St. Joseph's
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #97
New Prairie Regional Rank #22
New Prairie Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 19th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 76.6%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Early Bird NIC Stomp South Bend City NorthWood Invitational New Prairie Kickoff Classic Wildcat Classic Invitational
Date 8/18 8/24 8/29 9/7 9/10 9/14
Team Rating 928 902 974 905 889 869 940
Team Adjusted Rating 902 974 905 889 869 940
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Early Bird NIC Stomp South Bend City NorthWood Invitational New Prairie Kickoff Classic Wildcat Classic Invitational
545  James Sieradzki 9 17:53 17:46 18:03 17:51 17:56 17:44 17:49
570  Gonzalo Serrano 11 17:57 17:39 17:55 17:54 17:59 17:54 17:54 18:00
668  Max Elick 11 18:08 17:57 18:15 18:03 18:03 17:59 17:53 18:48
1,063  Sam Mark 10 18:44 19:16 18:31 18:59 18:28 18:47 18:43 18:32
1,213  Aaron Robles 11 18:58 19:03 19:18 19:17 19:01 18:36 18:42 18:40
Colin Zwiller 11 19:20 19:25 19:11 19:16 19:14
Nate Weber 10 19:25 19:48 18:54 19:17 19:35 19:16 19:09 20:01
Johnny Morin 10 20:19 20:08 20:15 20:08 21:04 20:11
Josh Dolniak 12 21:22 19:55 21:26 21:37 21:18 21:40 21:13




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 76.6% 19.2 521 0.2 1.3 4.8 16.3 21.2 18.8 11.9 1.7 0.4 0.0
Sectionals 100% 4.9 135 0.2 28.3 48.1 23.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
James Sieradzki 100% 96.9 100.0% 100.0%
Gonzalo Serrano 100% 102.2 100.0% 100.0%
Max Elick 100% 117.3 100.0% 100.0%
Sam Mark 100% 163.6 100.0% 85.5%
Aaron Robles 100% 179.1 100.0% 77.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
James Sieradzki 18.7 0.1 0.3 8.9 15.4 15.3 13.4 11.6 8.7 7.7 5.7 4.8 3.6
Gonzalo Serrano 20.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.2 9.8 12.3 12.4 11.6 10.7 9.9 8.0 6.8 5.3
Max Elick 24.1 0.1 1.1 2.1 4.2 5.9 7.5 8.2 10.1 10.0 9.2
Sam Mark 32.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
Aaron Robles 36.5