Wabash
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #30
New Haven Regional Rank #4
Manchester Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.1%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Mississinewa Invitational Wapahani Invitational Manchester Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic West Noble Invitational Three Rivers Conference Manchester Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 10/5 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 402 750 377 399 526 722 413 467 440 393
Team Adjusted Rating 372 374 399 407 429 413 467 440 393
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Mississinewa Invitational Wapahani Invitational Manchester Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic West Noble Invitational Three Rivers Conference Manchester Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
79  Isaiah Cordes 11 16:24 16:45 16:37 16:38 16:40 16:49 16:37 16:30 16:17
165  Jonas Church 12 16:46 16:44 16:43 16:41 16:31 16:40 16:39 16:47 17:06 16:52
170  Jace Bullins 12 16:47 17:15 16:29 16:41 16:43 16:47 16:55 16:51
397  Brett Shull 11 17:25 17:08 17:10 17:10 17:24 17:28 17:54 17:26 18:13 17:16 17:41
424  Ezra Church 10 17:29 17:13 17:42 17:18 17:40 17:21
439  Caidan Burchett 11 17:31 17:20 17:31 17:25 17:30 17:49 17:26 20:26 17:48 17:24
663  Kamden Oswalt 9 17:58 18:17 18:20 18:05 18:18 17:59 18:20 17:49 18:03
972  Kasen Oswalt 12 18:25 18:43 18:06 18:09 18:17 18:18 18:38 18:31 18:36
1,378  Matthew Niles 11 18:58 18:51 19:25 18:50 18:54 18:48
Drew Guenin-Hodson 11 19:19 18:33 19:35




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 21.5 520 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.1 2.2 2.7 5.0 5.1 5.5 7.5 10.2 12.2 15.0 16.5 15.6
Regionals 100% 3.7 143 0.1 6.8 44.2 28.9 13.9 6.1 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.9 46 6.1 93.6 0.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Isaiah Cordes 100% 80.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.6%
Jonas Church 100% 151.0 79.7%
Jace Bullins 100% 154.6 76.4%
Brett Shull 100% 221.0 0.9%
Ezra Church 100% 224.4 0.2%
Caidan Burchett 100% 225.9 0.2%
Kamden Oswalt 100% 238.5 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Isaiah Cordes 100% 12.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.2 3.1 4.0 4.2 6.1 6.6 7.4 8.8 8.8 8.9 8.5 7.4 6.6 4.5 3.1 2.4 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.4 100.0%
Jonas Church 100% 22.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.1 3.2 4.0 6.1 7.4 6.3 6.4 7.0 6.3 6.4 5.5 100.0%
Jace Bullins 100% 23.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.3 1.6 2.6 3.9 5.1 5.5 6.2 6.6 7.0 6.4 5.9 6.1 100.0%
Brett Shull 100% 51.5 0.1 100.0%
Ezra Church 100% 54.2 0.0 100.0%
Caidan Burchett 100% 55.6 0.0 100.0%
Kamden Oswalt 100% 82.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Isaiah Cordes 3.1 4.3 16.0 26.2 34.6 13.0 4.2 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
Jonas Church 6.6 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.5 13.4 19.5 21.8 16.1 8.9 7.2 4.7 3.9 0.1
Jace Bullins 6.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.3 10.9 18.3 20.4 19.0 10.0 7.0 6.7 4.8 0.1
Brett Shull 13.1 0.1 1.0 1.9 3.2 5.9 34.3 25.6 15.8 7.7 2.9 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
Ezra Church 13.9 0.0 0.5 1.1 1.5 3.7 19.7 25.6 25.0 13.1 6.8 2.4 0.5 0.0
Caidan Burchett 14.3 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.2 2.1 13.4 22.5 28.9 16.8 8.7 4.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
Kamden Oswalt 18.8 0.0 0.1 3.6 8.3 17.3 24.4 22.6 10.7 5.1 3.4 2.2 0.9