All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Rushville Invitational |
Landes Invite |
Marion Invitational |
Randolph Southern Invitational |
Phil Clay Invite |
Jim Leffler Invitational |
Pioneer Academic Athletic Conf. |
Burris Invite |
Winchester Invite |
Marion Sectional |
New Haven Regional |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/31 |
9/5 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/18 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/2 |
10/5 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
| Team Rating |
1,473 | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
1,527 |
1,626 |
1,438 |
1,533 |
1,403 |
1,505 |
1,391 |
1,389 |
1,472 |
1,486 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Rushville Invitational |
Landes Invite |
Marion Invitational |
Randolph Southern Invitational |
Phil Clay Invite |
Jim Leffler Invitational |
Pioneer Academic Athletic Conf. |
Burris Invite |
Winchester Invite |
Marion Sectional |
New Haven Regional |
|---|
| 713 |
Noah Smith |
11 |
18:03 |
18:14 |
17:40 |
18:07 |
17:58 |
17:58 |
17:36 |
17:58 |
18:06 |
18:29 |
18:11 |
18:17 |
18:13 |
| 1,321 |
Luke Beghtal |
10 |
18:54 |
|
19:40 |
18:57 |
18:36 |
19:06 |
18:42 |
19:18 |
|
18:40 |
18:43 |
18:48 |
18:45 |
|
Judah Branam |
12 |
19:39 |
19:03 |
19:35 |
20:11 |
19:21 |
19:45 |
19:20 |
19:59 |
19:42 |
19:22 |
19:42 |
19:33 |
|
|
A.J. Carter |
12 |
20:55 |
19:24 |
21:21 |
21:32 |
21:06 |
21:03 |
20:27 |
20:40 |
20:29 |
20:20 |
|
21:32 |
|
|
Tandi Beier |
12 |
20:58 |
|
|
21:58 |
21:04 |
21:29 |
22:09 |
|
20:17 |
20:35 |
|
20:37 |
|
|
Jonas Merrill |
11 |
21:55 |
|
21:44 |
22:48 |
21:37 |
22:50 |
21:40 |
22:22 |
22:24 |
21:39 |
21:28 |
21:38 |
|
|
Lincoln Arthur |
12 |
22:04 |
|
|
|
22:36 |
|
21:44 |
22:25 |
|
21:45 |
21:56 |
21:57 |
|
|
Nathan Sours |
9 |
22:19 |
|
22:58 |
|
|
22:58 |
22:46 |
22:17 |
22:07 |
21:43 |
21:49 |
|
|
|
Abe Arthur |
12 |
22:46 |
|
22:30 |
23:36 |
|
23:04 |
|
|
22:16 |
|
|
|
|
|
Owen Lawler |
11 |
23:08 |
|
23:51 |
25:20 |
23:53 |
23:59 |
|
22:30 |
23:18 |
22:37 |
22:03 |
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
5.9 |
182 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
11.1 |
88.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.
