Silver Creek
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #52
Mater Dei Regional Rank #10
Crawford County Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating St. Xavier Tiger Run Rick Weinheimer Invite Mater Dei Invitational Trinity/Valkyrie Dragon Invitational Jasper Wildcat Invitational Nike Twilight Mid-Southern Conference Crawford County Sectional Mater Dei Regional
Date 8/24 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/24 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 569 439 480 521 606 563 544 604 631 577 676
Team Adjusted Rating 439 480 521 606 563 544 534 597 577 676
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating St. Xavier Tiger Run Rick Weinheimer Invite Mater Dei Invitational Trinity/Valkyrie Dragon Invitational Jasper Wildcat Invitational Nike Twilight Mid-Southern Conference Crawford County Sectional Mater Dei Regional
137  Ryan Graham 11 16:40 16:45 16:28 16:53 16:25 16:22 17:02 16:37 16:37 16:51 16:37 17:05
220  Trey Smith 10 16:58 17:16 16:19 16:32 16:51 17:19 17:02 16:57 16:43 17:12 16:55 17:20
270  Brady Day 11 17:06 16:39 16:55 16:54 17:04 17:02 17:02 17:09 16:52 17:14 17:05 17:29
775  Alex Smith 11 18:10 17:58 17:35 17:37 17:49 18:39 18:49 18:13 18:08 18:02 18:23 18:05
803  Ryan Baggett 9 18:12 17:59 17:58 18:16 18:07 17:56 17:51 18:44 18:32
1,036  Logan James 11 18:30 18:33 18:43 19:13 18:53 18:53 18:04 18:22 19:04 18:37 18:11 18:44
Dane Neafus 9 19:10 19:00 19:25 18:59 19:01 18:50 19:26 19:05 19:13 19:13




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 9.8 311 0.1 0.8 2.2 6.4 18.8 56.1 10.1 3.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.2 65 1.2 84.1 13.0 1.7



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Graham 85.8% 126.4 85.8% 85.8%
Trey Smith 24.4% 159.6 24.4% 24.4%
Brady Day 6.5% 172.3 6.5% 6.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Graham 100% 31.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.6 2.4 2.3 3.0 3.3 100.0%
Trey Smith 100% 42.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Brady Day 100% 48.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Alex Smith 100% 113.1 100.0%
Ryan Baggett 100% 116.7 100.0%
Logan James 100% 140.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Graham 4.9 0.2 1.8 22.1 28.7 21.5 15.8 9.1 0.8 0.1
Trey Smith 8.1 0.4 2.8 6.7 13.1 24.9 37.9 13.1 1.0 0.1 0.0
Brady Day 9.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.9 9.9 24.4 54.8 4.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Alex Smith 19.8 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.9 4.0 5.6 7.3 8.9 10.1 11.0 10.3 9.1 7.3 7.0 4.9
Ryan Baggett 20.9 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.6 3.7 5.1 6.8 9.2 9.7 11.2 10.6 9.1 8.2 5.9
Logan James 27.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 2.6 3.2 4.6 5.5 8.2