Lapel
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #160
Shelbyville Regional Rank #31
Noblesville Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Aaron Stephenson Invitational Taylor University Opener Arabian Roundup Mt. Vernon Invitational Landes Invite Marion Invitational Blackford Invitational Tipton Invitational Madison County New Haven Classic Nike Twilight Noblesville Sectional Shelbyville Regional State Finals
Date 8/20 8/24 8/28 8/31 9/5 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/24 9/28 10/5 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 1,151 1,225 1,299 1,237 1,134 1,261
Team Adjusted Rating NEI 1,225 1,096 1,237 1,134 1,334 1,313 1,261 1,168 1,166 1,103
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Aaron Stephenson Invitational Taylor University Opener Arabian Roundup Mt. Vernon Invitational Landes Invite Marion Invitational Blackford Invitational Tipton Invitational Madison County New Haven Classic Nike Twilight Noblesville Sectional Shelbyville Regional State Finals
61  Simon Nickelson 11 16:18 17:09 NEI 15:50 16:09 16:20 16:03 16:20 16:31 16:25 16:33 16:18 16:07 16:12 16:26 16:27
448  Jack Combs 10 17:32 17:30 NEI 17:48 17:23 17:34 17:34 17:29 17:28 17:40 17:25 17:29 17:17 17:24 18:16
Luke Peercy 10 19:43 20:27 NEI 19:12 19:25 19:26 18:55 20:18 20:08 19:34 19:30 19:49 20:20 19:41
Bennett Contos 11 19:45 20:26 NEI 19:36 19:37 19:38 19:08 20:27 20:51
Blake Patterson 11 20:59 23:07 22:53 22:47 22:19 22:58 21:33 21:11 20:56 20:38
Moses TAYLOR 9 24:57 24:25 25:05 23:40 25:11 26:21 23:30 25:11 25:32 24:19 25:14




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 8.4 245 62.7 32.3 4.9



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Simon Nickelson 98.9% 64.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 98.9% 98.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Simon Nickelson 100% 12.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.8 2.9 4.3 6.1 6.7 7.8 7.6 7.0 7.2 6.5 6.0 5.1 4.6 3.6 3.6 2.6 2.3 1.5 1.7 1.4 1.4 100.0% 100.0%
Jack Combs 100% 94.7 100.0% 99.7%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Simon Nickelson 9.5 0.1 1.0 2.0 3.6 5.6 9.4 11.1 10.9 11.6 12.2 8.8 6.0 5.4 3.3 2.7 1.9 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1
Jack Combs 36.0 0.1 0.1