Warsaw
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #15
New Haven Regional Rank #2
Manchester Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.3%
Top 10 at State Finals 10.1%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Warsaw Tiger Invitational Larry James Invitational NLC Round #1 Marion Invitational NLC Super Dual #2 Flashrock Invitational New Haven Classic Northern Lakes Conference Delta Eagle Invitational Manchester Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
Date 8/18 8/24 9/3 9/7 9/17 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 291 910 359 319 250 316 299 365 1,094 344 356 326
Team Adjusted Rating 291 359 319 250 316 299 291 365 291 344 313 326
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Warsaw Tiger Invitational Larry James Invitational NLC Round #1 Marion Invitational NLC Super Dual #2 Flashrock Invitational New Haven Classic Northern Lakes Conference Delta Eagle Invitational Manchester Sectional New Haven Regional State Finals
31  Jackson Gackenheimer 11 16:00 15:48 16:06 16:04 15:52 15:56 15:57 16:13 15:58 15:55 16:10
69  Tyler Mimnaugh 12 16:20 16:11 16:42 16:13 16:19 16:18 16:32 16:39 17:02 16:38 16:13
203  Alex Schrock 12 16:54 17:32 17:29 17:46 17:15 17:25 17:21 17:34 17:24 16:45 17:40
232  Rick Orr 12 16:59 16:57 16:47 17:28 16:24 17:03 16:48 16:52 16:52 17:26
255  Noah McPhail 12 17:04 17:11 17:46 17:14 17:22 16:48 17:08 17:02 16:47 17:16 16:59
264  Clark Meridew 12 17:05 16:34 17:11 16:38 16:38 17:33 16:57 17:37 17:38 17:32 16:58
672  Mattias Niebbia 12 17:59 18:49 17:36 18:21 17:24 17:58 18:04 18:04 18:13 18:11 18:01 17:53 17:52
722  Micah Zaugg 12 18:04 18:11 17:47 17:59 22:10 17:53 18:08 18:17 20:07
837  Sam Allebach 11 18:15 18:23 17:51 18:13 18:09 17:47 18:16 18:56 18:24 18:07
1,095  Nolan Stump 10 18:35 18:59 19:05 18:34 18:18 17:49 17:42 18:38 19:24
Owen Meerzo 10 19:06 18:50 19:25 19:05 19:05 19:04 19:20 19:03 18:51
Alex Hoover 10 19:07 18:57 19:06 19:42 19:15 19:16 18:49 19:05 18:54
Jaxon Lehman 10 19:08 18:35 19:30 22:23 19:14 21:46 18:40 18:29 19:59
Jack Boggs 10 19:14 18:50 19:24 19:07 19:14 18:53 19:17 19:03 19:55
Hayden Dirck 12 20:21 19:19 20:43 20:15 19:35 20:12 20:55 20:21 21:53




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 14.7 391 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.6 2.4 4.4 6.7 9.9 11.3 12.8 11.4 8.7 7.7 6.0 4.8 3.6 2.8 1.8 1.3 0.8 0.2
Regionals 100% 2.1 99 8.7 78.1 10.0 2.7 0.4 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.1 32 93.9 6.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Gackenheimer 100% 31.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.2 1.9 2.4 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.1 100.0%
Tyler Mimnaugh 100% 70.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 99.8%
Alex Schrock 100% 171.7 57.3%
Rick Orr 100% 183.2 38.8%
Noah McPhail 100% 192.5 26.7%
Clark Meridew 100% 193.4 23.5%
Mattias Niebbia 100% 238.9 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Gackenheimer 100% 3.3 15.4 15.8 14.6 12.3 11.1 8.7 6.2 4.4 3.5 2.7 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Tyler Mimnaugh 100% 11.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.4 3.5 4.6 5.9 6.6 7.2 8.7 8.6 9.5 8.3 8.0 7.0 5.3 3.8 2.4 2.0 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Alex Schrock 100% 27.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.4 3.2 3.6 3.9 4.6 5.1 5.2 5.3 100.0%
Rick Orr 100% 31.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.7 1.9 2.4 3.2 3.3 3.6 100.0%
Noah McPhail 100% 35.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.8 2.1 100.0%
Clark Meridew 100% 36.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.6 2.1 100.0%
Mattias Niebbia 100% 83.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Gackenheimer 1.0 78.8 16.9 3.6 0.4 0.2 0.0
Tyler Mimnaugh 2.6 0.8 28.5 34.4 22.7 8.7 3.2 1.2 0.4 0.0
Alex Schrock 8.1 0.2 1.3 5.8 8.9 14.0 16.0 27.5 15.2 7.0 3.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
Rick Orr 9.4 0.0 0.4 1.4 4.3 6.3 11.4 17.6 24.0 19.3 11.7 2.1 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
Noah McPhail 10.5 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.6 4.6 10.5 17.9 25.5 28.1 4.8 2.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
Clark Meridew 10.7 0.0 0.5 1.1 2.7 4.6 9.1 15.8 24.4 30.3 5.9 3.0 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
Mattias Niebbia 19.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 3.4 7.6 14.4 23.9 22.7 11.4 6.3 3.1 2.4 1.5