All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Brownsburg 4k |
Hamilton County |
State Preview |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
| Team Rating |
242 | |
256 |
241 |
242 |
782 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
256 |
218 |
242 |
242 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Brownsburg 4k |
Hamilton County |
State Preview |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
|---|
| 1 |
Sam Quagliaroli |
12 |
15:15 |
15:13 |
15:14 |
15:21 |
15:30 |
|
| 84 |
Bryson Slagle |
12 |
16:32 |
16:39 |
16:22 |
|
16:30 |
|
| 87 |
Nate Thomas |
11 |
16:33 |
16:11 |
16:54 |
16:21 |
16:37 |
|
| 132 |
Parker Melling |
12 |
16:46 |
16:44 |
16:50 |
16:38 |
16:51 |
|
| 165 |
Dylan Wolf |
12 |
16:53 |
16:42 |
16:58 |
16:49 |
16:58 |
|
| 182 |
Reece Torres |
10 |
16:57 |
16:52 |
17:14 |
16:58 |
16:44 |
|
| 193 |
Henry Wood |
12 |
17:00 |
16:33 |
17:02 |
17:12 |
16:55 |
|
| 207 |
Declan Mohr |
11 |
17:02 |
16:56 |
16:55 |
17:03 |
17:07 |
|
| 224 |
Grant Yount |
12 |
17:06 |
|
17:02 |
16:55 |
17:17 |
|
| 263 |
Cooper Mohr |
12 |
17:13 |
16:49 |
17:27 |
17:21 |
17:00 |
|
| 432 |
Jonathon Albright |
12 |
17:38 |
17:43 |
17:32 |
17:36 |
17:34 |
|
| 547 |
Braylen Floyd |
9 |
17:53 |
|
17:42 |
17:44 |
18:15 |
17:53 |
| 558 |
Dalton Keele |
11 |
17:55 |
17:44 |
17:43 |
17:59 |
17:51 |
18:14 |
| 633 |
Kale Ormes |
10 |
18:04 |
18:29 |
18:03 |
18:05 |
18:04 |
17:43 |
| 653 |
Brady FitzGerald |
11 |
18:06 |
|
18:12 |
18:18 |
17:52 |
17:59 |
| 660 |
Simeon Brown |
10 |
18:07 |
18:18 |
18:04 |
18:05 |
17:56 |
|
| 732 |
Mason Lapp |
11 |
18:15 |
18:00 |
18:28 |
18:25 |
18:11 |
18:02 |
| 778 |
Kaiser Shockley |
10 |
18:19 |
18:34 |
18:03 |
18:17 |
18:15 |
18:23 |
| 784 |
Ethan Stayer |
10 |
18:20 |
18:45 |
18:04 |
|
|
|
| 804 |
Sam Wing |
11 |
18:22 |
|
18:29 |
18:20 |
18:15 |
18:19 |
| 808 |
Kaine Eberly |
9 |
18:22 |
|
18:15 |
18:41 |
18:15 |
18:18 |
| 812 |
Ajuna Muzoora |
10 |
18:23 |
18:40 |
17:57 |
18:53 |
18:08 |
18:21 |
| 971 |
Grant Fasnacht |
11 |
18:37 |
|
18:40 |
18:41 |
18:40 |
18:19 |
| 1,014 |
Elliot Six |
11 |
18:41 |
|
18:17 |
18:47 |
18:52 |
18:37 |
| 1,122 |
Carter Clendenen |
12 |
18:51 |
18:14 |
18:44 |
18:51 |
19:09 |
|
| 1,162 |
Drake Kane |
10 |
18:55 |
|
18:29 |
19:47 |
19:00 |
18:39 |
| 1,168 |
Daelan Montgomery |
9 |
18:55 |
|
18:51 |
18:57 |
|
|
| 1,184 |
Gabe Rush |
10 |
18:56 |
|
19:16 |
18:59 |
18:49 |
18:40 |
| 1,200 |
Noah Coles |
10 |
18:57 |
18:31 |
19:42 |
18:53 |
18:38 |
19:10 |
|
Hudson Ayers |
11 |
19:20 |
18:52 |
19:19 |
19:34 |
19:18 |
19:19 |
|
Grayson Matthews |
12 |
19:21 |
19:10 |
19:50 |
|
19:14 |
19:15 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
96.8% |
8.4 |
269 |
0.4 |
1.8 |
3.3 |
5.5 |
8.8 |
10.0 |
10.7 |
10.6 |
11.8 |
8.9 |
7.9 |
6.0 |
4.5 |
2.9 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.3 |
100 |
4.3 |
24.6 |
29.2 |
24.5 |
14.2 |
2.8 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.5 |
67 |
4.7 |
40.2 |
53.6 |
1.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sam Quagliaroli |
100% |
1.0 |
63.4 |
18.0 |
8.8 |
4.3 |
2.2 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Bryson Slagle |
98.8% |
83.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
63.3% |
95.7% |
| Nate Thomas |
98.5% |
88.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
51.3% |
94.7% |
| Parker Melling |
97.1% |
130.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.9% |
66.9% |
| Dylan Wolf |
96.9% |
153.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.6% |
44.3% |
| Reece Torres |
96.8% |
163.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
32.6% |
| Henry Wood |
96.8% |
171.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
24.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sam Quagliaroli |
100% |
1.0 |
95.4 |
4.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Bryson Slagle |
100% |
17.2 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.6 |
4.8 |
4.7 |
5.7 |
4.7 |
5.4 |
5.2 |
5.0 |
4.1 |
3.9 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Nate Thomas |
100% |
18.6 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
4.2 |
4.7 |
5.3 |
4.6 |
4.8 |
5.0 |
4.1 |
4.8 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
3.8 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Parker Melling |
100% |
32.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Dylan Wolf |
100% |
40.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Reece Torres |
100% |
45.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Henry Wood |
100% |
49.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sam Quagliaroli |
1.0 |
95.5 |
4.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bryson Slagle |
12.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
2.6 |
4.0 |
4.9 |
6.6 |
8.9 |
9.8 |
9.1 |
8.4 |
8.2 |
7.0 |
6.9 |
5.3 |
4.5 |
3.6 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
| Nate Thomas |
12.7 |
|
|
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
3.2 |
4.4 |
6.4 |
7.3 |
9.3 |
9.4 |
8.5 |
9.1 |
7.8 |
6.8 |
6.0 |
4.6 |
4.2 |
3.6 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
| Parker Melling |
18.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
2.6 |
3.5 |
4.8 |
5.7 |
6.9 |
8.0 |
7.8 |
9.0 |
8.2 |
8.4 |
7.6 |
7.2 |
5.8 |
4.6 |
| Dylan Wolf |
22.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
3.2 |
4.0 |
5.3 |
6.0 |
6.6 |
8.2 |
8.9 |
9.1 |
9.7 |
8.6 |
| Reece Torres |
23.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
5.5 |
6.7 |
8.2 |
8.8 |
9.7 |
10.2 |
| Henry Wood |
25.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
5.9 |
7.1 |
8.8 |
9.8 |
|
