |
|
18:25 |
17:50 |
18:15 |
18:16 |
|
18:43 |
|
|
|
| 926 |
Graham Hoffman |
11 |
18:22 |
20:39 |
18:01 |
18:17 |
18:48 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 928 |
Landon Jones |
12 |
18:23 |
17:36 |
|
|
18:02 |
19:22 |
18:18 |
18:04 |
|
18:36 |
|
|
|
| 936 |
Donovan Ledford |
10 |
18:23 |
|
|
|
18:47 |
18:13 |
18:28 |
18:23 |
|
18:07 |
|
|
|
| 1,111 |
Taye Gutwein |
11 |
18:37 |
18:30 |
18:31 |
|
19:26 |
18:13 |
18:52 |
18:31 |
|
18:29 |
|
|
|
| 1,192 |
John Obusek |
10 |
18:43 |
|
18:54 |
|
18:25 |
18:41 |
18:46 |
18:35 |
18:38 |
18:57 |
|
|
|
| 1,196 |
Jace Lee |
11 |
18:44 |
|
18:29 |
|
19:33 |
18:57 |
18:23 |
18:33 |
18:41 |
18:48 |
|
|
|
| 1,232 |
Tyler O'Rourke |
9 |
18:47 |
|
|
|
18:18 |
19:13 |
18:39 |
18:37 |
19:15 |
18:37 |
|
|
|
| 1,284 |
Luke Stevens |
9 |
18:51 |
|
|
|
18:52 |
18:55 |
18:38 |
18:43 |
18:57 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,359 |
Corwyn Barrows |
12 |
18:57 |
19:00 |
18:53 |
|
18:46 |
18:40 |
18:59 |
19:20 |
|
20:18 |
|
|
|
|
Parker Johnson |
9 |
19:42 |
|
18:50 |
|
20:03 |
20:16 |
20:10 |
19:25 |
19:31 |
19:34 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
6.3 |
199 |
|
0.2 |
1.0 |
4.0 |
12.7 |
42.3 |
32.5 |
5.2 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
4.0 |
111 |
|
0.3 |
4.3 |
94.3 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ty Conner |
95.3% |
88.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
95.3% |
95.3% |
| Will Snedeker |
71.7% |
114.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
71.7% |
71.7% |
| Owen Mohler |
61.6% |
122.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
61.6% |
61.6% |
| Luke Moulder |
0.7% |
170.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.7% |
0.7% |
| Owen Dilley |
0.6% |
172.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.6% |
0.6% |
| Nathan McKeever |
0.1% |
163.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ty Conner |
100% |
18.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
4.1 |
4.9 |
5.4 |
6.0 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
5.5 |
4.2 |
4.4 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Will Snedeker |
100% |
28.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Owen Mohler |
100% |
32.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Luke Moulder |
100% |
70.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Owen Dilley |
100% |
72.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Nathan McKeever |
100% |
79.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Caleb Haney |
100% |
90.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ty Conner |
12.3 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
5.3 |
5.9 |
8.0 |
9.7 |
12.2 |
10.6 |
8.5 |
6.7 |
6.6 |
5.5 |
4.1 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
| Will Snedeker |
17.4 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
2.5 |
5.2 |
6.8 |
7.2 |
7.2 |
7.2 |
7.1 |
7.2 |
7.6 |
6.7 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
5.2 |
4.4 |
3.8 |
| Owen Mohler |
19.1 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
2.4 |
4.5 |
6.7 |
6.2 |
6.7 |
6.0 |
6.6 |
6.9 |
7.5 |
7.1 |
7.0 |
7.7 |
6.1 |
5.0 |
| Luke Moulder |
30.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
| Owen Dilley |
30.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
2.3 |
| Nathan McKeever |
32.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
| Caleb Haney |
35.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
