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State Rank #27
New Prairie Regional Rank #5
Chesterton Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Invitational Minutemen Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Chesterton Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 391 384 372 365 406 445 368 489 469 371 476
Team Adjusted Rating 375 360 353 395 423 362 448 441 362 441
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Invitational Minutemen Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Chesterton Sectional New Prairie Regional State Finals
14  Shane Conroy 12 15:52 15:28 15:21 15:41 15:40 15:46 16:05 15:35 16:00 15:59 15:57 16:20
291  Aiden Farley 12 17:09 17:51 17:01 16:58 17:01 17:16 17:06 17:14 17:32 17:22 17:20 17:02
299  Josh Bosstel 12 17:11 17:09 17:21 16:55 16:53 17:11 17:30 16:50 17:45 17:21 17:02 17:42
300  Weston Stilwell 11 17:11 17:45 17:13 17:19 17:11 17:11 17:18 17:09 17:14 17:23 17:02 17:13
320  Landon Miller 12 17:14 17:14
442  Ethan Walsh 11 17:31 17:42 17:14 17:27 17:37 17:40 17:42 17:32 17:25 17:35 17:22 17:40
796  Ben Lagunas 12 18:12 18:43 18:06 17:41 18:31 18:03 18:11 18:19 18:43 18:28 18:05 18:04
Jacob Lagunas 10 19:01 19:23 19:14 19:01 19:29 18:53 19:15 18:36 18:55
Cooper Wilkins 11 19:02 18:40 19:18 18:34 18:59 18:59 19:17 18:47 19:08
Carson Purser 9 20:16 20:30 18:40 21:04 20:34 19:29 20:22




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 21.9 527 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.3 2.4 3.1 4.4 6.0 8.0 9.5 12.8 15.3 18.1 17.4
Regionals 100% 6.3 214 0.1 0.3 2.4 10.5 19.7 23.8 19.8 14.3 6.5 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.3 51 2.5 65.4 32.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shane Conroy 100% 19.2 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.9 2.3 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.6 3.2 3.8 3.9 3.1 3.6 3.5 3.5 2.9 3.1 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.5 2.6 2.1 100.0%
Aiden Farley 100% 200.3 1.7%
Josh Bosstel 100% 203.7 1.1%
Weston Stilwell 100% 204.4 0.9%
Landon Miller 100% 208.0 0.6%
Ethan Walsh 100% 226.1 0.0%
Ben Lagunas 100% 243.5 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shane Conroy 100% 4.8 0.3 3.1 12.9 18.4 18.7 15.4 11.7 8.0 5.0 3.1 1.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Aiden Farley 100% 54.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Josh Bosstel 100% 57.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 100.0%
Weston Stilwell 100% 57.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Landon Miller 100% 60.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Ethan Walsh 100% 79.7 100.0%
Ben Lagunas 100% 132.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shane Conroy 1.0 70.2 26.1 3.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
Aiden Farley 10.8 0.1 0.4 1.8 5.3 9.4 11.3 12.8 11.3 10.6 9.4 7.7 7.1 5.1 3.3 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.0
Josh Bosstel 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 4.0 7.2 7.4 9.9 11.1 11.4 11.9 9.7 7.6 6.7 5.0 3.3 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Weston Stilwell 11.8 0.1 0.3 1.0 3.7 6.0 8.6 10.0 11.1 12.2 10.2 10.1 8.6 6.2 5.0 3.5 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
Landon Miller 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.9 3.4 6.2 7.6 9.9 10.4 11.3 11.0 10.3 8.4 7.1 4.8 3.7 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Ethan Walsh 18.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.4 3.3 5.3 7.2 10.5 11.2 13.4 14.2 14.9 10.7 4.3 1.5 0.5
Ben Lagunas 26.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 3.9 9.6 13.7