Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Rank | School |
Size |
Regional |
Team Rating |
|
State Champion | Medal (Top 5) | Top 10 | | Advance to State Finals | Advance to Regional |
1 |
Brownsburg |
L |
Brownsburg |
#1   |
150 |
38.6% |
93.1% |
99.7% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
2 |
Noblesville |
L |
Shelbyville |
#1   |
157 |
29.9% |
91.2% |
99.5% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
3 |
Bloomington North |
L |
Mater Dei |
#1   |
186 |
10.5% |
72.9% |
97.7% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
4 |
Columbus North |
L |
Mater Dei |
#2   |
189 |
13.2% |
75.0% |
98.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
5 |
F.J. Reitz |
L |
Mater Dei |
#3   |
224 |
1.7% |
36.6% |
85.4% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
6 |
Carmel |
L |
Brownsburg |
#2   |
229 |
3.5% |
44.0% |
86.8% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
7 |
Fishers |
L |
Shelbyville |
#2   |
242 |
0.4% |
19.8% |
71.9% |
96.8% |
100.0% |
8 |
Hamilton Southeastern |
L |
Shelbyville |
#3   |
247 |
1.5% |
27.8% |
76.8% |
97.9% |
100.0% |
9 |
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) |
L |
Shelbyville |
#4   |
267 |
0.3% |
11.6% |
56.0% |
93.5% |
100.0% |
10 |
Homestead |
L |
New Haven |
#1   |
271 |
0.2% |
12.2% |
62.1% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
11 |
Valparaiso |
L |
New Prairie |
#1   |
281 |
0.0% |
4.3% |
49.4% |
98.9% |
100.0% |
12 |
Franklin Central |
L |
Shelbyville |
#5   |
304 |
0.0% |
3.5% |
29.8% |
82.7% |
100.0% |
13 |
Penn |
L |
New Prairie |
#2   |
307 |
0.1% |
4.5% |
30.1% |
98.1% |
100.0% |
14 |
Northridge |
L |
New Prairie |
#3   |
310 |
0.0% |
2.8% |
27.9% |
96.8% |
100.0% |
15 |
Warsaw |
L |
New Haven |
#2   |
334 |
|
0.2% |
11.1% |
99.7% |
100.0% |
16 |
Elkhart |
|
New Prairie |
#4   |
362 |
|
|
1.7% |
54.0% |
100.0% |
17 |
North Central (Indpls) |
L |
Brownsburg |
#3   |
364 |
|
0.2% |
6.9% |
90.8% |
100.0% |
18 |
Lake Central |
L |
New Prairie |
#5   |
373 |
|
0.0% |
2.0% |
63.3% |
100.0% |
19 |
Center Grove |
L |
Shelbyville |
#6   |
376 |
|
0.1% |
2.6% |
19.6% |
100.0% |
20 |
Crown Point |
L |
New Prairie |
#6   |
388 |
|
0.1% |
1.7% |
61.9% |
100.0% |
21 |
Zionsville |
L |
Brownsburg |
#4   |
396 |
|
|
0.2% |
56.0% |
100.0% |
22 |
Westfield |
L |
Shelbyville |
#7   |
406 |
|
0.0% |
0.7% |
9.3% |
99.9% |
23 |
Ben Davis |
L |
Brownsburg |
#5   |
407 |
|
|
0.4% |
50.6% |
100.0% |
24 |
Avon |
L |
Brownsburg |
#6   |
413 |
|
|
0.3% |
53.4% |
100.0% |
25 |
West Lafayette |
M |
Brownsburg |
#7   |
418 |
|
|
0.2% |
42.6% |
100.0% |
26 |
Wabash |
S |
New Haven |
#3   |
421 |
|
|
0.7% |
93.3% |
100.0% |
27 |
Floyd Central |
L |
Mater Dei |
#4   |
422 |
|
|
0.3% |
80.3% |
100.0% |
28 |
Portage |
L |
New Prairie |
#7   |
442 |
|
|
|
10.1% |
100.0% |
29 |
Carroll (FW) |
L |
New Haven |
#4   |
456 |
|
|
0.1% |
84.7% |
100.0% |
30 |
Chesterton |
L |
New Prairie |
#8   |
457 |
|
|
0.1% |
12.3% |
100.0% |
31 |
Concordia Lutheran |
M |
New Haven |
#5   |
471 |
|
|
0.1% |
58.8% |
100.0% |
32 |
Yorktown |
M |
New Haven |
#6   |
479 |
|
|
|
61.6% |
100.0% |
33 |
Silver Creek |
M |
Mater Dei |
#5   |
487 |
|
|
|
32.0% |
100.0% |
34 |
Edgewood |
M |
Mater Dei |
#6   |
498 |
|
|
|
27.5% |
100.0% |
35 |
Lowell |
M |
New Prairie |
#9   |
501 |
|
|
|
3.6% |
100.0% |
36 |
Reitz Memorial |
M |
Mater Dei |
#7   |
502 |
|
|
|
24.5% |
100.0% |
37 |
Pike |
L |
Brownsburg |
#8   |
506 |
|
|
|
3.9% |
99.7% |
38 |
Bloomington South |
L |
Mater Dei |
#8   |
509 |
|
|
|
26.6% |
100.0% |
39 |
Indian Creek |
M |
Shelbyville |
#8   |
509 |
|
|
|
0.2% |
100.0% |
40 |
Plainfield |
L |
Brownsburg |
#9   |
532 |
|
|
|
1.2% |
99.4% |
41 |
Whiteland |
L |
Shelbyville |
#9   |
538 |
|
|
|
0.0% |
100.0% |
42 |
LaPorte |
L |
New Prairie |
#10   |
539 |
|
|
|
0.9% |
100.0% |
43 |
Castle |
L |
Mater Dei |
#9   |
554 |
|
|
|
6.5% |
100.0% |
44 |
Jasper |
M |
Mater Dei |
#10   |
554 |
|
|
|
2.5% |
100.0% |
45 |
Lawrence North |
L |
Shelbyville |
#10   |
561 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
46 |
Terre Haute South |
L |
Brownsburg |
#10   |
561 |
|
|
|
1.4% |
100.0% |
47 |
Franklin Community |
L |
Shelbyville |
#11   |
570 |
|
|
|
0.0% |
100.0% |
48 |
Covenant Christian (DeMotte) |
S |
New Prairie |
#11   |
577 |
|
|
|
0.1% |
100.0% |
49 |
Roncalli |
M |
Shelbyville |
#12   |
580 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
50 |
Greenfield-Central |
L |
Shelbyville |
#13   |
590 |
|
|
|
0.0% |
100.0% |
51 |
Concord |
L |
New Prairie |
#12   |
595 |
|
|
|
0.0% |
99.8% |
52 |
Goshen |
L |
New Prairie |
#13   |
609 |
|
|
|
|
98.8% |
53 |
Columbia City |
L |
New Haven |
#7   |
613 |
|
|
|
0.8% |
100.0% |
54 |
Harrison (WL) |
L |
Brownsburg |
#11   |
623 |
|
|
|
0.1% |
100.0% |
55 |
Marion |
M |
New Haven |
#8   |
623 |
|
|
|
1.0% |
100.0% |
56 |
Barr-Reeve |
S |
Mater Dei |
#11   |
642 |
|
|
|
0.1% |
100.0% |
57 |
Guerin Catholic |
M |
Shelbyville |
#14   |
657 |
|
|
|
|
39.1% |
58 |
Princeton |
M |
Mater Dei |
#12   |
658 |
|
|
|
0.1% |
100.0% |
59 |
Western |
M |
Brownsburg |
#12   |
672 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
60 |
Mishawaka |
L |
New Prairie |
#14   |
677 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
61 |
New Albany |
L |
Mater Dei |
#13   |
685 |
|
|
|
0.0% |
100.0% |
62 |
Pendleton Heights |
L |
Shelbyville |
#15   |
707 |
|
|
|
|
60.6% |
63 |
Bishop Chatard |
M |
Brownsburg |
#13   |
708 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
64 |
Wawasee |
M |
New Prairie |
#15   |
720 |
|
|
|
|
80.4% |
65 |
Jennings County |
L |
Mater Dei |
#14   |
731 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
66 |
Brebeuf Jesuit |
M |
Brownsburg |
#14   |
733 |
|
|
|
|
0.9% |
67 |
Angola |
M |
New Haven |
#9   |
739 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
68 |
Bedford North Lawrence |
L |
Mater Dei |
#15   |
762 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
69 |
Jefferson |
L |
Brownsburg |
#15   |
766 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
70 |
Northview |
M |
Brownsburg |
#16   |
769 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
71 |
Madison |
M |
Shelbyville |
#16   |
772 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
72 |
Wapahani |
S |
New Haven |
#10   |
777 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
73 |
Corydon Central |
M |
Mater Dei |
#16   |
784 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
74 |
Illiana Christian |
S |
New Prairie |
#16   |
788 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
75 |
Batesville |
M |
Shelbyville |
#17   |
789 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
76 |
Brownstown Central |
S |
Mater Dei |
#17   |
792 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
77 |
NorthWood |
M |
New Prairie |
#17   |
803 |
|
|
|
|
19.8% |
78 |
South Knox |
S |
Mater Dei |
#18   |
805 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
79 |
Signature |
|
Mater Dei |
#19   |
814 |
|
|
|
|
99.5% |
80 |
Danville |
M |
Brownsburg |
#17   |
820 |
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
81 |
Bluffton |
S |
New Haven |
#11   |
845 |
|
|
|
|
99.9% |
82 |
Hamilton Heights |
M |
Shelbyville |
#18   |
849 |
|
|
|
|
0.4% |
83 |
Lewis Cass |
S |
Brownsburg |
#18   |
852 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
84 |
West Noble |
M |
New Haven |
#12   |
855 |
|
|
|
|
99.9% |
85 |
McCutcheon |
L |
Brownsburg |
#19   |
857 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
86 |
New Prairie |
M |
New Prairie |
#18   |
858 |
|
|
|
|
95.9% |
87 |
East Noble |
M |
New Haven |
#13   |
871 |
|
|
|
|
99.9% |
88 |
Bishop Dwenger |
M |
New Haven |
#14   |
883 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
89 |
Perry Meridian |
L |
Shelbyville |
#19   |
883 |
|
|
|
|
|
90 |
Fairfield |
S |
New Prairie |
#19   |
886 |
|
|
|
|
1.1% |
91 |
New Palestine |
L |
Shelbyville |
#20   |
891 |
|
|
|
|
84.2% |
92 |
Lakewood Park Christian |
S |
New Haven |
#15   |
899 |
|
|
|
|
98.8% |
93 |
Seymour |
L |
Mater Dei |
#20   |
907 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
94 |
Hanover Central |
M |
New Prairie |
#20   |
908 |
|
|
|
|
96.0% |
95 |
Westview |
S |
New Prairie |
#21   |
921 |
|
|
|
|
|
96 |
Mooresville |
L |
Shelbyville |
#21   |
924 |
|
|
|
|
|
97 |
St. Joseph's |
M |
New Prairie |
#22   |
928 |
|
|
|
|
76.6% |
98 |
Oak Hill |
S |
New Haven |
#16   |
941 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
99 |
Cascade |
S |
Brownsburg |
#20   |
946 |
|
|
|
|
|
100 |
Terre Haute North |
L |
Brownsburg |
#21   |
961 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
101 |
New Haven |
M |
New Haven |
#17   |
965 |
|
|
|
|
89.8% |
102 |
Hobart |
L |
New Prairie |
#23   |
968 |
|
|
|
|
99.9% |
103 |
Kankakee Valley |
M |
New Prairie |
#24   |
982 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
104 |
Greenwood |
L |
Shelbyville |
#22   |
991 |
|
|
|
|
|
105 |
Cathedral |
M |
Shelbyville |
#23   |
995 |
|
|
|
|
15.7% |
106 |
Adams |
L |
New Prairie |
#25   |
997 |
|
|
|
|
27.6% |
107 |
Crawfordsville |
M |
Brownsburg |
#22   |
1,001 |
|
|
|
|
97.0% |
108 |
Bellmont |
M |
New Haven |
#18   |
1,004 |
|
|
|
|
93.2% |
109 |
Mater Dei |
S |
Mater Dei |
#21   |
1,005 |
|
|
|
|
0.5% |
110 |
Southport |
L |
Shelbyville |
#24   |
1,011 |
|
|
|
|
|
111 |
Northrop |
L |
New Haven |
#19   |
1,019 |
|
|
|
|
92.0% |
112 |
Manchester |
S |
New Haven |
#20   |
1,030 |
|
|
|
|
98.0% |
113 |
Perry Central |
S |
Mater Dei |
#22   |
1,043 |
|
|
|
|
98.8% |
114 |
Norwell |
M |
New Haven |
#21   |
1,045 |
|
|
|
|
75.9% |
115 |
Highland |
M |
New Prairie |
#26   |
1,047 |
|
|
|
|
4.0% |
116 |
Kokomo |
L |
Brownsburg |
#23   |
1,049 |
|
|
|
|
93.8% |
117 |
Northwestern |
M |
Brownsburg |
#24   |
1,053 |
|
|
|
|
96.8% |
118 |
South Adams |
S |
New Haven |
#22   |
1,063 |
|
|
|
|
75.3% |
119 |
Heritage Christian |
S |
Brownsburg |
#25   |
1,070 |
|
|
|
|
78.6% |
120 |
Greensburg |
M |
Mater Dei |
#23   |
1,074 |
|
|
|
|
29.3% |
121 |
Hauser |
S |
Mater Dei |
#24   |
1,076 |
|
|
|
|
29.9% |
122 |
Adams Central |
S |
New Haven |
#23   |
1,080 |
|
|
|
|
45.1% |
123 |
Eastern Greene |
S |
Mater Dei |
#25   |
1,082 |
|
|
|
|
80.5% |
124 |
Richmond |
L |
Shelbyville |
#25   |
1,087 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
125 |
Snider |
L |
New Haven |
#24   |
1,102 |
|
|
|
|
14.7% |
126 |
Tell City |
S |
Mater Dei |
#26   |
1,107 |
|
|
|
|
89.5% |
127 |
Bremen |
S |
New Prairie |
#27   |
1,109 |
|
|
|
|
|
128 |
Twin Lakes |
M |
New Prairie |
#28   |
1,109 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
129 |
Columbus East |
L |
Mater Dei |
#27   |
1,110 |
|
|
|
|
40.8% |
130 |
Plymouth |
M |
New Haven |
#25   |
1,124 |
|
|
|
|
87.4% |
131 |
Horizon Christian |
|
New Prairie |
#29   |
1,129 |
|
|
|
|
|
132 |
Lebanon |
M |
Shelbyville |
#26   |
1,131 |
|
|
|
|
|
133 |
Clay City |
S |
Brownsburg |
#26   |
1,148 |
|
|
|
|
97.7% |
134 |
Clinton Prairie |
S |
Brownsburg |
#27   |
1,148 |
|
|
|
|
33.1% |
135 |
Austin |
S |
Shelbyville |
#27   |
1,149 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
136 |
Frankfort |
M |
Brownsburg |
#28   |
1,155 |
|
|
|
|
45.4% |
137 |
South Vermillion |
S |
Brownsburg |
#29   |
1,156 |
|
|
|
|
99.4% |
138 |
Warren Central |
L |
Shelbyville |
#28   |
1,159 |
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
139 |
Central Noble |
S |
New Haven |
#26   |
1,162 |
|
|
|
|
1.4% |
140 |
Clinton Central |
S |
Brownsburg |
#30   |
1,162 |
|
|
|
|
28.4% |
141 |
Rushville |
M |
Shelbyville |
#29   |
1,165 |
|
|
|
|
99.9% |
142 |
Herron |
M |
Brownsburg |
#31   |
1,178 |
|
|
|
|
13.2% |
143 |
Merrillville |
L |
New Prairie |
#30   |
1,178 |
|
|
|
|
63.9% |
144 |
Orleans |
S |
Mater Dei |
#28   |
1,179 |
|
|
|
|
19.5% |
145 |
Delta |
M |
New Haven |
#27   |
1,181 |
|
|
|
|
9.7% |
146 |
North Putnam |
S |
Brownsburg |
#32   |
1,182 |
|
|
|
|
|
147 |
Seeger |
S |
Brownsburg |
#33   |
1,194 |
|
|
|
|
2.7% |
148 |
University |
S |
Brownsburg |
#34   |
1,196 |
|
|
|
|
8.2% |
149 |
Lakeland |
M |
New Haven |
#28   |
1,196 |
|
|
|
|
|
150 |
Heritage |
M |
New Haven |
#29   |
1,201 |
|
|
|
|
3.6% |
151 |
Springs Valley |
S |
Mater Dei |
#29   |
1,204 |
|
|
|
|
94.9% |
152 |
Heritage Hills |
M |
Mater Dei |
#30   |
1,216 |
|
|
|
|
|
153 |
Northeast Dubois |
S |
Mater Dei |
#31   |
1,226 |
|
|
|
|
11.7% |
154 |
Winamac |
S |
New Prairie |
#31   |
1,230 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
155 |
Culver Academies |
M |
New Haven |
#30   |
1,233 |
|
|
|
|
14.4% |
156 |
Maconaquah |
M |
Brownsburg |
#35   |
1,251 |
|
|
|
|
2.0% |
157 |
Hebron |
S |
New Prairie |
#32   |
1,255 |
|
|
|
|
33.7% |
158 |
Decatur Central |
L |
Shelbyville |
#30   |
1,258 |
|
|
|
|
|
159 |
Leo |
M |
New Haven |
#31   |
1,259 |
|
|
|
|
|
160 |
Rensselaer Central |
S |
New Prairie |
#33   |
1,268 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
161 |
Munster |
L |
New Prairie |
#34   |
1,273 |
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
162 |
Gibson Southern |
M |
Mater Dei |
#32   |
1,278 |
|
|
|
|
|
163 |
Eastbrook |
S |
New Haven |
#32   |
1,287 |
|
|
|
|
0.4% |
164 |
Monroe Central |
S |
New Haven |
#33   |
1,290 |
|
|
|
|
0.4% |
165 |
Muncie Central |
L |
New Haven |
#34   |
1,294 |
|
|
|
|
99.6% |
|