All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Taylor University Invitational |
State Preview |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
| Team Rating |
396 | |
431 |
350 |
486 |
372 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
405 |
350 |
386 |
372 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Taylor University Invitational |
State Preview |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
|---|
| 11 |
Jack Turnbull |
12 |
15:48 |
15:44 |
15:42 |
15:53 |
|
15:56 |
| 150 |
Nolan White |
12 |
16:50 |
17:58 |
16:59 |
16:38 |
16:41 |
16:45 |
| 283 |
Noah Berg |
12 |
17:16 |
17:39 |
|
17:01 |
17:22 |
17:09 |
| 317 |
Owen Haan |
11 |
17:21 |
17:26 |
17:25 |
17:13 |
17:10 |
17:24 |
| 319 |
Camden Stockwell |
12 |
17:21 |
17:48 |
|
17:16 |
17:25 |
17:09 |
| 433 |
Jackson Meneely |
10 |
17:39 |
17:27 |
|
18:46 |
17:44 |
17:38 |
| 450 |
Soren Johnson |
11 |
17:41 |
18:19 |
|
17:37 |
17:33 |
17:38 |
| 453 |
Andrew Schonlau |
11 |
17:42 |
18:10 |
17:58 |
|
17:25 |
17:32 |
| 480 |
Paul Tucker |
10 |
17:45 |
|
17:48 |
17:20 |
17:57 |
17:43 |
| 544 |
Jackson Daniel |
10 |
17:53 |
17:58 |
17:30 |
17:47 |
17:45 |
18:20 |
| 559 |
Nate Corcoran |
10 |
17:55 |
18:15 |
18:02 |
17:48 |
17:41 |
17:53 |
| 602 |
John Bailey |
12 |
18:01 |
17:53 |
17:27 |
|
18:41 |
18:08 |
| 639 |
Jack Albright |
9 |
18:05 |
|
17:36 |
17:53 |
18:24 |
18:17 |
| 815 |
Joseph Janicek |
12 |
18:23 |
18:30 |
|
18:19 |
18:01 |
18:36 |
| 846 |
Emerson Spillman |
10 |
18:26 |
17:46 |
18:10 |
18:28 |
18:31 |
18:45 |
| 871 |
Max Sproull |
11 |
18:28 |
18:18 |
18:22 |
18:12 |
18:33 |
18:55 |
| 963 |
Jackson Hendershot |
10 |
18:36 |
|
18:41 |
18:26 |
18:32 |
18:42 |
| 1,046 |
Ben Beardsley |
9 |
18:43 |
|
18:22 |
18:48 |
18:56 |
18:35 |
| 1,075 |
William Weber |
11 |
18:46 |
18:44 |
18:43 |
|
|
|
| 1,078 |
Sam Longenberger |
10 |
18:46 |
18:33 |
18:35 |
18:53 |
18:48 |
18:55 |
| 1,096 |
Patrick Dimmett |
10 |
18:48 |
18:40 |
18:36 |
19:09 |
18:38 |
18:59 |
| 1,157 |
Jacob Jackson |
11 |
18:55 |
18:50 |
|
18:56 |
19:57 |
18:16 |
|
Nathan Davison |
10 |
19:01 |
|
19:30 |
19:06 |
18:44 |
18:46 |
|
Carter Miller |
12 |
19:05 |
18:37 |
19:06 |
19:36 |
18:56 |
19:02 |
|
Alden Toney |
10 |
19:08 |
|
19:02 |
19:19 |
19:18 |
18:38 |
|
Sam Ostrander |
12 |
19:12 |
18:45 |
19:22 |
19:09 |
19:11 |
19:17 |
|
Nolan Brackenridge |
10 |
19:13 |
|
19:05 |
19:14 |
19:21 |
19:05 |
|
Gregory Richardson |
10 |
19:13 |
|
19:16 |
19:14 |
19:10 |
19:09 |
|
Jacob Lock |
9 |
19:22 |
|
20:08 |
18:31 |
21:30 |
19:23 |
|
Collin Wood |
10 |
19:23 |
|
19:13 |
19:30 |
19:17 |
19:24 |
|
James Glier |
10 |
19:39 |
18:45 |
19:42 |
20:04 |
19:24 |
19:48 |
|
James Palmer |
10 |
19:43 |
18:45 |
19:59 |
19:58 |
19:22 |
19:50 |
|
Brady Vergara |
10 |
20:02 |
18:33 |
20:42 |
20:17 |
19:55 |
19:48 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
56.0% |
19.0 |
453 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
3.7 |
5.2 |
6.2 |
7.3 |
7.1 |
7.1 |
5.7 |
3.4 |
2.2 |
0.6 |
| Regionals |
100% |
5.3 |
188 |
|
0.2 |
14.7 |
20.0 |
21.1 |
19.6 |
15.6 |
6.4 |
1.9 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.7 |
62 |
0.1 |
29.0 |
70.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jack Turnbull |
100% |
11.6 |
0.4 |
1.4 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.8 |
5.1 |
5.5 |
5.9 |
6.2 |
5.8 |
5.2 |
5.5 |
5.4 |
4.7 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
3.8 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Nolan White |
74.8% |
134.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
42.7% |
66.7% |
| Noah Berg |
56.0% |
193.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
3.4% |
| Owen Haan |
56.0% |
200.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
1.6% |
| Camden Stockwell |
56.0% |
200.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
1.4% |
| Jackson Meneely |
56.0% |
220.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Soren Johnson |
56.0% |
223.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jack Turnbull |
100% |
2.6 |
22.6 |
19.2 |
14.4 |
12.9 |
10.7 |
7.5 |
4.7 |
3.4 |
2.1 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Nolan White |
100% |
28.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
3.3 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
4.7 |
5.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Noah Berg |
100% |
56.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Owen Haan |
100% |
63.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Camden Stockwell |
100% |
63.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Jackson Meneely |
100% |
86.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Soren Johnson |
100% |
90.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jack Turnbull |
1.0 |
93.8 |
4.5 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nolan White |
10.5 |
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
4.6 |
8.2 |
10.1 |
13.1 |
15.3 |
19.0 |
10.5 |
9.6 |
2.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Noah Berg |
15.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.1 |
2.3 |
6.7 |
9.4 |
18.9 |
19.9 |
15.7 |
11.4 |
6.8 |
3.9 |
2.1 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
|
0.0 |
| Owen Haan |
16.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
2.6 |
5.2 |
10.8 |
14.3 |
18.3 |
16.7 |
13.5 |
8.8 |
5.5 |
2.3 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
| Camden Stockwell |
16.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
3.3 |
4.8 |
10.7 |
16.1 |
18.6 |
16.0 |
12.8 |
8.8 |
4.7 |
1.8 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
| Jackson Meneely |
21.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.7 |
4.4 |
8.3 |
13.6 |
17.6 |
19.5 |
16.5 |
9.7 |
4.0 |
| Soren Johnson |
21.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
2.5 |
6.0 |
10.1 |
14.7 |
19.5 |
21.3 |
12.9 |
5.8 |
|
