All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Hamilton County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
| Team Rating |
229 | |
524 |
212 |
256 |
223 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
229 |
212 |
256 |
223 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Hamilton County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
|---|
| 49 |
Jack Capes |
12 |
16:19 |
16:10 |
|
16:01 |
16:35 |
16:26 |
| 56 |
Kiefer Jay |
12 |
16:22 |
16:21 |
|
16:24 |
16:19 |
16:21 |
| 63 |
Jonah Kaul |
10 |
16:26 |
16:16 |
|
16:25 |
16:25 |
16:33 |
| 83 |
Carter Buhr |
11 |
16:32 |
16:15 |
|
16:44 |
16:39 |
16:22 |
| 99 |
Deklin Bowser |
11 |
16:38 |
16:43 |
|
16:28 |
16:49 |
16:30 |
| 203 |
Zach Flint |
11 |
17:01 |
17:59 |
16:58 |
16:46 |
16:56 |
17:05 |
| 214 |
Ben Meisner |
10 |
17:03 |
17:28 |
16:43 |
17:02 |
17:10 |
16:55 |
| 238 |
Cohen Levy |
12 |
17:08 |
17:21 |
|
17:03 |
17:01 |
17:06 |
| 289 |
Isaac Perrin |
11 |
17:17 |
17:41 |
|
17:02 |
17:26 |
17:10 |
| 299 |
William Gilhooly |
12 |
17:19 |
21:20 |
17:56 |
17:16 |
16:44 |
16:56 |
| 348 |
Cooper Szotek |
10 |
17:27 |
|
17:38 |
16:54 |
17:36 |
|
| 431 |
Eli Gomez |
12 |
17:38 |
17:13 |
|
17:55 |
17:45 |
17:29 |
| 437 |
Josh Cale |
12 |
17:40 |
16:52 |
|
17:45 |
|
17:44 |
| 491 |
Zachary Judy |
10 |
17:46 |
|
17:33 |
17:38 |
17:53 |
17:56 |
| 494 |
Lucas Mallon |
12 |
17:47 |
17:45 |
|
|
17:48 |
17:45 |
| 496 |
Trevor Walton |
10 |
17:48 |
18:13 |
17:40 |
17:39 |
17:49 |
17:44 |
| 617 |
Dominic Riego |
12 |
18:03 |
18:41 |
17:57 |
17:54 |
17:57 |
18:09 |
| 674 |
Grant Vannahmen |
9 |
18:08 |
|
18:04 |
17:56 |
18:26 |
18:04 |
| 719 |
Noah Yoon |
12 |
18:14 |
18:17 |
17:58 |
18:12 |
18:20 |
18:09 |
| 738 |
Max Bontrager |
12 |
18:15 |
18:15 |
18:11 |
18:17 |
18:17 |
18:04 |
| 752 |
Amory Spence |
12 |
18:16 |
18:14 |
18:25 |
18:29 |
17:55 |
|
| 852 |
Grant Parkevich |
9 |
18:26 |
|
18:31 |
18:20 |
18:06 |
18:48 |
| 855 |
Cameron Scher-Millan |
9 |
18:26 |
|
18:22 |
18:43 |
18:14 |
|
| 898 |
Neil Adesara |
10 |
18:30 |
|
18:11 |
18:41 |
18:28 |
18:31 |
| 913 |
Sebastian Balarezo |
11 |
18:31 |
18:34 |
18:43 |
18:19 |
18:24 |
|
| 976 |
Nathan Yang |
10 |
18:37 |
|
18:14 |
18:31 |
19:33 |
|
| 1,038 |
Nick Diehl |
10 |
18:43 |
18:21 |
18:33 |
18:54 |
19:23 |
18:25 |
| 1,050 |
Nixon Trisler |
9 |
18:43 |
|
18:52 |
20:38 |
18:12 |
18:58 |
| 1,055 |
Luke Lory |
10 |
18:44 |
|
19:26 |
18:53 |
18:25 |
18:23 |
| 1,144 |
Grant Lawson |
12 |
18:52 |
18:39 |
|
18:58 |
18:53 |
18:51 |
| 1,192 |
Jesus Mejia |
11 |
18:57 |
|
18:45 |
19:14 |
18:50 |
18:57 |
| 1,207 |
Ben Snyder |
10 |
18:58 |
|
18:27 |
20:33 |
19:02 |
19:13 |
|
Ryan Finkbeiner |
12 |
19:00 |
19:08 |
18:53 |
19:15 |
18:50 |
18:51 |
|
Marcus Primason |
10 |
19:01 |
|
19:18 |
18:49 |
|
18:57 |
|
Ishan Choudhary |
12 |
19:09 |
18:33 |
|
19:04 |
19:34 |
|
|
John Norton |
10 |
19:09 |
19:27 |
19:10 |
20:25 |
19:11 |
18:44 |
|
Kerolos Khalil |
10 |
19:10 |
|
19:07 |
19:35 |
19:03 |
18:57 |
|
Nate Gaddy |
10 |
19:12 |
|
18:39 |
19:18 |
19:12 |
19:26 |
|
Jack Sims |
10 |
19:15 |
|
18:59 |
19:36 |
19:09 |
19:13 |
|
Isaac Mehle |
11 |
19:17 |
|
19:00 |
19:22 |
18:55 |
20:19 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
6.5 |
231 |
3.5 |
6.1 |
9.4 |
12.0 |
13.0 |
12.7 |
10.0 |
8.4 |
6.5 |
5.2 |
3.9 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.9 |
77 |
10.3 |
87.2 |
2.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
28 |
95.3 |
4.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jack Capes |
100% |
51.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
|
99.8% |
| Kiefer Jay |
100% |
58.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
|
99.6% |
| Jonah Kaul |
100% |
69.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
|
99.1% |
| Carter Buhr |
100% |
84.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
97.4% |
| Deklin Bowser |
100% |
103.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
92.4% |
| Zach Flint |
100% |
175.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
27.8% |
| Ben Meisner |
100% |
179.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
24.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jack Capes |
100% |
12.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
3.6 |
4.8 |
5.4 |
7.8 |
8.6 |
9.5 |
9.7 |
9.3 |
8.7 |
6.7 |
6.4 |
4.1 |
3.2 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Kiefer Jay |
100% |
14.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
4.2 |
5.2 |
6.4 |
7.6 |
9.3 |
9.1 |
8.7 |
8.9 |
7.7 |
7.2 |
5.6 |
4.3 |
3.0 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Jonah Kaul |
100% |
16.3 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
3.1 |
3.8 |
4.9 |
6.3 |
7.9 |
7.4 |
9.7 |
9.4 |
8.9 |
7.2 |
6.6 |
5.5 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Carter Buhr |
100% |
18.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
5.7 |
6.6 |
7.6 |
9.4 |
8.6 |
9.2 |
7.4 |
7.2 |
5.3 |
4.6 |
3.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Deklin Bowser |
100% |
21.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
4.7 |
5.4 |
6.9 |
7.8 |
8.2 |
8.7 |
7.7 |
7.2 |
6.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Zach Flint |
100% |
38.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Ben Meisner |
100% |
40.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jack Capes |
2.7 |
2.1 |
27.3 |
31.0 |
17.5 |
10.4 |
5.8 |
2.8 |
1.7 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kiefer Jay |
3.5 |
0.8 |
14.4 |
24.1 |
23.6 |
16.0 |
9.3 |
5.6 |
3.2 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jonah Kaul |
4.6 |
0.3 |
5.9 |
11.9 |
19.4 |
21.7 |
16.2 |
9.7 |
6.9 |
4.2 |
2.2 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Carter Buhr |
5.9 |
|
1.4 |
3.8 |
8.9 |
16.9 |
21.4 |
16.1 |
11.7 |
8.4 |
6.6 |
3.3 |
1.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Deklin Bowser |
7.5 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
2.4 |
5.0 |
12.1 |
21.8 |
14.9 |
14.2 |
11.6 |
10.0 |
5.7 |
1.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Zach Flint |
12.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.5 |
3.2 |
5.4 |
9.0 |
14.4 |
23.3 |
20.8 |
8.6 |
5.7 |
3.6 |
2.1 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
| Ben Meisner |
13.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.3 |
2.2 |
4.1 |
7.2 |
12.1 |
21.6 |
23.0 |
11.3 |
7.1 |
4.7 |
2.5 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
