Floyd Central
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #26
Mater Dei Regional Rank #5
Crawford County Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.1%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off St. Xavier Tiger Run Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational Rick Weinheimer Invite Brown County Eagle Classic Trinity/Valkyrie Hoosier Hills Conference Crawford County Sectional Mater Dei Regional State Finals
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 10/5 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 387 415 514 355 362 358 397 544 483 368 376
Team Adjusted Rating 415 445 355 362 358 397 430 483 368 376
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off St. Xavier Tiger Run Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational Rick Weinheimer Invite Brown County Eagle Classic Trinity/Valkyrie Hoosier Hills Conference Crawford County Sectional Mater Dei Regional State Finals
27  Luca Cirincione 12 15:59 15:46 16:16 16:05 15:50 15:57 15:58 15:49 16:14 16:02 16:04 15:52
44  Noah Nifong 12 16:10 16:06 16:18 16:55 16:11 16:11 16:13 16:29 16:22 16:44 16:17 16:03
158  Luke Baylor 9 16:44 16:42 16:43 16:32 16:39 16:45 16:43 17:15 16:35 16:55
488  Hikari Shiga 12 17:38 18:03 17:43 17:35 17:37 17:30 17:35 18:13 17:53 17:29 17:36
610  Hunter Schultheis 9 17:52 17:58 18:30 17:39 17:37 17:52 17:50 17:54 18:13 17:45
629  Miles Elrod 11 17:54 18:32 17:51 17:59 17:42 17:53 18:13 17:51 17:59 17:44 17:54
773  Liam Borchers 10 18:09 18:45 18:02 18:35 18:27 18:51 18:40 18:19 18:12 18:18 18:02
1,127  Owen Cassady 12 18:38 18:59 17:59 18:40 18:35 18:20 18:54 18:49
Mark Brown 11 19:11 19:44 20:09 18:59 18:47
Trey Pinter 9 19:11 18:47 19:00 19:04 18:51 19:43 19:25
Garison Phelps 11 19:14 18:47 19:20 19:04 19:12 19:23




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 17.9 451 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.8 5.0 9.1 12.9 13.9 14.0 12.9 10.0 7.9 5.0 2.8 1.4 0.6
Regionals 100% 5.1 202 0.0 32.0 39.5 17.8 6.9 3.0 0.6 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 37 98.8 1.2 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luca Cirincione 100% 27.4 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.7 1.6 1.8 2.4 2.2 2.7 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.4 100.0%
Noah Nifong 100% 47.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.7 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.4 100.0%
Luke Baylor 100% 144.6 69.2%
Hikari Shiga 100% 230.1 0.0%
Hunter Schultheis 100% 236.0 0.0%
Miles Elrod 100% 236.8 0.0%
Liam Borchers 100% 242.4 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luca Cirincione 100% 8.1 1.2 3.1 5.4 6.5 6.9 8.8 8.1 8.9 9.1 9.3 7.8 6.4 4.7 3.7 2.9 2.2 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Noah Nifong 100% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.4 2.1 3.8 4.1 4.9 7.1 7.1 8.4 8.6 7.4 7.5 5.9 5.7 4.7 3.6 3.6 2.3 2.2 1.7 1.6 1.4 100.0%
Luke Baylor 100% 33.9 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.7 1.7 1.8 100.0%
Hikari Shiga 100% 77.5 100.0%
Hunter Schultheis 100% 92.3 100.0%
Miles Elrod 100% 94.4 100.0%
Liam Borchers 100% 112.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luca Cirincione 1.3 33.8 56.5 9.3 0.4
Noah Nifong 2.4 3.5 19.6 68.9 6.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Luke Baylor 5.7 0.0 14.3 21.2 22.1 19.4 12.1 6.7 4.0 0.1
Hikari Shiga 11.4 0.1 0.4 1.8 33.3 32.5 15.7 8.1 3.6 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Hunter Schultheis 14.3 0.1 1.9 9.5 17.1 17.1 14.1 12.4 9.3 6.0 4.1 3.2 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.4
Miles Elrod 14.8 0.0 1.2 7.2 13.5 16.2 14.4 12.9 10.8 7.8 5.6 3.9 2.6 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.4
Liam Borchers 19.6 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.2 6.6 8.6 11.1 10.5 10.6 10.0 8.7 7.2 6.0 4.6