Central Noble
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #131
New Haven Regional Rank #28
West Noble Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Laker Invitational Prairie Heights Invitational NECC 7-Way NECC Super Dual West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Northeast Corner Conference West Noble Sectional New Haven Regional
Date 8/24 8/31 9/3 9/11 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 1,004 1,123 1,059 1,053 1,128 1,136 1,014 952 1,007
Team Adjusted Rating 1,005 1,059 1,053 1,128 1,136 1,014 952 1,007
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Laker Invitational Prairie Heights Invitational NECC 7-Way NECC Super Dual West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Northeast Corner Conference West Noble Sectional New Haven Regional
731  Kyle Knafel 11 18:04 18:28 17:50 17:42 17:57 18:07 18:10 18:13 18:08 18:00 18:03
940  Jaxon Kitchen 12 18:23 19:17 18:41 18:28 18:16 18:14 18:24 18:10 18:00 18:26 18:42
1,066  Keegan Knight 11 18:32 18:54 18:32 18:37 18:39 19:07 18:22 18:24 18:20 18:27 18:28
1,145  Malachi Malcolm 12 18:40 17:59 18:39 18:20 18:34 18:20 18:59 19:38 18:38 18:23 18:39
1,370  Ruger Lough 9 18:57 20:12 19:48 20:15 19:52 19:49 18:43 18:47
Mason Frey 12 20:54 20:49 20:26 21:11 20:16 20:57 21:24 19:40 22:05




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 21.2 511 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.7 3.1 4.7 7.7 10.9 15.1 20.2 27.9 6.7
Sectionals 100% 5.5 155 0.0 1.1 15.4 29.7 41.4 10.3 1.8 0.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kyle Knafel 100% 90.6 100.0%
Jaxon Kitchen 100% 124.3 99.0%
Keegan Knight 100% 141.1 95.1%
Malachi Malcolm 100% 154.7 85.1%
Ruger Lough 100% 181.2 39.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kyle Knafel 20.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.9 6.9 12.5 13.6 13.0 12.0 11.0 8.7 6.9 4.6
Jaxon Kitchen 26.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.1 3.6 5.2 7.0 8.3 9.2
Keegan Knight 29.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 2.3 2.7 4.5
Malachi Malcolm 33.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.3
Ruger Lough 41.7 0.0