All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/14 |
| Team Rating |
247 | |
255 |
227 |
314 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
255 |
213 |
226 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
|---|
| 26 |
Liam Powers |
11 |
16:08 |
16:19 |
16:13 |
15:51 |
|
| 74 |
Isaac Smith |
10 |
16:29 |
16:20 |
16:37 |
|
|
| 80 |
Nick Vega |
12 |
16:31 |
16:18 |
16:34 |
16:32 |
16:33 |
| 101 |
Zach Swedarsky |
12 |
16:38 |
16:48 |
16:30 |
16:32 |
16:41 |
| 141 |
Ben Tuckis |
12 |
16:48 |
16:57 |
17:00 |
16:32 |
16:40 |
| 144 |
Aidan Lawson |
12 |
16:49 |
17:13 |
17:00 |
16:44 |
16:24 |
| 195 |
Michael Chalfant |
12 |
17:01 |
16:43 |
16:59 |
16:56 |
17:18 |
| 278 |
Isaac Ober |
11 |
17:15 |
|
16:48 |
17:11 |
17:51 |
| 301 |
William Henning |
11 |
17:19 |
16:57 |
|
19:41 |
17:33 |
| 340 |
Hayden Hoback |
10 |
17:25 |
|
17:22 |
17:25 |
|
| 372 |
Tate Watson |
12 |
17:30 |
17:29 |
17:24 |
16:54 |
18:26 |
| 383 |
Deagan Baker |
12 |
17:32 |
17:33 |
17:35 |
17:15 |
17:36 |
| 454 |
Charlie Ritter |
10 |
17:42 |
|
17:42 |
17:43 |
17:35 |
| 462 |
Sam Elliott |
11 |
17:42 |
17:57 |
17:47 |
17:40 |
17:27 |
| 470 |
Monroe Cluff |
11 |
17:44 |
18:14 |
17:35 |
17:38 |
|
| 504 |
Joshua Montgomery |
11 |
17:48 |
17:00 |
17:41 |
17:52 |
18:10 |
| 529 |
Pj Key |
9 |
17:51 |
|
18:06 |
17:38 |
|
| 548 |
Elijah Cluff |
|
17:54 |
|
|
|
17:52 |
| 578 |
Max Kleinbub |
9 |
17:57 |
|
17:54 |
17:44 |
18:16 |
| 642 |
Sam Pridmore |
|
18:05 |
|
|
|
18:03 |
| 725 |
Cameron Conn |
9 |
18:14 |
|
18:10 |
18:24 |
18:04 |
| 792 |
Drew Cole |
9 |
18:20 |
|
18:19 |
|
|
| 826 |
Drew McNiven |
9 |
18:24 |
|
18:01 |
18:35 |
18:30 |
| 827 |
Aiden Brier |
9 |
18:24 |
|
18:21 |
18:19 |
18:30 |
| 932 |
Kaden Jones |
12 |
18:33 |
19:04 |
18:40 |
17:35 |
18:39 |
| 973 |
MacKey Pope |
9 |
18:37 |
|
18:55 |
18:31 |
18:26 |
| 975 |
Trewman Francis |
9 |
18:37 |
|
18:35 |
18:38 |
|
| 990 |
Liam McNiven |
11 |
18:39 |
18:23 |
19:21 |
18:30 |
|
| 1,102 |
Justin Bove |
10 |
18:49 |
|
18:48 |
18:47 |
|
| 1,206 |
Andrew Voight |
11 |
18:58 |
18:38 |
19:04 |
19:25 |
18:42 |
|
Connor Pugh |
11 |
19:01 |
18:59 |
18:52 |
19:29 |
18:52 |
|
Evan Leblanc |
12 |
19:25 |
18:20 |
20:12 |
19:35 |
19:08 |
|
Nate Randolph |
9 |
19:28 |
|
18:55 |
19:25 |
20:20 |
|
Samuel Brown |
11 |
19:32 |
|
19:31 |
19:01 |
20:05 |
|
Noah Kline |
12 |
19:37 |
18:57 |
20:00 |
22:28 |
|
|
Graham Weier |
11 |
21:00 |
21:01 |
21:11 |
20:58 |
20:42 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
97.9% |
7.8 |
257 |
1.5 |
2.9 |
5.1 |
8.4 |
9.9 |
10.8 |
10.9 |
10.9 |
8.7 |
7.7 |
5.7 |
4.7 |
4.0 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.9 |
89 |
9.2 |
37.0 |
26.2 |
16.6 |
8.9 |
2.0 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.4 |
64 |
8.4 |
48.5 |
41.5 |
1.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Liam Powers |
100% |
32.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Isaac Smith |
99.3% |
76.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
68.2% |
97.7% |
| Nick Vega |
98.9% |
82.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
50.5% |
96.0% |
| Zach Swedarsky |
98.4% |
104.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
25.2% |
87.6% |
| Ben Tuckis |
97.9% |
134.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.9% |
63.2% |
| Aidan Lawson |
97.9% |
140.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.9% |
58.8% |
| Michael Chalfant |
97.9% |
173.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
22.4% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Liam Powers |
100% |
5.3 |
0.0 |
3.4 |
15.7 |
15.2 |
12.8 |
11.2 |
9.6 |
8.3 |
6.4 |
4.7 |
3.8 |
2.7 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Isaac Smith |
100% |
15.2 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
4.2 |
4.8 |
5.9 |
6.0 |
6.4 |
6.1 |
5.8 |
5.4 |
4.9 |
4.7 |
3.7 |
4.3 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Nick Vega |
100% |
17.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
5.2 |
4.9 |
5.5 |
6.1 |
5.2 |
5.5 |
5.3 |
4.5 |
3.7 |
3.9 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Zach Swedarsky |
100% |
23.4 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
3.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Ben Tuckis |
100% |
33.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Aidan Lawson |
100% |
35.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Michael Chalfant |
100% |
50.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Liam Powers |
4.3 |
0.0 |
4.3 |
24.9 |
16.1 |
13.7 |
12.3 |
10.4 |
7.6 |
4.8 |
2.8 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Isaac Smith |
11.1 |
|
|
0.2 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
3.8 |
4.6 |
6.4 |
8.8 |
10.7 |
10.1 |
11.2 |
9.4 |
8.0 |
6.3 |
4.9 |
3.6 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
| Nick Vega |
12.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
3.2 |
5.5 |
6.6 |
9.4 |
9.6 |
10.5 |
10.2 |
8.1 |
8.1 |
6.2 |
4.8 |
4.1 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
| Zach Swedarsky |
15.2 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
2.7 |
3.8 |
5.1 |
7.0 |
7.7 |
9.0 |
9.2 |
9.0 |
9.7 |
7.6 |
6.6 |
5.3 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
| Ben Tuckis |
19.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
3.7 |
5.4 |
6.6 |
7.4 |
8.1 |
8.1 |
8.9 |
8.1 |
8.1 |
7.4 |
6.4 |
4.2 |
| Aidan Lawson |
20.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
3.4 |
4.6 |
5.3 |
6.9 |
7.9 |
8.5 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.0 |
7.4 |
6.0 |
6.1 |
| Michael Chalfant |
25.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
4.0 |
4.7 |
6.1 |
6.9 |
8.1 |
9.0 |
|
