Roncalli
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #47
Shelbyville Regional Rank #12
Shelbyville Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating John Cleland Invitational (4k) Marion County All Catholic Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Circle City Conference Nike Twilight Shelbyville Sectional Shelbyville Regional State Finals
Date 8/24 8/31 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/4 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 538 553 460 511 470 523 522 581 582
Team Adjusted Rating 553 460 511 470 523 522 581 582
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating John Cleland Invitational (4k) Marion County All Catholic Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Circle City Conference Nike Twilight Shelbyville Sectional Shelbyville Regional State Finals
78  Sam Vaught 12 16:23 16:16 16:19 16:09 16:07 16:06 16:43 16:09 16:35 16:40 17:22
259  Will Lewis 10 17:04 17:53 17:03 16:32 17:24 16:49 17:00 16:58 17:29 17:02
306  Owen Lewis 11 17:12 18:04 17:26 17:00 17:02 16:54 17:06 17:17 17:15 17:24
392  Jim Buchmeier 10 17:24 17:27 17:36 17:14 17:22 17:10 17:26 17:33 17:21
1,098  Thomas Mallers 10 18:36 19:17 18:34 18:57 18:27 18:29 18:34 18:33 18:23 18:48
1,400  Chris Jerry 9 19:00 20:10 19:07 18:36 18:42 19:06 18:53 19:03
John Wagner 12 19:00 18:07 18:54 18:14 18:33 18:48 19:40 19:46
Luke Senac 9 19:00 20:07 19:32 19:05 18:31 19:12 18:57 18:41 18:55
Ezekiel Littell 10 19:34 19:41 19:03 19:36 19:20 20:09
Evan Wright 10 19:48 20:06 19:47 18:56 19:34 19:54 20:18




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 10.6 326 0.2 2.1 11.8 17.2 18.6 17.4 14.8 10.7 4.9 1.9 0.4 0.1
Sectionals 100% 4.1 110 0.5 8.0 16.9 29.5 45.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Vaught 97.1% 76.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 97.1% 97.1%
Will Lewis 4.1% 160.5 4.1% 4.1%
Owen Lewis 0.5% 168.8 0.5% 0.5%
Jim Buchmeier 0.0% 205.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Vaught 100% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 2.1 2.9 3.8 4.9 5.4 6.0 6.6 6.1 5.7 5.7 5.4 4.8 4.7 3.5 3.7 3.2 2.7 2.6 2.4 100.0%
Will Lewis 100% 62.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Owen Lewis 100% 71.6 0.0 100.0%
Jim Buchmeier 100% 86.3 100.0%
Thomas Mallers 100% 160.2 8.9%
Chris Jerry 100% 190.5 0.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Vaught 1.0 51.6 22.5 10.8 6.6 3.2 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Will Lewis 13.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.3 2.8 3.4 4.5 5.0 6.9 7.8 8.3 8.4 9.5 7.6 7.2 5.9 4.6 3.2 3.0 2.4 2.0 1.1 0.7
Owen Lewis 17.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.9 4.5 4.7 6.2 6.8 8.1 8.0 8.6 8.3 7.5 6.4 5.7 5.0 3.5 2.6
Jim Buchmeier 22.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.4 2.1 2.4 3.8 4.6 5.8 6.5 7.6 8.3 8.3 8.8 9.3
Thomas Mallers 53.0
Chris Jerry 61.0