Manchester
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #91
New Haven Regional Rank #14
Manchester Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Warsaw Tiger Invitational Manchester Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic Three Rivers Conference Manchester Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
Date 8/18 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 797 931 936 1,081 1,235 1,048 898 787 743
Team Adjusted Rating 931 936 1,081 891 932 898 787 743
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Warsaw Tiger Invitational Manchester Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Classic Three Rivers Conference Manchester Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
150  Kyler Dale 12 16:43 17:03 16:24 16:38 17:19 17:24 16:49 16:58 16:37 16:36
495  Oliver Fitzpatrick 10 17:39 18:25 17:31 17:37 18:59 17:53 17:49 18:11 17:44 17:29
1,063  Clark Showalter 11 18:32 18:52 18:56 18:56 18:30 18:45 19:00 18:20 18:32 18:22
1,071  Jet Thomas 10 18:33 19:31 19:06 19:01 18:47 18:49 18:59 18:39 18:26 18:23
1,073  Gabe Selleck 10 18:33 20:02 19:36 19:29 20:01 18:59 19:18 18:14 18:25
Cristobal Agudo 11 20:13 21:01 19:45
Charlie Van 9 20:42 21:34 20:53 21:55 21:05 19:59 20:33 20:29 20:31
Wyatt Martin 9 21:41 21:29 21:37 21:43 21:13 22:07 21:07 22:19 21:48




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 13.7 386 0.6 2.0 3.6 6.0 9.1 11.2 12.9 15.0 14.4 11.0 6.4 4.0 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 4.1 108 2.3 90.3 7.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kyler Dale 91.2% 137.2 91.2% 91.2%
Oliver Fitzpatrick 0.0% 204.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kyler Dale 100% 20.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.6 1.9 3.0 4.1 4.9 6.2 7.0 7.0 7.3 6.8 6.9 5.9 5.0 4.6 100.0%
Oliver Fitzpatrick 100% 61.8 0.0 100.0%
Clark Showalter 100% 140.1 100.0%
Jet Thomas 100% 141.3 100.0%
Gabe Selleck 100% 141.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kyler Dale 5.9 0.1 1.1 3.2 9.1 19.8 19.1 14.4 14.5 7.6 4.6 3.4 2.9 0.1 0.1 0.0
Oliver Fitzpatrick 15.8 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.1 10.3 9.1 10.5 24.0 21.6 12.9 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Clark Showalter 27.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.4 3.8 5.4 5.7 7.6
Jet Thomas 27.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.0 3.8 4.3 6.0 6.9
Gabe Selleck 28.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.3 3.4 4.6 5.3 7.0