Valparaiso
Boys - Girls
2000 - 2001 - 2002
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State Rank #2
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #1
New Prairie Regional Rank #1
Chesterton Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 10.8%
Top 5 at State Finals 99.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
7  Danielle Nunnelly 11 18:40
15  Racheal Marchand 10 19:00
32  Julie Martz 10 19:24
41  Katie Ziegler 11 19:36
53  Natalie Karas 12 19:49
Shawna Kennedy 20:09
Jenny Jones 20:20
Kristina Gordon 11 20:25




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 2.3 103 10.8 60.2 19.3 6.9 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.2 45 79.7 18.3 1.9 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.2 33 77.0 22.9 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.3 26 72.1 27.9



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Danielle Nunnelly 100% 8.0 1.3 3.2 5.9 7.0 8.3 7.9 8.1 8.3 7.5 6.3 6.0 5.0 4.3 3.9 3.4 2.6 2.4 1.8 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 100.0%
Racheal Marchand 100% 16.9 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.6 4.4 4.2 4.5 5.0 4.5 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.4 4.5 4.1 4.2 3.9 3.4 3.2 3.1 99.8%
Julie Martz 100% 32.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.7 2.8 2.8 3.2 86.5%
Katie Ziegler 100% 40.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.3 58.9%
Natalie Karas 100% 50.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 21.1%
Shawna Kennedy 100% 69.8 1.4%
Jenny Jones 100% 83.2 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Danielle Nunnelly 100% 3.8 2.6 9.1 19.8 22.5 18.0 11.8 7.5 4.5 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Racheal Marchand 100% 7.1 0.1 0.5 1.9 5.5 10.4 13.7 15.9 15.0 13.0 10.3 7.3 3.7 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Julie Martz 100% 11.8 0.1 0.4 0.8 2.2 4.2 6.6 9.5 13.1 16.4 14.3 11.2 7.8 5.1 3.0 2.0 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Katie Ziegler 100% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 3.1 5.6 8.7 12.0 14.3 12.6 10.6 8.6 6.4 4.7 3.0 2.5 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.6 99.9%
Natalie Karas 100% 17.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.9 3.6 5.9 8.1 9.7 10.6 9.9 9.1 8.0 6.4 5.8 5.0 3.3 2.8 98.5%
Shawna Kennedy 100% 24.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.4 3.6 4.3 5.2 5.9 6.2 7.2 7.1 6.6 77.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Danielle Nunnelly 100% 1.7 29.7 29.6 24.7 10.6 4.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Racheal Marchand 100% 3.8 1.4 7.4 17.1 29.6 22.1 16.5 4.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Julie Martz 100% 6.7 0.1 0.5 2.7 9.6 17.7 28.7 23.5 11.2 4.3 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Katie Ziegler 100% 8.2 0.1 0.3 1.9 5.6 13.9 23.9 27.3 16.5 6.8 2.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Natalie Karas 100% 9.8 0.2 0.8 2.4 7.0 16.5 29.3 22.9 10.6 5.1 2.4 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Shawna Kennedy 100% 12.7 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.5 12.6 20.2 16.7 12.3 9.1 6.9 5.0 3.6 2.6 1.9 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 99.5%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Danielle Nunnelly 1.3 37.7 42.2 14.5 4.7 0.9 0.0
Racheal Marchand 2.9 2.7 13.4 35.9 26.4 19.0 2.4 0.3 0.0
Julie Martz 5.4 0.0 0.4 2.0 11.6 20.6 41.0 18.0 5.3 1.0 0.1
Katie Ziegler 6.5 0.0 0.2 2.4 6.9 19.8 39.3 22.3 7.9 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
Natalie Karas 7.8 0.0 0.2 1.1 4.7 14.5 38.2 30.1 8.3 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Shawna Kennedy 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.8 4.2 19.2 38.0 19.3 9.4 5.0 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0